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Official Adam4848 Baseball Preview Feb 11th (Season Predictions/SEC) *Page 10*

Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:23 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:23 am
February is finally here guys, enjoy.

-Everything you will read is "my" opinion and of course everyone is entitled to his/her own. As many of you know the main reason I do this preview is to simply get out a brief feel for the team to the fans who don't get a chance to see them or the ones who live out of state etc...

-The lineup I predict is based on what I have seen thus far and very well may change in the coming weeks of spring practice...

Tentative schedule

Feb 1st-C (Ty Ross) *Page 1*
Feb 2nd-1B (Tyler Moore or Mason Katz) *Page 3*
Feb 3rd-2B (Casey Yocom) *Page 4*
Feb 4th-SS (Austin Nola) *Page 4*
Feb 5th-3B (Tyler Hanover) *Page 5*
Feb 6th-OF (Raph Rhymes, JaCoby Jones, Mason Katz) *Page 5*
Feb 7th-DH (Jackson Slaid) *Page 7*
Feb 8th-SP (Kevin Gausman, Ryan Eades, Kurt McCune) *Page 8*
Feb 9th-RP (Aaron Nola, Nick Goody, Nick Rumbelow, Kevin Berry) *Page 9*
Feb 10th-Pro prospects for each class/Bench players
Feb 11th-Season predictions/Quick look at the 10 SEC series
Top Replies
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:30 am to

Height:6'2
Weight:207 lbs

CATCHER

Ty Ross So. *
Jordy Snikeris Sr.

If there was a preseason award for the most improved player from last year to this year Ty Ross would be at the top of the list. While shedding nearly fifteen pounds in the offseason Ty is putting himself in position to be much more mobile not only on the base paths, but behind the plate in what he’s hoping is his breakout year. In 2011 Ross never found his groove offensively in what was a struggle getting accustomed to SEC pitching. After a year under his belt and a quick summer stint in the Cape Cod league I have a feeling Ross isn’t as likely to press at the plate as his did as a freshman. In my opinion the more he gets comfortable in the box in turn it will allow him to utilize his raw power and start to become the pull hitter he was in high school. In terms of defense LSU is set with a solid backstop for at least the next two years in Ty Ross who only allowed 3 passed balls in forty six games last season. Ross still has below average speed which is not uncommon in big bodied catchers. Jordy Snikeris who also returns from last year will serve in the backup role as well as start a few midweek games here or there.

Power------45
Hitting------40
Speed------30
Fielding----60
Arm---------60

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
This post was edited on 2/2/12 at 7:33 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/2/12 at 7:29 am to

Height:6'0
Weight:204 lbs.

1ST BASE

Tyler Moore Fr.*
Grant Dozar Sr.

Another local talent from the greater Baton Rouge area will begin his career as an LSU Tiger later this month with high expectations. His name is Tyler Moore, a catcher from Dunham high school, Moore hit an outstanding .561 BA with 15 HR’s in his senior campaign. While the 1st base position has yet to be settled whether or not Mainieri keep Katz in RF or 1B, I however am sold on Moore’s ability to play the position right away. If Katz remains in right field Moore will most likely become the only left-handed bat in the starting lineup since the 2010 season. Moore’s frame will allow him to play anywhere on the corner infield positions as well as catcher for LSU. While Tyler still must get accustomed to 1st base he has all the necessary tools to be a successful three to four year starter. Moore, a natural catcher, has a very accurate arm and displays average speed for his position. Tyler's success at the plate could be vital in LSU's run towards a western crown. Grant Dozar will continue to be that viable leader on and off the field as he will be used in the platoon role in key situations late in the game. Also, don’t be surprised to see Dozar get numerous at bats if a certain player starts slumping, he may be LSU’s most important bench player in the upcoming season.

Power----------55
Hitting----------50
Speed----------50
Fielding--------45
Arm-------------55

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/3/12 at 7:34 am to

Height:5'11
Weight:192 lbs.

2ND BASE

Casey Yocom Jr.*
Beau Didier Sr.
Matt Fury Jr.

