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Decreasing International Wars: what role does global trade play?

Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:12 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:12 pm
namely, does any person want to argue that global trade is not the #1 reason for the massive decrease in international conflict?

other than the US invading Iraq twice, there hasn't really been too much international war since the fall of the USSR and the major push for globalization/global trade. threats? posturing? sure...but actual international conflict? very rare

this era may be the closest to world peace that the earth will ever see...let's think about that
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

namely, does any person want to argue that global trade is not the #1 reason for the massive decrease in international conflict?


They'd be a dumbass if they did.

Too many people are afraid to acknowledge that good old fashioned greed and self-interest are the ABSOLUTE BEST motivators for good behavior.

Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:16 pm to
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

other than the US invading Iraq twice


Those wars were due primarily to global trade in oil.

quote:

there hasn't really been too much international war since the fall of the USSR and the major push for globalization/global trade. threats? posturing? sure...but actual international conflict? very rare


There wasn't a major global war during the height of the Soviet empire. I believe this is due to Russia's stance of basically not participating in global trade. At least not at the levels that the US and now China do.

It remains to be seen whether global trade will prevent conflict between the US and China or be the cause of it.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

good old fashioned greed and self-interest are the ABSOLUTE BEST motivators for good behavior.

it's more than just greed and self-interest, as it takes 2 to tango...the more we interact and rely upon each other, the less likely we are to kill each other or disrupt our economies with war
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

It remains to be seen whether global trade will prevent conflict between the US and China

if we go to war, we'll both fall into a major depression and both lose, regardless of the outcome

we wouldn't even get oil from them
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

There wasn't a major global war during the height of the Soviet empire.

Afghanistan, Vietnam, Korea, and about 20 international conflicts in Africa happened during that time
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

if we go to war, we'll both fall into a major depression and both lose, regardless of the outcome



If we went to war today that would certainly be the case. That may not be true a generation from now.
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

the more we interact and rely upon each other, the less likely we are to kill each other or disrupt our economies with war


right...because of greed and self-interest.

ideally, trade makes both parties richer. why would anyone want to harm a person making them richer? that self-interest scales out and becomes a deep rooted self-interest on a global scale where the costs of war are just too much to bear.
This post was edited on 12/27/13 at 4:25 pm
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Afghanistan, Vietnam, Korea, and about 20 international conflicts in Africa happened during that time



I said major war. There are just as many "conflicts" happening across the globe right now. Maybe we are using different definitions for "major international conflict."
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

There are just as many "conflicts" happening across the globe right now.

international conflicts?

yes there are pure civil wars, but not one nation invading/attempting to invade, another. where is this occurring?

Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

where the costs of war are just too much to bear.

i have read theories that wars are great to invest in infrastructure
Posted by WikiTiger
Member since Sep 2007
41055 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

i have read theories that wars are great to invest in infrastructure


you talking the typical "broken window fallacy" bs, or something different?

Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422412 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:29 pm to
a large-scale broken window fallacy
Posted by CarrolltonTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2005
50291 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:31 pm to
About as much as it did to prevent WWI or WWII.

War between major nations is now simply too destructive and too expensive. Peace from major conflicts has next to nothing to do with international trade IMHO.
Posted by Stingray
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2007
12420 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:33 pm to
Trade would likely be a big reason, but shouldn't the USA rise to sole super power be big also?
Posted by SettleDown
Everywhere
Member since Nov 2013
1333 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

i have read theories that wars are great to invest in infrastructure


Every time I read such things, my brain literally loses a few more cells.
This post was edited on 12/27/13 at 4:35 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69289 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 4:57 pm to
When goods don't cross borders, soldiers will.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67866 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 6:21 pm to
It only makes sense that more often than not, it's cheaper to buy what you want than invade, occupy and take it.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 12/27/13 at 6:27 pm to
Until enough tariffs are put in place.
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