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Best Guess When it's time to Pull out the Market?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:29 pm
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:29 pm
And go to cash.
There's no doubt there will be a correction in the stock market. What signs are you looking for to go ahead and make the move?
There's no doubt there will be a correction in the stock market. What signs are you looking for to go ahead and make the move?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:31 pm to Enadious
I would play it safe and move everything into Bitcoins.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:37 pm to LSUSUPERSTAR
quote:
I would play it safe and move everything into Bitcoins.
Since when did the Money Talk board turn into the OT?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:43 pm to Enadious
When cab drivers and hotel clerks start giving you stock tips sell.....pronto.
Or, when all the talking heads on CNBC all agree the market will continue to go up, sell.
Or, when all the talking heads on CNBC all agree the market will continue to go up, sell.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:45 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Or, when all the talking heads on CNBC all agree the market will continue to go up, sell.
Not bad advice but not what I was hoping for either. Come on Cuz. I know there is a method to your madness. Care to share?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:47 pm to Enadious
Never pull out, reallocate to out of favor sectors or write covered calls to protect yourself from the downside.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:48 pm to StrangeBrew
quote:
Never pull out, reallocate to out of favor sectors or write covered calls to protect yourself from the downside.
Thinking about just going to cash. Correction will be between 10-40%.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:49 pm to LSURussian
quote:
When cab drivers and hotel clerks start giving you stock tips sell.....pronto.
Or, when all the talking heads on CNBC all agree the market will continue to go up, sell.
Can we count on you here to alert is as to either occurrence?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:51 pm to Enadious
Anyone who claims they know when to sell (or when to buy for that matter) before the time arrives is a liar.
I never sell out completely. I'm also never 100% invested either.
Warren Buffett said it best, "Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful."
I never sell out completely. I'm also never 100% invested either.
Warren Buffett said it best, "Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful."
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:51 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
Can we count on you here to alert is as to either occurrence?
Guys, the Feds are already talking about pulling back in 2015. The election year will be over. Surely there's some indicators the savvy watch?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:55 pm to Enadious
Ok I will play, what if it is 10% and you are waiting for 40? What is your long term time frame?
I will also add, I can not tell what the future holds but neither can anyone else.
We are getting back to all time high levels but the fed has been printing money for 6 years. A dollar is not the same dollar from previous highs.
I will also add, I can not tell what the future holds but neither can anyone else.
We are getting back to all time high levels but the fed has been printing money for 6 years. A dollar is not the same dollar from previous highs.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:00 pm to StrangeBrew
Just rebalance more often if you're afraid of a dip?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:05 pm to Enadious
quote:
pulling back in 2015
They have been talking about that for two years, they keep pushing out the date, now it's 2015!
Like the other guy said, rebalance or buy some real estate if you want to diversify or. REIT
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:06 pm to StrangeBrew
quote:
Ok I will play, what if it is 10% and you are waiting for 40? What is your long term time frame?
Just waiting for the correction just to get back in at a lower amount.
quote:
I will also add, I can not tell what the future holds but neither can anyone else.
True, but you know corrections happen and one will show itself sooner rather than later.
quote:
We are getting back to all time high levels but the fed has been printing money for 6 years. A dollar is not the same dollar from previous highs.
Great point. Thanks for your input. Still, it may not be the same dollar but DOW at 17,0000 or 10,000 is a huge difference. That dollar sold today will buy more tomorrow if the correction is that drastic.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:34 pm to Enadious
quote:
Just waiting for the correction just to get back in at a lower amount.
So you are on the sidelines now? Totally?
If so, how long ago did you get out?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:43 pm to Enadious
Have you look at the historical P/E levels ?
Posted on 7/1/14 at 11:26 pm to Enadious
Use the cocktail party index:
When you are at a party/get together and average folks are talking about how great their 401k's, investment accounts, returns, can't miss stocks, etc are time start unwinding.
When the talk is opposite of the above, start moving in.
Simple yet effective.
When you are at a party/get together and average folks are talking about how great their 401k's, investment accounts, returns, can't miss stocks, etc are time start unwinding.
When the talk is opposite of the above, start moving in.
Simple yet effective.
Posted on 7/1/14 at 11:35 pm to StrangeBrew
quote:
Never pull out, reallocate to out of favor sectors or write covered calls to protect yourself from the downside.
This is why people lose all of their money.
ETA: Not this strategy, shitty advice.
This post was edited on 7/2/14 at 5:57 am
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