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It’s official: America is now No. 2

Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:49 pm
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45804 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:49 pm
LINK

quote:

Hang on to your hats, America.

And throw away that big, fat styrofoam finger while you’re about it.

There’s no easy way to say this, so I’ll just say it: We’re no longer No. 1. Today, we’re No. 2. Yes, it’s official. The Chinese economy just overtook the United States economy to become the largest in the world. For the first time since Ulysses S. Grant was president, America is not the leading economic power on the planet.

It just happened — and almost nobody noticed.

The International Monetary Fund recently released the latest numbers for the world economy. And when you measure national economic output in “real” terms of goods and services, China will this year produce $17.6 trillion — compared with $17.4 trillion for the U.S.A.

As recently as 2000, we produced nearly three times as much as the Chinese.


Posted by constant cough
Lafayette
Member since Jun 2007
44788 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:51 pm to
Thanks, Obama
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120262 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:51 pm to
Thanks, Obama.
Posted by TerryDawg03
The Deep South
Member since Dec 2012
15707 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:52 pm to
Meh.
Posted by Xenophon
Aspen
Member since Feb 2006
40922 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:52 pm to
Thanks, Obama.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69294 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:53 pm to
The average Chinese citizen is not much better off than a resident of sub sahara africa.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48911 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:53 pm to
All time lowest labor participation rate to go with it, he is "the food stamp president"
This post was edited on 12/4/14 at 9:54 pm
Posted by HonoraryCoonass
Member since Jan 2005
18072 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

“We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America."
This post was edited on 12/4/14 at 9:55 pm
Posted by LeonPhelps
Member since May 2008
8185 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:02 pm to
This is not based on actual GDP, in which I think we still exceed China materially. This is based on purchasing power parity, which requires a lot of assumptions. USA is still number 1 in the metric that actually counts - GDP.
Posted by LeonPhelps
Member since May 2008
8185 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:04 pm to
We are still nearly twice China in unadjusted GDP.

LINK )
Posted by Navytiger74
Member since Oct 2009
50458 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:07 pm to
Look up PPP and what it means. Take a breath. Wash your spankies. And go to bed. China will inevitably overtake us in absolute economic terms, but it won't happen for another 8-15 years. In per capita GDP (actual productivity of its people) they are 50-120 years behind.

Thank the corksmokers who bow down to the inevitable windfall that he China "market" will deliver to the western world (hint, it ain't coming) when they actually do overtake us. They don't play by the rules. There is no real benefit to impeding their development at this point, however.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98182 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:08 pm to
At one time, Spain was the biggest economy on the planet. Nobody stays on top forever. Neither will China.
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:09 pm to
Thanks alot Obama. We're suppose to be #1. I'm gonna cry now. Its all your fault. Booo hooo hooo.


(China has a population of 1.368 B. The US has a population of 0.316 B. As evidenced by this thread, a significant portion of that population has small penis angst).



So what you're saying is an American produces 4.32 X as much as a Chinese?





Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:12 pm to
Some oil and gas exploration and production companies provide a metric called "debt-adjusted earnings per share."

This metric basically shows what the company's earnings per share would be if all it's debt were converted to equity at current market prices and allows analysts to discern whether the company's earnings growth is being managed in a debt-efficient manner.

I'd love to see a comparison of the two countries' real outputs on debt-adjusted terms. China has been growing like wildfire, but it's been wildly fueled by debt, leading me to wonder whether the size of its economy is really that impressive to begin with.

It would be like comparing a company with $100mm in revenue and $250mm in debt (China's debt to GDP is 250%) to a company with $95mm in revenue and $95mm in debt (the U.S.'s debt to GDP is about 100%).

Finally, the study you cited used PPP-adjusted output, which is great for comparison purposes, but doesn't present an accurate picture of what the country's real output is since the majority of Chinese in fact aren't buying and selling goods in dollars.

See here:

LINK
This post was edited on 12/4/14 at 10:15 pm
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:13 pm to
There's a billion more people over there. Their GDP should be 3x higher than it is.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:13 pm to
China has over four times our population. The closer the world gets to free trade, the more "economy size" will track population size.

In the meantime wake me up when they get anywhere close on a per capita basis.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:14 pm to
It's all debt and based on a lie.

I prefer investing in America.
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Some oil and gas exploration and production companies provide a metric called "debt-adjusted earnings per share."

This metric basically shows what the company's earnings per share would be if all it's debt were converted to equity at current market prices and allows analysts to discern whether the company's earnings growth is being managed in a debt-efficient manner.

I'd love to see a comparison of the two countries' real outputs on debt-adjusted terms. China has been growing like wildfire, but it's been wildly fueled by debt, leading me to wonder whether the size of its economy is really that impressive to begin with.

It would be like comparing a company with $100mm in revenue and $250mm in debt (China's debt to GDP is 250%) to a company with $95mm in revenue and $95mm in debt (the U.S.'s debt to GDP is about 100%).

Finally, the study you cited used PPP-adjusted output, which is great for comparison purposes, but doesn't present an accurate picture of what the country's real output is since the majority of Chinese in fact aren't buying and selling goods in dollars.

See here:


Doesn't really make sense. The U.S. is not a company, the profits of business are for business and the debt of the U.S. is the U.S's not business's.


If you REALLY want to treat the U.S. like a company - you need to realize its got about $128,000,000,000,000 in oil and mineral assets alone - so $18,000,000,000,000 is actually a pretty low debt-to-asset ratio.


LINK
Posted by HonoraryCoonass
Member since Jan 2005
18072 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:24 pm to
Keep spinning this like it's good news.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 12/4/14 at 10:27 pm to
Right, but country output is akin to company revenue, and country debt at least resembles company debt. So maybe a better analogy would have been to refer to a company's debt-adjusted revenue per share. In any event, I think some attempt to normalize comparisons between the two for debt can be made.
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