With JaCoby Jones move to centerfield Casey Yocom, the slick defensive player from Reno, Nevada will step in as LSU’s starting second baseman to begin the 2012 year. With Nola and Yocom LSU may have the best defensive middle infield since the move made in the middle of the season during the championship run which inserted Austin at SS and LeMahieu at 2B. Casey’s numbers don’t jump off the chart, nor does he have any particular set of tools that would be defined as “flashy” to the naked eye…he’s you’re prototypical hard nose infielder. The best part of Yocom’s game is his glove. The good news for Tiger fans is Casey Yocom was one of LSU's most consistent hitters in fall practices and the Purple-Gold World Series. Yocom will almost certainly hit at the bottom of the order in what Mainieri likes to use as the second leadoff hitter. He has above average speed, and I see him swiping anywhere from 8-15 bases on the season. All-in-all the tiger nation will be more than impressed with what they get from Casey this spring as his intensity will have positive effects on his teammates around him. Beau Didier will roam infield positions serving as the lead backup on the middle infield. Matt Fury with his great speed will be a situational runner in late innings.

Power---------35
Hitting---------50
Speed---------55
Fielding-------65
Arm------------55

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*


Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/4/12 at 8:12 am to

Height:6'0
Weight:188 lbs.

SHORTSTOP

Austin Nola Sr. *
Beau Didier Jr.

A year ago at this time Austin Nola was poised to have quite a solid junior year potentially landing him a contract in the top 5 rounds of the MLB draft, that didn't happen...Austin now returns as a senior motivated and determined to get back to Omaha in his final year at LSU with his brother Aaron. Both have shown eagerness to play side by side and they finally get their respective chances. When Austin is tuned in defensively there may not be a more fluid shortstop with the glove in the SEC let alone the country at his respective position. Nola has made incredible gems ever since his freshman season and will continue to make them as a senior. His best tool by far is the glove with his arm strength coming just a tad below. I think Nola's bat this year will go a long way in determining how high he's drafted in June. If he hits well over 300. and show he can steal bases from time to time I could easily see him going in the top 20 rounds. Austin never has hit for power and I don't see that changing, his approach is gap to gap while focusing on going the opposite way when needed. If tiger fans learned anything during the 09' championship run when a big hit was needed it was a calming sight seeing Nola step up to the batters box.

Power---------35
Hitting---------50
Speed---------50
Fielding-------70
Arm------------65

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/5/12 at 10:35 am to

Height:5'6
Weight:163 lbs.

THIRD BASE

Tyler Hanover Sr.*
Evan Powell Fr.

Not your prototypical 3rd baseman in any fashion you look at it. Tyler has always hit over 300. while at LSU, but there has been concern for his lack of extra base hits and hits with runners in scoring position as of recent. If all goes according to plan Tyler will start the season leading off for LSU at the top of the order. Hanover's power remains gap to gap where he continues to have limited long ball capabilities with the new bats. As long as Tyler's over at 3rd base LSU's infield will be solid...Hanover can play the position on a constant basis. In comparison to shortstop, Hanover has basically locked down third given that he doesn't have any struggles at the dish. Along with Nola, Tyler is hoping a revitalized team chemistry will bring the Tigers back to Omaha where they can close out their respective careers in a glorious fashion. Evan Powell, another freshman with a ton of potential, is being groomed at the position where he may most likely take over next season.

Power---------30
Hitting---------50
Speed---------50
Fielding-------55
Arm------------65

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/6/12 at 6:43 am to

Height:6'0
Weight:180 lbs.


Height:6'3
Weight:205 lbs.


Height:5'10
Weight:190 lbs.

OUTFIELD

Raph Rhymes Jr. *
JaCoby Jones So. *
Mason Katz Jr. *
Arby Fields Jr.
Alex Edward Jr.

