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re: Tornado! - E. Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi Edition

Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:00 am to
Posted by yourmusicisbad
Member since Sep 2014
20 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:00 am to
When is the earliest I should be safe to leave Houston to get to BR?
This post was edited on 1/2/17 at 10:13 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:17 am to
First Tor warning of the day

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41535 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:17 am to
Watching those storms near Ville Platte
Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:19 am to
Mean storm cell motion 250 degrees at 40 KT (46 mph). MOVG ENE.
This post was edited on 1/2/17 at 10:20 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:20 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:20 am to
Tor Watch coming shortly for BR and New Orleans.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:20 am to


Mesoscale Discussion 0009
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 AM CST Mon Jan 02 2017

Areas affected...southeast Louisiana through southern Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 021617Z - 021815Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind and a few tornadoes is
expected to increase from southeast Louisiana through southern
Mississippi into southwest Alabama from late morning into the
afternoon. A tornado watch will likely be issued for this region by
17Z.

DISCUSSION...This morning a coastal warm front extends from the FL
Panhandle through the MS boot heel into southeast and west central
Louisiana where it intersects a pre-frontal squall line. Widespread
clouds have been a limiting factor so far for a more robust severe
threat. However, the moist boundary layer south of the warm front is
destabilizing, primarily due to theta-e advection, but some cloud
breaks will be possible this afternoon supporting MLCAPE from
1000-1500 j/kg. The squall line will likely continue east next
several hours as it intercepts the moistening boundary layer along
and south of the warm front. Additional more discrete storms will
likely continue developing within pre-frontal confluence bands
within the destabilizing warm sector. Some strengthening of broad
southwesterly low-level jet will occur into the afternoon in
association with forcing for ascent accompanying the progressive
southern-stream shortwave trough. This will maintain sufficiently
large 0-2 km hodographs for a threat of low-level mesocyclones and a
few tornadoes, especially as discrete storms become surface-based
ahead of the line. Brief QLCS tornadoes in addition to damaging wind
will remain the primary threats within the squall line.
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3019 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:27 am to
Check out the hook over lake maurepas

This post was edited on 1/2/17 at 10:28 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:29 am to
New Tor warning in Mississippi

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:30 am to
quote:


Check out the hook over lake maurepas


That is a legit hook with what appears to be a hail spike. Could be producing.
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:30 am to
What weather app do you have for your phone?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:31 am to
New Tor Warning


Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:32 am to
Already had to deal with flash flooding in Tuscaloosa


Storms seem to be following the interstate
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:33 am to
What weather app are you using?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:33 am to
Any storm chasers?
Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:33 am to
Tornado warning: radar indicated tornado likely 9 miles north of laPlace, La moving NE at 30 mph.

10:30 am jan 2
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41535 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:37 am to
I know your gonna be busy for a while but if you got a second what do you think of those cells out in Western Louisiana forming ahead of the squall line?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:38 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:38 am to
Midday update from SPC



Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 1/2/17 at 10:38 am to
At least the probabilities aren't high. Good luck to y'all
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