The law of averages and the philosophy of a good defense

It is typically the philosophy of defensive coordinators to force the opposing offense to drive the length of the field on a long drive with many plays. The idea is that the offense must execute flawlessly over and over, play after play.

It is not only that the defense makes plays, but also that the more plays the offense must execute the higher the chance that something goes wrong. The law of averages says that sooner or later a pass will get tipped, a holding call happens, a fumble, a dropped pass, or missed assignment.

The long and short of it is that Alabama has not been forced by other teams to "EARN" their scores. Not only are they not turning the ball over, but they are scoring on big plays and short fields.

The fact that McCarron has yet to throw an interception illustrates that concept. Which brings me to my point...

I think he's due for a bad game. A bad game precipitated by tight coverage, pressure on the QB, and LSU not giving up the big play.