Yeah, looking ahead, whatever.

So I have a spreadsheet in the past on tounrey info for..."entertainment" purposes.

Anyway, since 2005, there have been 50/80 BCS Conference teams that were 8 or 9 seeds.

Overall, only 4/80 have made it to sweet 16 or farther: 2011 Butler (Runner Up), 2014 Kentucky (Runner up), 2013 Wichita State (Final 4), 2010 Northern Iowa (Sweet 16).

Of the 50 BCS schools, here are some stats:
Range of wins: 19-26(2009 LSU (we got screwed!)
Average wins/Losses: 21.5-10.6
Median wins/losses:21-11
Average RPI *: 36.9
Average KenPom*: 30.5

*missing 3/10 seasons but will update soon

Right now we're at 16-4 with 11 games left in regular season:
@MSU
Auburn
Alabama
Kentucky
@UT
@TAM
Florida
@Auburn
Ole Miss
UT
@Arkansas

Current KenPom: 34
Current RPI: 36

So...It would seem likely we can place higher than the characteristics of the 8/9 teams. Obviously the more wins the better, but as of today, seems like we're indecent shape to avoid the 8/9.

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Posted by lsucjn

California

Member since Dec 2005

509 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:04 pm to Ghostfacedistiller

I think we finish 23-8, which puts on NCAA bubble. No better than a 10 seed.

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Posted by TheWalrus

Member since Dec 2012

40486 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:07 pm to Ghostfacedistiller

I think this team could beat a #1 seed. Say they played Virginia, it would be a low scoring, drag em out game that could go either way. That said, if they can somehow move their way to a 6 seed or down to an 11, that would be optimal.

This post was edited on 1/29/15 at 3:07 pm

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Posted by ALT F4

Member since Jan 2015

2292 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:08 pm to lsucjn

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Posted by T1gerWonder

Member since May 2011

4450 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:10 pm to Ghostfacedistiller

If we are in the NCAAs I don't care what our seed is. UVA is a bad matchup in my opinion

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Posted by DeathValley85

Member since May 2011

17168 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:12 pm to TheWalrus

quote:
I think this team could beat a #1 seed.

I read this as "we could be a #1 seed"

I was thinking uhhh....nooooo

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Posted by danfraz

San Antonio TX

Member since Apr 2008

24550 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:34 pm to Ghostfacedistiller

That 09 team got royally screwed, what a horrible seed that year. Team was much better than that, total bullshite

imo I'd prefer 6,7,10,11 over 8,9

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Posted by TigerBait1127

Houston

Member since Jun 2005

47336 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:36 pm to lsucjn

quote:
I think we finish 23-8, which puts on NCAA bubble. No better than a 10 seed.

I don't think we'd be on the bubble at 12-6 in the SEC with a win @ WVU.

You're also forgetting about the SEC tourney

This post was edited on 1/29/15 at 3:38 pm

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Posted by RANDY44

Member since Aug 2005

9572 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 3:44 pm to lsucjn

quote:
No better than a 10 seed.

Would be better off at 10 than 8/9 IMO. Looking at most of the projected 2's and I think the Tigers would have a shot with most. BTW if they would go 23-8 I think 1 and 1 in the tourney probably gets them smack dab in the dreaded 8/9 slot.

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Posted by Buga225

Denham Springs

Member since Jan 2015

465 posts

Posted on 1/29/15 at 4:50 pm to RANDY44

23-8 with a win against UK will easily get us at 6 or 7!

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Posted by Mshargois3

NOLA