LSU's outfield is by no means deep but it is talented. All three starters return from last season with most notable JaCoby Jones moving from the infield to center in replace of Mikie Mahtook. Mahtook will surely be missed, but the athletic play of Jones will ease the pain a great deal. If the season were to start today Rhymes wouldn't be able to make certain throws from left field, his arm just isn't 100%, but the coaches are doing everything they can to get him comfortable out there. For now I'm leaving Raph in LF; however don't be suprised to see him in at DH to begin the season. Jones in my opinion will make as smooth a transition from 2B to CF as anyone in the league he's got a great deal of potential in that frame and behind Gausman LSU's best pro prospect. JaCoby's athletic enough to play anywhere and it will show in the coming weeks. Katz a returning starter in RF will have that spot locked down if he remains out there. What you see is what you get with Mason, his bat is his centerpiece. Out of the group Katz comes in with slighty better power than the rest, Jones has the better glove. I still see Rhymes hitting over 330.-340. this year; he was recruited to LSU because of his explosive hitting and all signs point to another fantastic year at the plate. Arby Fields the football transfer from Northwestern (2010) will backup in center as well as left and will be the first one out there in the need of a replacement. Edward a returning starter for a part of his career will also split time in the outfield as well as possible DH.

Rhymes
Power-------55
Hitting-------60
Speed-------50
Fielding-----50
Arm----------45

Jones
Power-------50
Hitting-------55
Speed-------65
Fielding-----65
Arm----------65

Katz
Power-------55
Hitting-------60
Speed-------55
Fielding-----60
Arm----------60

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
This post was edited on 2/6/12 at 8:53 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/7/12 at 8:03 am to

Height:5'10
Weight:197 lbs

DESIGNATED HITTER

Jackson Slaid So. *
Raph Rhymes Jr.
Alex Edward Jr.

This position is still in the air depending on what happens in left field. If Rhymes is able to start in LF then Slaid would move into this role and vice versa. Slaid, a returning letterman, only made 6 official plate apperances a season ago. While Jackson's bodywork doesn't stand out on first glance his powerful swing will do the talking this season. If you had to ask he almost reminds me of Ryan Schimpf early in his career...he can spray the ball all over the yard with his hands. Slaids your average runner, he's a converted catcher out of high school so no suprises there. Does have a slightly above average arm and in my opinion has made the most progress between this year and last along with Ty Ross. Mainieri has stated multiple times that he wants Jackson hitting somewhere in the middle of the lineup so that right there should tell you how highly he thinks of Slaids future here. Wouldn't suprise me at all if Jackson Slaid finds himself with one of the top averages on the team at the end of the year.

Power------50
Hitting------55
Speed------50
Fielding----45
Arm---------55

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/8/12 at 6:46 am to

Height:6'4
Weight:185 lbs.


Height:6'3
Weight:198 lbs.


Height:6'3
Weight:175 lbs.

STARTING PITCHING

Kevin Gausman So. *
Ryan Eades So. *
Kurt McCune So. *
Cody Glenn Fr.
Joey Bourgeois Jr.

By far LSU's most talented position, for tiger fans...great news. Last season when Mainieri was forced to use these three freshmen for a majority of the season he knew there would be a great learning curve. All three had their struggles as well as their moments of greatness. With Gausman you have arguably the most talented pitcher in the SEC who will fight for the lead in total strikeouts this season. His fast ball has been sitting roughly 94-96mph thus far but will pick up latter in the spring. It will also most likely be Kevin's last year in an LSU uniform as it is a forgone conclusion he will be a top ten draft pick in the summer...something Mainieri knew when he got Kevin to stay with LSU. Ryan Eades is finally at full strength after his high school injury and hasn't looked better. After being named one of the best prospects in the cape code league after holding a 0.84 era in over 30 innings Ryan will work his way back to becoming that potential 1st rounder he was three years ago. Kurt McCune, LSU's Friday night guy in 2011 will probably find himself in the Sunday role to start the season...more good news. Kurt is going to be the Tigers change of pace starter as he doesn't throw nearly as hard as the other two, rather focuses on spot location with a mix of his two offspeed pitches. Although the weekday starters have yet to be determined I'd look for Cody Glenn the talented lefty out of Texas to start to work some innings here as well as Joey Bourgeios who is back from arm surgery. How well Glenn pitchers early in the season could land him the role as the top LHP out of the bullpen.

