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Started By
Message
Why Texas won't go blue anytime soon (this likely applies to other states too)
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:16 am
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:16 am
First off,people have to stop viewing the Obama coalition has permanent. As the first black man to occupy the office, Obama had something going for him that no one had or will have in the future, ever. Every single article I read on "OMGZ LAITNOS MAKING EVERY STATE BLUE, RABBLE RABBLE" seems to accept Obama's performance among certain groups as a trend, rather than an anomaly.
Now to the important part. Here are some Texas Graphs/visuals:
Latino's make up 38% of Texas population
But just 26% of eligible voters
and only 22% of voters in 2012 (in which Obama ran the greatest GOTV in the history of the entire universe)
wapo article on texas actually getting redder
new republic article
Latinos have been increasing dramatically in number in texas since the 90s. When will this "magical" turning point come?
Now to the important part. Here are some Texas Graphs/visuals:
Latino's make up 38% of Texas population
But just 26% of eligible voters
and only 22% of voters in 2012 (in which Obama ran the greatest GOTV in the history of the entire universe)
wapo article on texas actually getting redder
new republic article
Latinos have been increasing dramatically in number in texas since the 90s. When will this "magical" turning point come?
This post was edited on 7/23/14 at 12:23 am
6
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:18 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
#factswithcharts
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:20 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
He thinks being an "eligible voter" matters.
Look at him. Look at him and laugh.
Just kidding.
Look at him. Look at him and laugh.
Just kidding.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:22 am to Ryne Sandberg
quote:
Ryne Sandberg
Off topic but I love love love your sig.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:22 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I'm surprised it's only 38% frankly. Houston (Harris County) where I live is over 50% Latin. San Antonio is equally or even moreso populated with Latinos as well. Everywhere down in the valley (Mcallen, Corpus, Brownsville, etc.) is poised to become Latino dominated as well.
38% is hard to believe - where did you find that info?
38% is hard to believe - where did you find that info?
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:23 am to Sentrius
Thanks bud. Probably one of my favorite pic of LSU fans ever. Can't remember where I found it, but it just made me laugh so hard.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:24 am to idlewatcher
quote:2010 census
38% is hard to believe - where did you find that info?
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:29 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
This thread ignores the main reason Texas could go blue: liberals invading from California.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:31 am to arcalades
quote:True, but many of the Californians leaving are business people who were already republican.
This thread ignores the main reason Texas could go blue: liberals invading from California.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:33 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
GOP has lost 5 of the last 6 popular votes. To say there isn't a problem is being naive.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:34 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:36 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:Who said there isn't a problem. The GOP of today is going through the same rough skid that democrats went through in the 80s. The only difference is that the GOP, right now, is immensely powerful at the state level.
GOP has lost 5 of the last 6 popular votes. To say there isn't a problem is being naive.
This post was edited on 7/23/14 at 12:37 am
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:54 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
They've done a great job gerrymandering, no question about that.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 12:57 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
True, but many of the Californians leaving are business people who were already republican.
How do you know they are republicans much less business people?
And what kind of republican are they?
The business and free markets kind of republican or social issues republican who may or may not be turned off by the perceived stances on social issues the GOP has and vote democrat and ignore the dem's economic stance?
Posted on 7/23/14 at 1:00 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
They've done a great job gerrymandering, no question about that.
. Maybe if your party can get its suckers out there during midterm elections, you wouldn't have this problem. At least white voters don't only show up after being prodded to the polls by a president's GOTV. Hope you enjoy the inexplicable black and brown disappearing act this November.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 1:03 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
It seems to me that the important question(s) revolve around this: which blue states (Presidential elections) are slowly turning red? I do not see any in this category.
I do see some Red states slowly losing their solid "redness." North Carolina, Indiana, Arizona, and maybe even Georgia.
I do see some Red states slowly losing their solid "redness." North Carolina, Indiana, Arizona, and maybe even Georgia.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 3:08 am to Tiguar
quote:
He thinks being an "eligible voter" matters.
Look at him. Look at him and laugh.
this! Sadly democrats have control and it is never going to change under our current system. 
Posted on 7/23/14 at 5:57 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Posted by Draconian Sanctions They've done a great job gerrymandering, no question about that.
How do you gerrymander a state to hold nearly 60% of the governor houses? They'll likely take te senate this year to go along with a huge advantage in the house.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 6:38 am to Sentrius
quote:
The business and free markets kind of republican or social issues republican who may or may not be turned off by the perceived stances on social issues the GOP has and vote democrat and ignore the dem's economic stance?
I would live to see data comparing that type of switch voter (fiscal conservative who votes D because he is "turned off" by a Rs social stance compared to a social conservative who just stays home because the GOP keeps nominating liberal light candidates.
I bet the social conservatives not voting way way outnumber the fiscal conservatives who vote against their monetary interests.
Posted on 7/23/14 at 7:57 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
They've done a great job gerrymandering, no question about that.
Yeah, "gerrymandering" the state border at the Red river was genius>
idiot
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