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Odds the Mississippi River jumps basins?

Posted on 5/16/11 at 8:59 am
Posted by Oily Tigah
City of Surup
Member since May 2007
2373 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 8:59 am
The mighty Mississippi is want to change paths every 1000 years or so. Just a normal part of geologic life. It has been meandering back and forth from Galveston to NO since the last ice age. I can't help but wonder if it gets outside of the levees if we will ever get it back where we want it. I believe we are over due for a basin change. If not for the army corp of engineers this would certainly occur this year. Is it inevitable no matter what we do? It's hard to hold the Mississippi.
This post was edited on 5/16/11 at 10:39 am
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166326 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:03 am to
novel concept.
Posted by hobo with a rolex
everywhere
Member since Sep 2006
3203 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:04 am to


you is want search
Posted by Croacka
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2008
61441 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:05 am to
it doesnt meander like it used to because the levees don't really allow it to


if the ORCS ever fails, we're in a world of hurt, but as long as that structure stays sound, we should be in the clear
Posted by agdoctor
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2004
3142 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:07 am to
this event the chances are 0%
Posted by Oily Tigah
City of Surup
Member since May 2007
2373 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:27 am to
quote:

this event the chances are 0%


Your not as smart as you think you are. I'd agree the odds are very low, but 0? You don't know s***.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
81658 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:29 am to
0.1 %, so yeah, I'm saying there's a chance.
Posted by agdoctor
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2004
3142 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:35 am to
quote:

You don't know s***.


Guess you slept in a Holiday Inn Express. I know one thing. Its the Old River Control Structure that you need to watch if the river changing course is a concern for you.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58161 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:40 am to
This has been discussed on here 136 times in the last three weeks.
Go read some of the other threads.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17673 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:55 am to
quote:

This has been discussed on here 136 times in the last three weeks.
Go read some of the other threads.

This.
But to specifically answer the question, it's probably .2 to .5%.
Posted by Oily Tigah
City of Surup
Member since May 2007
2373 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:55 am to
Hey, dickheads. I searched for "Odds the Mississippi River jumps basisns?" and got 0 hits. I know how to search. The problem is all the retards that don't know how to name threads. so

=P
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58161 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:58 am to
Little to no chance if you want an answer.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43143 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 9:59 am to
Are you fricking serious with this?

Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51265 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:00 am to
quote:

retards that don't know how to name threads


quote:

Odds the Mississippi River jumps basisns?
Posted by Deathrider
Member since Aug 2010
3675 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:00 am to
The chance is small.
This post was edited on 5/16/11 at 10:00 am
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:04 am to
quote:

The chance is small.


The chance is small in our lifetimes. The chance approached 100% in geological time.
Posted by Tommy Patel
Member since Apr 2006
7558 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:04 am to
quote:

Oily Tigah


there are those in the engineering community that have been preaching about giving the river a few substantial tributaries to further increase it's area of influence and deposits of rich sediment. This would benefit our state greatly from East Carroll to Cameron. It would cost less than a war and could be paid for with Louisiana Oil.
This post was edited on 5/16/11 at 10:05 am
Posted by Deathrider
Member since Aug 2010
3675 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:07 am to
quote:

The chance approached 100% in geological time.


This is true, but I believe he was referring to this episode.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166326 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:14 am to
Well 100% chance in geological time but never have we had the technology we have in place now to prevent such things in the past like we do now.

Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Well 100% chance in geological time but never have we had the technology we have in place now to prevent such things in the past like we do now.


This Mississippi is 14 feet higher than the Atchafalaya at Old River. It is at the extreme eastern edge of its historical meander. The eastern bank at old river is upland, so the River cannot move farther east. It will eventually move farther west, and there is nothing man can do to stop it.

The technology in place would have been familiar to Archimedes and Vitrivius. There is nothing sophisticated about it. The only remarkable thing about the flood control system for the Lower Mississippi is its scale.

You are correct in saying that we have massive resources to try to keep it there. But eventually the water will find level. There are about 80 tons of water a second trying to drop 14 feet at Old River. You are not going to stop it forever.
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