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Predict the 12/31/2014 bitcoin price (plus 2013 year in review)

Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:19 am
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:19 am
Bitcoin began 2013 valued at approximately $13.30 on MtGox*.

Bitcoin ended 2013 valued at approximately $815.00 on MtGox.


That is an increase of 6027.82%.



What do you think a bitcoin will be worth at the end of 12/31/2014?


My prediction: $5250.00


Cutoff date for predictions: January 12th, 2014


*MtGox price is used because it was the only exchange with substantial volume throughout the entire year, and thus it's difficult to compare the beginning of the year price to the end of the year price using other exchanges.




Also, for anyone interested here's a nice read on crpytocurrencies: In Defense of Cryptocurrencies - “Why Bitcoin Shouldn’t Die in a Fire”
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 3:35 pm
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:33 am to
Is MtGox the most likely exchange to still be around at the end of the year?

$500
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5418 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:33 am to
$247.13

ETA: What is your prize for the winner?
This post was edited on 1/2/14 at 9:37 am
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42478 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:37 am to
$5.50
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13550 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:45 am to
420.00
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85031 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:49 am to
$78
Posted by Coach Guidry
Member since Nov 2007
2333 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 10:13 am to
$666.00
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162219 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 10:20 am to
quote:

ETA: What is your prize for the winner?


1 bitcoin
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Is MtGox the most likely exchange to still be around at the end of the year?


probably not. we may have to do some kind of average based on exchange volume to get the most accurate price
Posted by Cdawg
TigerFred's Living Room
Member since Sep 2003
59494 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 12:59 pm to
Pfft, I've moved on to Dogecoin.
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17260 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 3:03 pm to
$800.

If I win, I would like my prize money in dollars, please.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

2013 year in review)


quote:

Bitcoin began 2013 valued at approximately $13.30 on MtGox*.

Bitcoin ended 2013 valued at approximately $815.00 on MtGox.


Thats one of the most overly simplified "year in reviews" i've ever seen outside of a tombstone.
Posted by Broke
AKA Buttercup
Member since Sep 2006
65044 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 3:51 pm to
What is that in Magic the Gathering money?
Posted by SonOfMike
Austin, TX
Member since Oct 2007
5886 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 6:15 pm to
Thanks Wiki!

Predictions below

Bitcoin 2014 Price - $3248.00
Litecoin 2014 Price - $139.30

Current holdings
1.01 BTC
14.07 LTC
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:07 pm to
I'm going to bet about $53.21

Bitcoin is not a currency. What do you buy with bitcoin? You trade it for money. Dollars. Bitcoin is perhaps the most well intention-ed ponzi scheme this decade.

Not to bring Austrian logic in here, but currency has a purpose, and it isn't to buy low, sell high. Once Bitcoins top out at the 21 million or so, everyone is going to sell as fast as they possibly can. If you truly think bitcoin is a currency right now, then you should start looking for other extremely volatile currencies like Argentine or Libyan and short-sell.

Once bitcoin crashes again (and it will, once the supply of buyers meets the limit) it may start to become a real currency.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:29 pm to
wiki, please give a cut off date. Suggest the 12th of January
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

wiki, please give a cut off date. Suggest the 12th of January


ok, that sounds good. I will try to remember to bump this every quarter as well so everyone can see how they stand.
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

Thats one of the most overly simplified "year in reviews" i've ever seen outside of a tombstone.




sometimes simple facts can speak volumes
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

Not to bring Austrian logic in here, but currency has a purpose, and it isn't to buy low, sell high. Once Bitcoins top out at the 21 million or so, everyone is going to sell as fast as they possibly can. If you truly think bitcoin is a currency right now, then you should start looking for other extremely volatile currencies like Argentine or Libyan and short-sell.


I mostly lurk the MB, but this is what confuses me about BitCoin. Doesn't seem very stable, why would you want to use that as a "currency"?
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

I mostly lurk the MB, but this is what confuses me about BitCoin. Doesn't seem very stable, why would you want to use that as a "currency"?


It doesn't have to be stable right now. It's in the hypermonetization stage right now. It won't be stable until it finds its true value, whatever that is.

Bitcoin is also a lot more than just a currency. This is the fatal mistake that most people make when assessing it. Bitcoin is a robust transaction network in which the first application on it is a currency. It can and will eventually be used for other purposes, such as notary, title, escrow and stock exchanges. Most people discount bitcoin without ever truly understanding it. Trust me, this board is a perfect example of it.
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 3:48 pm
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