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Trent Richardson: why do they hype rooks?

Posted on 7/10/12 at 10:51 pm
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 10:51 pm
quote:

6. Trent Richardson -- Maurice Jones-Drew led the league in rushing yards in the NFL's worst offense last year. Cleveland's "supporting cast" is a minor obstacle. Richardson offers elite talent and workload, and is every bit worth a mid to late first-round fantasy selection.


how often do Rookie RBs pan out to expectations?

I got burned once by JJ Arrington..never drafting another rookie in my first 8 picks
Posted by RollDatRoll
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12245 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 10:54 pm to
Are you comparing Trent Richardson to JJ Arrington?
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

Are you comparing Trent Richardson to JJ Arrington?



I took arrington in the 5th, so no.

quote:

J.J. Arrington
Position: HB
Class: Sr
School: California
Conference: Pac-10
Ht., Wt.: 5-9, 214
40 Time: 4.48

For those who don't follow college football much, let me quickly take you through J.J. Arrington's accomplishments last season:

2,018 yards rushing (led nation)
100+ yards in every game
7.0 yards per rush
15 touchdowns
21 receptions for 121 yards

And he didn't do this against weak competition, Arrington was the workhorse for the Cal Bears team that was in the hunt for a BCS game all season, particularly impressive when you consider they shared a conference with USC.



what's Richardson's write up?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72030 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:04 pm to
PAC 10
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:09 pm to
both 5-9, ran the same 40, only like 8 lbs difference.

Ingram ran behind that Bama line, and looked like crap as a Saint...so now Richardson isn't Ingram?

what was Ingram's base stats?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72030 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:12 pm to
What's Ingram have to do with anything? Richardson is way better than him.

And he weighs 228. Having the same measurements mean jack shite. That's like saying drew brees and chase Daniel are on the same playing field
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:21 pm to
Richardson is not going succeed behind that O-Line
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/10/12 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

What's Ingram have to do with anything?


shows the talent of Bamas line. They made a Heisman trophy winner out of a 3.9 yard/rushing average NFL back.

The Browns had hillis at a 3.6 average and Hardesty at a 3.0 average.

When a "great rookie" comes along like Adrian Peterson, there was some success prior to him getting there.

Chester Taylor had +1,200 yards 42 catches and a 4.0 average the year before AP showed (and they brought in Steve Hutchinson, the guy who made Shawn Alexander.)


Maybe TR will be something, but the 6th best RB...how could you draft him that high?
This post was edited on 7/10/12 at 11:31 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72030 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 8:29 am to
quote:

shows the talent of Bamas line. They made a Heisman trophy winner out of a 3.9 yard/rushing average NFL back.


4 yards per carry in the NFL as a rookie? I'll take it. He only played in 10 games, who knows where his numbers would've been at the end of the year.

quote:

The Browns had hillis at a 3.6 average and Hardesty at a 3.0 average.


Coly McCoy factor- I imagine the 11 guys in the box were difficult to run on. Brandon Weeden is going to open things up for their RBs.

quote:

Chester Taylor had +1,200 yards 42 catches and a 4.0 average the year before AP showed


4.0 ypc

quote:


Maybe TR will be something, but the 6th best RB...how could you draft him that high?


So many RBs are a crapshoot after the first few. You go for the HR with TR early. He will be a beast, especially in PPR leagues
Posted by ATL_Tiger
Philly
Member since Mar 2004
2349 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:10 am to
Likely take him that high because he's a true workhorse back and those are few and far between. You draft him based on volume and immense talent upside. No one is guaranteeing greatness, but if he can get 275 carries and 30-40 catches who cares if he average 3.5 yards per carry? assuming he averages 7-8 yards per catch, that's 1,300+ yards and if he can throw in TDs he'll be worth it. a mediocre 4.0 yards per carry would put him close to 1,500 based on those volume #s, and it's not a far stretch to think he can average 4 ypc

Remember Hillis was also a beast 2 years ago before he shat the bed with injuries / general unproductivity last year
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:13 am to
we'll see:

"Getting adjusted to the speed of the game"
"he didn't get hit like that in College"
Hitting the "The Rookie Wall"


best of luck to the kid
Posted by ATL_Tiger
Philly
Member since Mar 2004
2349 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:15 am to
If "getting adjusted" to the NFL means he averages 3.5 yards per carry, so be it. I'll take that with 300+ touches.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72030 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:30 am to
Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch, MJD, Addai, Chris Johnson, Slaton, Forte, Kevin Smith, Jonathan Stewart, Knoshon, Beanie, Blount, Ryan Matthews, Chris Ivory, Demarco Murray etc etc

All players who were RB1 or RB2 their rookie years

I don't think it's a stretch to say TR could be in that company.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33745 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:41 am to
Doug Martin is also gonna go pretty high in most drafts. Another 5'9'' RB looking to get most of the work in Tampa Bay's run game.
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7222 posts
Posted on 7/11/12 at 9:53 am to
I think in a ppr league, Richardson will go late first. Otherwise, I would say he is likely a second round pick. His pass catching skills is very underrated.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51248 posts
Posted on 8/1/12 at 9:02 am to
Maybe I'm just wary after being burnt by Ingram last year (yes I realize TRs in a completely different situation n Cle), but I don't see how he's goin off the board in the 1st. You're 1st pick has to be a sure thing & i'm sure as hell not risking my 1st pik in a rookie RB in the that offense.
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31927 posts
Posted on 8/1/12 at 9:16 am to
Who has him ranked 6th? Most I've seen have him 10-12
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
64241 posts
Posted on 8/1/12 at 9:43 am to
quote:

Doug Martin is also gonna go pretty high in most drafts. Another 5'9'' RB looking to get most of the work in Tampa Bay's run game.


yahoo has him ranked like 30 overall
Posted by HeadCoach
Shady's Parking Lot
Member since Mar 2009
5659 posts
Posted on 8/1/12 at 10:36 am to
Very tempted to draft him. Most mocks have him going early 2nd, too high for my tastes
Posted by TigahFan4Life
Baton Rouge, LA home of the TIGAHS!
Member since Aug 2007
10975 posts
Posted on 8/1/12 at 10:44 am to
I'm with you Kash, I can't understand how they hype rookies like that. Yea, he will be the starter, but what makes them so sure the browns won't suck like they do every year? Didn't they say the same thing about Ryan Matthews his rookie year?
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