Gausman
Arm Strength----------75
Movement--------------65
Stamina-----------------65
Control------------------65

Eades
Arm Strength----------70
Movement--------------65
Stamina-----------------60
Control------------------55

McCune
Arm Strength----------55
Movement--------------60
Stamina-----------------60
Control------------------65

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
This post was edited on 2/8/12 at 8:44 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/9/12 at 7:58 am to

Height:6'1
Weight:172 lbs.


Height:5'11
Weight:197 lbs.


Height:6'0
Weight:184 lbs.


Height: 6'0"
Weight: 185 lbs.

RELIEF PITCHING

Aaron Nola Fr. *
Nick Goody Jr. *
Nick Rumbelow So. *
Kevin Berry Jr. *
Chris Cotton Jr.
Joe Broussard So.

Aaron Nola, the 22nd round draft pick of the Blue Jays, was arguably Mainieri's top pitching recruit from last year. Tiger nation is going to see a good dose of Austin's younger brother on the mound when the season begins and rightfully so. Nola pumps the gun anywhere from 90-93mph on average and has great command of his offspeed stuff that I see him as one of the top guys out of the pen. Nick Goody, the 22nd round draft pick of the Yankees, and Kevin Berry oddly enough remind me of each other. Both very similar pitching styles...nothing over powering, mostly relieing on location as well as contact outs. Nick Rumbelow has made amazing progress since his arrival to LSU's campus in the summer of 2010. Has been working steadily on his command and fastball has reached 93mph with that nasty slider he has. Don't be shocked at all if/when Rumbelow becomes the full time closer. Chris Cotton is back as the bullpen's situational lefty in need of quick outs or lefty on lefty matchups. Joe Broussard's arm is coming along nicely as well, if Chris is not used mainly out of the pen I see him returning to the weekday starter position. I'll cover more of the pitchers tomorrow...

Nola
Arm Strength----------65
Movement--------------65
Stamina-----------------55
Control-------------------65

Goody
Arm Strength----------55
Movement--------------55
Stamina-----------------40
Control-------------------55

Rumbelow
Arm Strength----------65
Movement--------------65
Stamina-----------------50
Control-------------------50

Berry
Arm Strength----------50
Movement--------------60
Stamina-----------------35
Control-------------------60

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/11/12 at 9:26 am to
Season Predictions for Regular Season

39-17
16-14 in SEC

LSU's SEC slate this year opens up with two teams who will likely find themselves at the bottom of the SEC WEST so it is imperative for the Tigers to get off to a great start in the first six games. Last year LSU was mentally devistated in the SEC opener and never recovered.

LSU then takes on Arkansas and Florida who are near the top of their respective divisions.

After the very tough six game stretch LSU's schedule lightens up a bit with Alabama, Kentucky, Georiga, and Ole Miss before back to back series to end the regular season with Vanderbilt and South Carolina who will be quite a challenge to put it lightly.

The key to LSU's success will be winning at least 12-13 games vs AUB, MISS. ST., ALA, UK, OLE, and UGA.

The SEC is extremely top heavy again...series against USC, VAN, ARK, and FLA will be tough.

I think LSU will end up as a 4 or 5 seed in the SEC tournament.

LSU hosts a regional for the first time since 2009.

LSU travels on the road for a super regional.

MISS ST.
Top Pitcher-Caleb Reed
Top Hitter-CT Bradford

@AUBURN
Top Pitcher-Cory Luckie
Top Hitter-Zach Alvord

ARKANSAS
Top Pitcher-DJ Baxendale
Top Hitter-Dominic Ficociello

@FLORIDA
Top Pitcher-Hudson Randall
Top Hitter-Mike Zunino

ALABAMA
Top Pitcher-Tucker Hawley
Top Hitter-Taylor Dugas

@KENTUCKY
Top Pitcher-Taylor Rogers
Top Hitter-Thomas McCarthy

GEORGIA
Top Pitcher-Michael Palazzone
Top Hitter-Levi Hyams

@OLE MISS
Top Pitcher-Bobby Wahl
Top Hitter-Alex Yarbrough

VANDERBILT
Top Pitcher-Tyler Beede
Top Hitter-Mike Yastrzemski

@SOUTH CAROLINA
Top Pitcher-Michael Roth
Top Hitter-Christian Walker
This post was edited on 2/11/12 at 9:52 am
All Replies (243)
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
73142 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:24 am to
thanks
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6194 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:27 am to
You da man Adam!

