chinhoyang LSU Fan Member since Jun 2011 4420 posts
Isaac remnant now 40% chance of becoming cyclone w/i 48 hours (Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:00 pm)
From the National Hurricane Center:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THURSDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY
GeorgeTheGreek Michigan State Fan Sparta, Greece Member since Mar 2008 35755 posts
re: Isaac remnant now 40% chance of becoming cyclone w/i 48 hours (Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:33 pm to tduecen)
quote: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico has not become any better organized since yesterday...and if this trend continues...the reconnaissance mission scheduled for later today will be cancelled. This weather system is drifting southward and still has the potential for some development during the next day or so before environmental conditions become unfavorable. This system has a medium chance...40 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.