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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80782 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:43 pm to
Look out for his CBB picks in that case, he just asked me if I wanted to help out with some general research for handicapping when he starts basketball.

Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5700 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

What does your system say about Tulsa -17 @ home vs UTEP? UTEP is fricking terrible!


I really wanted to see how tomorrows games go for me before I start spouting off all my opinions . I added a few more layers to the system based on the games that have not gone my way the past few weeks. From tests I have ran with last years games it has been strong. I am at 62% (24-15) so far on the year but I have left out a lot of games my numbers like because I absolutely hate laying huge numbers. I'm going to give it a go on all three games tomorrow and see how I fare.

This is what my numbers give me for tomorrow.
UTEP 17 - Tulsa 48
Arizona St 30 - Colorado 14
Western Ky. 42 - Troy 24

So I bet
Tulsa -17
Colorado/ASU under 57
and WKU -2

2 out of 3 tomorrow and I will be
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:51 pm to
I like Tulsa -10/OVER 50.5 teaser a lot for tomorrow.

I'll probably jump on train and take WKU -2.

I also think Colorado +23 could be real strong.
Posted by trece elefantes
Dragon's Den
Member since Jun 2011
203 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:56 pm to
Locked In

WVU -3 at Texas Tech
Kansas State -7 at Iowa State
Louisville -3 at Pittsburgh
WKU -3 at Troy
Duke +10 at VTech
Oklahoma -3 vs. Texas

Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

Locked In

WVU -3 at Texas Tech
Kansas State -7 at Iowa State
Louisville -3 at Pittsburgh
WKU -3 at Troy
Duke +10 at VTech
Oklahoma -3 vs. Texas



I don't know how you have been doing, but you really need to start trying to get the better side of those key numbers. That is a lot of key number lines to be playing. I don't know if you bought hooks to get them to that or what, but my advice (and I'm no pro) is to try and get more games to the better side of those numbers.
Posted by trece elefantes
Dragon's Den
Member since Jun 2011
203 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:21 pm to
22-14 CFB

11-10 NFL

I bought down 3 of those games from -3 1/2.

How am I suppose to get on the better side if that's
the only option?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:25 pm to
You're not laying any terrible numbers. Some of those games have moved off key numbers in your favor.

K State is at -6.5 at most places. WKU is at -2.

This post was edited on 10/10/12 at 8:26 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:25 pm to
That's fine if you're buying the hook from 3.5 ... I'm just making a suggestion.

And fwiw, that K State line is now -6.5 @ 5dimes.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:26 pm to
I think Iowa state gets it done
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

I think Iowa state gets it done



They may cover, but won't win, and I'd bet a left nut on that. No way, no how, Snyder lets the same thing happen to them, that happened to Okie Lite last year.

Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:31 pm to
I don't know if I'll bet on KState this weekend, but I don't think I'm gonna bet against them.
Posted by trece elefantes
Dragon's Den
Member since Jun 2011
203 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:34 pm to
Unfortunately my money is on Bovada... They don't even release every line until noon on Wednesdays.

I was big in to online poker when they were Bodog so all my money from those days got moved over to Bovada.

I freaked out when the Feds started coming down hard on offshore poker sites and freezing accounts; so I cashed out $1300 from my poker winnings.

After the smoke cleared Bovada gave a $200 bonus to entice some players back. That's been my bankroll for my first year betting.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:36 pm to
Cool


Anyone with an opinion on Wisky/Purdue?

Wisky has been playing a lot better since they fired their O-line coach.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:37 pm to
Very nice. Bovada usually is good for betting on dogs. You can get a half point or point more than other places at regular juice. Unfortunately that means you will get some worse numbers on favorites.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73862 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:45 pm to
I agree with this and already posted to tread lightly with KSU. Rhoads 9-1 ats as dog last 10
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 9:36 pm to
I hope your left nut wasn't your favorite then
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36319 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 9:41 pm to
Was hoping the Cal line would drop

They are going to pass all over WSU.
Posted by JJJrich
Member since Oct 2010
533 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:42 pm to
A teaser with Western Kentucky and the under in the Titans/Steelers game seems like free money.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:53 pm to
Teasers always seem like free money
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