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What was the reasoning behind the incredible leases associated with Haynesville shale?

Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:03 pm
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
8958 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:03 pm
It seems like 5-10 years ago there were a bunch of stories of people getting paid 10's of thousands of dollars for yearly leases on what had always been cattle pasture. I assume most of this was part of the Haynesville shale area, but might have been other cenla areas. What was the driver in the market to get those prices so high? Did the oil companies get their money out of those plays? It doesn't seem like natgas prices every got high enough to justify those numbers (but I don't know much about the industry).

Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
134843 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:05 pm to
O&G prices were high
Posted by roobedoo
hall summit
Member since Jun 2008
1089 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:06 pm to
Greed
Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:06 pm to
One of the drivers was that Ten years ago energy analysts were predicting $20/1000cu.ft. natural gas prices. Therefore, everyone was hopping in. What happened? Gas went to $3/1000cu.ft.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
8958 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

O&G prices were high



Did the nat gas prices get that high? Isn't that the main product of these areas?

Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:09 pm to
As I recall, gas went to about $13/1000cu.ft. Energy analysts were predicting $20 soon after. Therefore, at that time these leases looked like a good play. Then the price came tumbling down.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

Did the nat gas prices get that high? Isn't that the main product of these areas?



Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

As I recall, gas went to about $13/1000cu.ft. Energy analysts were predicting $20 soon after. Therefore, at that time these leases looked like a good play. Then the price came tumbling down.




2008 and 2009 happened, and it hasn't sniffed those prices again. In hindsight, the Haynesville shale leases are some of the most absurd contracts to ever be written.
This post was edited on 4/29/17 at 9:12 pm
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
8958 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:13 pm to
Wow, I didn't realize that prices got that high, or were as low as they are now.

When they peaked out, were they just tracking with oil? Or did many believe that more auto fleets would be moving to nat gas? Find other uses? Take over coal for electrical? Why aren't we using more nat gas as prices are plummeting?

Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124258 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:14 pm to
American greed will be doing a story about t them in a ge next few years
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
17319 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:16 pm to
There was a thread about this on the Money board that lasted at least a year.
Posted by ithad2bme
Houston transplant from B.R.
Member since Sep 2008
3468 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:20 pm to
It was a dry gas, and money started to shift to gas with more liquids because oil prices were higher than gas.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
8958 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

the Haynesville shale leases are some of the most absurd contracts to ever be written.


This is what I was wondering, if in hind sight, this was how those leases were viewed.

About 4th hand I had heard a story of a very successful professional that made more money in a couple of years just because he owned a few hundred acres out in the sticks than he had in an entire career as a professional.

Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48842 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:26 pm to
Bro nat gas was through the roof at the time, it was a perfect storm of a huge gas boom and companies trying lock up big lease blocks
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59599 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 9:28 pm to
Hated working in the haynesville despite it being close to home. High temps would sometime frick up DIR tools then I had to fill out all kinds of paperwork.
Posted by SOLA
There
Member since Mar 2014
3312 posts
Posted on 4/30/17 at 1:52 am to
Never understood them paying 20,000/acre plus 1/4 royalty. It was like Chesapeake and everyone else thought gas had to stay at $16
This post was edited on 4/30/17 at 7:17 am
Posted by CorporateTiger
Member since Aug 2014
10700 posts
Posted on 4/30/17 at 2:12 am to
From what I heard Chesapeake's drilling planned involved them having more rigs running than existed in NA at the time. I have no clue how those guys didn't go bankrupt in this last downcycle.
Posted by RabidTiger
Member since Nov 2009
3127 posts
Posted on 4/30/17 at 3:32 am to
quote:

About 4th hand I had heard a story of a very successful professional that made more money in a couple of years just because he owned a few hundred acres out in the sticks than he had in an entire career as a professional.

For sure. I know some families that got tens of millions. Chesapeake was paying 10k+ per acre for about a year.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48842 posts
Posted on 4/30/17 at 7:06 am to
quote:

Never understood them paying 2,000/acre plus 1/4 royalty. I


How about 20k an acre and a quarter lol, it was crazy.
Posted by bricksandstones
Member since Nov 2015
1579 posts
Posted on 4/30/17 at 7:15 am to
Really makes me wish my dad had gone thru with buying that deer lease in DeSoto Parish.
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