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NFL Week 17 Gambling Thread

Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:07 pm
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:07 pm
Wanted to start this early because of the following...


Buffalo +10 at New England

If the Bengals beat Denver tomorrow night (think it's almost 50/50 this happens) then New England has clinched #1 seed and could rest starters and obviously this line would plummet way the hell down to something like Buffalo +4.

Even if that doesn't happen, I feel like Buffalo +10 is a fair line that they probably cover 50% of the time.

With that said, seems like a no brainer to take a flyer on this line right now and pray that Cincy wins tomorrow.

Thoughts?
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 9:08 pm
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17785 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:18 pm to
Don't know where you getting this line at but a lot of the games won't have lines out till mid week due to some teams will not play starters.
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20245 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:23 pm to
I have lines for a lot of games but not this one sadly.

Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

50% of the time.



coin flip
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:33 pm to
Sportsbook

quote:

coin flip


You seem to miss my points a lot (you did in Week 16 thread regarding Detroit's motivations). Yes, it's a coin flip at +10 if New England is trying to win, but if Denver loses tomorrow night New England will rest their starters, making the +10 a veritable steal.
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 9:37 pm
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17785 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:42 pm to
Let me ask you again where are you seeing +10?

And I think you got the wrong person about Detroit in your other thread.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:43 pm to
sportsbook.ag. If that line is still up once my Seahawks money hits my account I'm going to drop like 10 units on the Bills and pray that Cincy beats Denver tomorrow.

and sorry I was replying that part to the UT dude.
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 9:44 pm
Posted by CodyPasbons
BR
Member since May 2008
891 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:51 pm to
5dimes has buffalo +11.5 (-135)
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:53 pm to
Seahawks money?

Thread sucks
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:54 pm to
According to what NBC just said, Cincinnati doesn't really even need to win tomorrow night? If that's accurate I may abstain.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

Seahawks money?


GTFO then. Sorry for taking the obvious Packers, Falcons, Seahawks 3 team tease. It was the easiest one of the year IMO.
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 9:56 pm
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 9:59 pm to
They will play to win the game. Its not like they have home field advantage throughout and a 1st round bye
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 10:04 pm to
cincy you mean? I want to know if they have anything to play for - like clinching a wild card tomorrow night or something.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 10:07 pm to
Their playing for the division. If they win tomm night they will face Pitt to determine the winner of division
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 10:08 pm
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12061 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 10:23 pm to
I can get +10 at 2 different books. Even money.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17785 posts
Posted on 12/21/14 at 10:25 pm to
Brady is playing next week. They have a bye first round they not letting Brady go 2 weeks without playing.

Yall go ahead and bet Buffalo. They just lost to Oakland with a rookie QB.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 12/22/14 at 8:40 am to
Lions +7.5
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81606 posts
Posted on 12/22/14 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Brady is playing next week. They have a bye first round they not letting Brady go 2 weeks without playing.


So maybe he plays the first half? Still an insane value on Buffalo should Cincy win tonight. You know the line will drop instantly if Cincy wins.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8428 posts
Posted on 12/22/14 at 9:32 am to
Cincy clinches a playoff berth with a win tonight. Motivation won't be an issue.
Posted by brgfather129
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Jul 2009
17099 posts
Posted on 12/22/14 at 9:45 am to
quote:

You seem to miss my points a lot (you did in Week 16 thread regarding Detroit's motivations




...you mean when you were wrong?
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