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LSU and the vegas spread - at oxford
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:00 am
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:00 am
the houston chronicle now has LSU at +4 1/2...
the line has moved from +3 to +4 1/2...
i avoid betting on LSU - for or against - but for professional gamblers out there, LSU seems like a very good bet this weekend.
better talent, more to play for and more to prove
the line has moved from +3 to +4 1/2...
i avoid betting on LSU - for or against - but for professional gamblers out there, LSU seems like a very good bet this weekend.
better talent, more to play for and more to prove
7
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:02 am to billfish21
Take the Rebels all day
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:03 am to billfish21
If I weren't an LSU fan, I still wouldn't bet on this game. However, when I make bets, I'm very risk adverse. This game is too 50/50 for me.
The only thing that would sway me one way or another would be LSU's depth. OM doesn't have as much, no home field advantage, and they can't play their dixie song.
The only thing that would sway me one way or another would be LSU's depth. OM doesn't have as much, no home field advantage, and they can't play their dixie song.
This post was edited on 11/19/09 at 10:04 am
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:04 am to As RXd
I don't know. I'd agree with us being a dog, except this has classic Houston Nutt letdown written all over it.
Everyone thinks they'll win, so they'll definitely lose.
Everyone thinks they'll win, so they'll definitely lose.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:05 am to billfish21
i'd stay away from it.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:06 am to billfish21
never bet on a game when a team has a questionable qb due to injuries
ETA: unless you know the answer to that question and Vegas doesnt
which would be kinda shady
ETA: unless you know the answer to that question and Vegas doesnt
which would be kinda shady
This post was edited on 11/19/09 at 10:07 am
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:06 am to ThePoo
Unless you have inside info.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:07 am to mule74
I would like to see that, however reality tells me that DC runs through our defense for more than 150 yards and OM dominates the clock ....
31-17. OM
31-17. OM
Posted on 11/19/09 at 10:12 am to billfish21
They probably heard the LM show last night. He was not very convincing.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 3:25 pm to As RXd
I'm sure the dixie song really fires up Dexter and all...
Posted on 11/19/09 at 3:26 pm to undrafted
LSU wins if Jefferson plays and plays well and the D shuts down Dexter and makes Snead try to beat them.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 3:34 pm to billfish21
If smart money liked LSU this weekend, they wouldn't have become a bigger underdog.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 3:59 pm to Trender
quote:
If smart money liked LSU this weekend, they wouldn't have become a bigger underdog.
Smart money doesn't always move the line...
Posted on 11/19/09 at 3:59 pm to Trender
quote:
If smart money liked LSU this weekend, they wouldn't have become a bigger underdog.
But I do think it's a coin flip plus homefield this weekend. There are better buys out there.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:02 pm to BigDogGambler
LSU is going to smoke the Rebels this weekend.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:03 pm to BigDogGambler
quote:
Smart money doesn't always move the line...
No they don't but OP said professional gamblers liked LSU.
And to your second post, yes, a line of 3-4' indicates a coin flip + hfa. I'm not a buyer either.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:25 pm to Trender
The reason the line is moving up is because they have taken more bets on Ole Miss than on LSU so Vegas is trying to even it up by giving LSU and more points.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:44 pm to Marta1907
Vegas is also known to do reverse moves to confuse the gambler into thinking money is being dumped on certain teams... meaning more money could be being dumped on LSU and instead of moving the line down LSU's way, moving it up Ole Miss's way to persude more action on Ole Miss.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:46 pm to Marta1907
quote:
The reason the line is moving up is because they have taken more bets on Ole Miss than on LSU so Vegas is trying to even it up by giving LSU and more points.
Correction they have taken more MONEY on Ole Miss not NUMBER of bets... in theory of course.
See "reverse line movement" post above.
Posted on 11/19/09 at 4:48 pm to DrTyger
quote:
LSU wins if Jefferson plays and plays well and the D shuts down Dexter and makes Snead try to beat them.
You don't say?
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