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Can we talk about Halcon Resources (Symbol: HK)?

Posted on 2/2/15 at 9:44 am
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
79140 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 9:44 am
So...currently sitting at $1.42.

debt out this world, and could be a takeover target at this price?

other than that, would this be too risky a play?
Posted by Coach Guidry
Member since Nov 2007
2333 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 9:54 am to
quote:

debt out this world


Do we know what the debt is for?
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:09 am to
they have 300,000 acres in the Tuscaloosa shale area..a play that was barely, if at all, profitable at 100 dollar oil. Would another company buy that? I don't know but I'd guess no..
Posted by PetreauxCat
TX
Member since May 2009
858 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:21 am to
Another company wouldn't buy HK for their TMS acreage. It would be for their reservation acreage in the Bakken and their El Halcon stuff in Texas.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38739 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:22 am to
quote:

they have 300,000 acres in the Tuscaloosa shale area..a play that was barely, if at all, profitable at 100 dollar oil. Would another company buy that?


Goodrich Petroleum would if they could.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:42 am to
I'd be surprised if Halcon and Goodrich can survive. Goodrich is in especially bad shape after they bet the company on the TMS a while back. Floyd Wilson had a couple very fortunate moves with Petrohawk that didn't materialize with Halcon.
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:49 am to
Yeah.. Seems if A company wanted to buy Bakken or eagle ford assets they could choose from the thousand companies who don't have Tuscaloosa Shale acreage.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54752 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 10:58 am to
quote:

debt out this world, and could be a takeover target at this price?


They wish...they have crappy acreage, no one wants their junk.

quote:

other than that, would this be too risky a play?


Yes. More likely to go bankrupt and be sold off in pieces.
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
15867 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 11:11 am to
It is certainly risky.

Good luck.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19604 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 11:45 am to
Wouldnt touch it it, prices stay as is in six months there will be a bundle of smaller companies that overpaid for marginal acreage in those two play trying to offload it and they wont have the extra baggage of the TMS debt.
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2473 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 12:53 pm to
I'm waiting until borrowing bases are adjusted in July/Aug before I even consider pulling the trigger on any of the independents. HK is fairly well hedged with 80% of their 2015 production hedged at close to 90 a barrel (according to a somewhat old investor presentation from August), so that coupled with reducing capex should allow them to de-lever some. If you assume that their undeveloped positions are worthless at $50 oil the question becomes what's the value of their PDP?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 1:02 pm to
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
79140 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 1:26 pm to
interesting read, thanks for the link.

13/19 on that list are in the Houston area.
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

13/19 on that list are in the Houston area


Well that's not surprising
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4587 posts
Posted on 2/2/15 at 2:29 pm to
The guy was promoting the hell outa SDRL and NAT last spring right when they were at the peak before oil fell.
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