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What would be a good assumption for the discount rate of a dry cleaning service?
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:17 pm
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:17 pm
Is there a database or table somewhere that lists discount rates for typical businesses/industries?
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:24 pm to euphemus
Are you trying to run a DCF? What is the trailing 12 NOI?
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:35 pm to I Love Bama
Yes. 12 month NOI = $64K. The question is about whether somebody should invest in a dry cleaning service or not.
But my question is less about this particular problem and more general -
How do you pick discount rates for typical businesses/industries when doing quick back of the envelope DCF calculations and you don't want to get into WACC and CAPM and all that? Is there a guideline somewhere? Is there a rule of thumb for picking a reasonable rate for a particular business?
But my question is less about this particular problem and more general -
How do you pick discount rates for typical businesses/industries when doing quick back of the envelope DCF calculations and you don't want to get into WACC and CAPM and all that? Is there a guideline somewhere? Is there a rule of thumb for picking a reasonable rate for a particular business?
This post was edited on 10/24/14 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:41 pm to euphemus
Out of my element so I'll let others respond. I'm interested as well.
I do know there are a lot of moving parts involved in a dry cleaning business. I would consult with someone in the arena.
I do know there are a lot of moving parts involved in a dry cleaning business. I would consult with someone in the arena.
Posted on 10/24/14 at 3:58 pm to euphemus
Why bother with a discount rate? Just calculate the IRR instead.
I prefer the IRR if comparing among a bunch of bolt-on opportunities.
If I were picking a single decision like which business to invest in, then I would just use a discount rate based on whatever the next best thing is that I could do with my money (with a floor of 10% discount rate). But more likely I would factor in the expected salary that I would take out and then just calculate the IRR on the remainder (return on incremental capital investment versus a salary that I could get somewhere else).
Of course that would all be a quick screen to see whether the business was even worth considering. Mostly other factors would drive the ultimate decision, including stress and work-life balance, upside and downside of the industry, how easy it would be to get out if I change mind, and most importantly if it is something that I would actually enjoy doing on a daily basis.
I prefer the IRR if comparing among a bunch of bolt-on opportunities.
If I were picking a single decision like which business to invest in, then I would just use a discount rate based on whatever the next best thing is that I could do with my money (with a floor of 10% discount rate). But more likely I would factor in the expected salary that I would take out and then just calculate the IRR on the remainder (return on incremental capital investment versus a salary that I could get somewhere else).
Of course that would all be a quick screen to see whether the business was even worth considering. Mostly other factors would drive the ultimate decision, including stress and work-life balance, upside and downside of the industry, how easy it would be to get out if I change mind, and most importantly if it is something that I would actually enjoy doing on a daily basis.
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