Looking forward to the other positions.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:30 am to

Height:6'2
Weight:207 lbs

CATCHER

Ty Ross So. *
Jordy Snikeris Sr.

If there was a preseason award for the most improved player from last year to this year Ty Ross would be at the top of the list. While shedding nearly fifteen pounds in the offseason Ty is putting himself in position to be much more mobile not only on the base paths, but behind the plate in what he’s hoping is his breakout year. In 2011 Ross never found his groove offensively in what was a struggle getting accustomed to SEC pitching. After a year under his belt and a quick summer stint in the Cape Cod league I have a feeling Ross isn’t as likely to press at the plate as his did as a freshman. In my opinion the more he gets comfortable in the box in turn it will allow him to utilize his raw power and start to become the pull hitter he was in high school. In terms of defense LSU is set with a solid backstop for at least the next two years in Ty Ross who only allowed 3 passed balls in forty six games last season. Ross still has below average speed which is not uncommon in big bodied catchers. Jordy Snikeris who also returns from last year will serve in the backup role as well as start a few midweek games here or there.

Power------45
Hitting------40
Speed------30
Fielding----60
Arm---------60

*Scale 20-Lowest, 50-Average, 80-Top of the Charts*
This post was edited on 2/2/12 at 7:33 am
Posted by BayouWrangler
Member since Feb 2011
1231 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 6:33 am to
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8804 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 7:17 am to
Posted by LSUTygerFan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
33232 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 7:43 am to
Below average hitting is kind of scary. Although those numbers are probably better than last year.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77346 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 7:49 am to
I'd think below average would still be better than the .205 or whatever it was batting average last year
Posted by mylsuhat
Mandeville, LA
Member since Mar 2008
48928 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 7:50 am to
YAYYYYY!!



What were his stats last season on throwing guys out? Just curious
This post was edited on 2/1/12 at 7:53 am
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
22811 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 7:54 am to
Nice writeup Adam. Looking forward to reading the rest!
Posted by LSUTygerFan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
33232 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:21 am to
quote:


I'd think below average would still be better than the .205 or whatever it was batting average last year


Agreed.
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22966 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:21 am to
Finally!
Posted by crankbait
Member since Feb 2008
11623 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Message Posted by josh336 I'd think below average would still be better than the .205 or whatever it was batting average last year


Yea, any improvement would be nice. It was tough seeing an almost automatic out last year. He is legit in the field though
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18938 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:43 am to
quote:

What were his stats last season on throwing guys out? Just curious


LSU was run on the 2nd most in the SEC last year behind Georgia; however I don't see that being as big of a problem this year with the rotation LSU has this year and the addition of Alan Dunn.

To answer your question I believe he threw out 10 guys last year.
Posted by GoldenHebert
Lafayette, LA
Member since Oct 2011
880 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:54 am to
I just moved to Tenn, do they do a sort of internet radio broadcast for all the games? I'm going to miss tuning in to 98.1 all the time.
Posted by Froman
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2007
36203 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:54 am to
I knew this would be coming soon.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33445 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 8:54 am to
Ross threw out 10 of 59 runners trying to steal...that is only 17%. Snickeris only threw out 1 of 9, which is 11%. Those numbers MUST get better this year.
Posted by Harry Caray
Denial
Member since Aug 2009
18636 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 9:06 am to
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
10633 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 9:21 am to
Good Stuff!
Posted by Jedi
a galaxy far, far away
Member since May 2011
293 posts
Posted on 2/1/12 at 9:27 am to
Thanks, Adam!

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