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What sets apart revolutions that work from those that don't?

Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:51 pm
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:51 pm
Watching the Sons of Liberty last week, got me thinking. (Yeah, I know they took some, er, liberties with the facts).

But thing that got me thinking was that most revolutions must be incredible long shots when they start. After all, the entrenched side has a decided advantage in power ( thus the phrase "being in power".)

So, is there a common thread for those that succeed - off the top of my head I'm thinking of things like the American Revolution, French Revolution, Russian Civil War, and I'm sure there are several others.

Is it the ability to acquire weapons before being crushed? The intelligence and sophistication of the rebels? An ideological argument that is persuasive to a large number of people? The incompetence or preoccupation of the powers that be? A combination of these? Some other factors?
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76519 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:53 pm to
I think the geographic nature of the American revolution played a large part.

Obviously organization, leadership, recruitment, and supply chain plays a very large role.
Posted by Road Tiger
SW Landmass
Member since Oct 2014
834 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:53 pm to
Looking for ideas to successfully revolt against the gov't?
Posted by Superior Pariah
Member since Jun 2009
8457 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:53 pm to
A "do whatever it takes at whatever cost" attitude.

This reminds me of a scene in the Godafther 2 when Michael sees a Cuban revolutionary kill a Batista soldier and himself with a grenade. He commented that Fidel will win because they will do whatever it takes.
This post was edited on 2/3/15 at 4:56 pm
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:55 pm to
CIA involvement.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64536 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:55 pm to
Great concept for a thread. Only problem is you've started it right as I'm about to go home. I'll try to get back on later to take part in what I hope is a good and lively discussion.

Just real quick, I'd say it takes two things usually

1. A determined core of "rebels" or "revolutionaries", which ever you choose to call them.

2. A weak/rotting governing body that is ripe to fall.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83933 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:57 pm to
Read Alexis de Tocqueville's Democracy in America and you'll find your answer.
Posted by link
Member since Feb 2009
19867 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 4:59 pm to
i think the biggest mistake a lot of people make is thinking the revolution will be televised.
Posted by REB BEER
Laffy Yet
Member since Dec 2010
16195 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:05 pm to
I think the distance from England and the will to have a free country made the difference. If you had one guy trying to be king, our little American experience may not have worked.

I watched that show too, and wonder how our government has become the cluster frick it is now.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:09 pm to
Cool hats





This post was edited on 2/3/15 at 5:12 pm
Posted by LSU8654722
Member since Apr 2014
1495 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

I watched that show too, and wonder how our government has become the cluster frick it is now.


It started when the government started involving itself in social issues.
Posted by tigerman03
Metairie
Member since Jul 2008
3745 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:26 pm to
I think it's numerous factors.
As mentioned previously, a very determined group is a must.
You need luck, and a government in power that is either weak or underestimates the rebellion.
Posted by LSU8654722
Member since Apr 2014
1495 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

You need luck, and a government in power that is either weak or underestimates the rebellion.


And another government to back the rebels.
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
22285 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:42 pm to
Widespread support among the population allows the extended timetable necessary for rebel leaders to play the rope-a-dope. Washington and Ho Chi Minh and countless others could afford to lose battle after battle because as long as they had their armies, as long as there were more battles to be fought, they were winning their wars. For the occupier, its not enough to win battles, they have to enforce a peace.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12356 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 5:42 pm to
Revolutions that succeeded - small rate of that.

Revolutions that were ultimately successful - way smaller still.

Russian - long term no.
French - same.

Us (US) - probably ultimately a fail though we've had an amazing run.

Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss.

No revolution lasts forever. And they are needed in the same way forests need wildfires.

Life is a burning house.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Looking for ideas to successfully revolt against the gov't?

Hah. No. I'm generally pro government. Heck, I've been called a statist.

It's just that questions like this often catch my interest for some unknown reason. The study of human behavior and history is fascinating to me.
Posted by Pear
Member since Jul 2013
1428 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 6:22 pm to
A real hardship and a persuasive ideal. Also, great orators like robespierre and Danton certainly made spreading the ideals of the French Revolution easier
Posted by Pear
Member since Jul 2013
1428 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 6:22 pm to
A real hardship and a persuasive ideal. Also, great orators like robespierre and Danton certainly made spreading the ideals of the French Revolution easier
Posted by Pear
Member since Jul 2013
1428 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 6:22 pm to
A real hardship and a persuasive ideal. Also, great orators like robespierre and Danton certainly made spreading the ideals of the French Revolution easier
Posted by SpqrTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2004
9263 posts
Posted on 2/3/15 at 6:45 pm to
Throughout history, revolutions that were successful had the money, political backing and leadership of the aristocracy.

Grassroots revolutions are not as successful historically.

There are exceptions, of course, but if you ask me to name one factor that makes a revolution more likely to succeed, that would be it.

The American Revolution was one revolution that enjoyed that particular advantage.
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