quote:
I think it was John Hope who said when you get the massive cloud deck to the east of a tropical system, as indicated in that pic, you can expect a very rapidly strengthening storm that will get very large as long as it doesn't have any westerly wind shear.

This system will be encountering westerly shear, so...

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Posted by runningTiger

Member since Apr 2014

3029 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 10:53 pm to moffettduck

quote:
John hope

Why do we care what a dead movie star said
Max 60mph at landfall
Meteorology is a pseudo science for those not smart enough for the real sciences
Hobbists and "pros" alike are clueless and just talk rumble jumble technical terms to cover the fact
THEY HAVE NO CLUE

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Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

84933 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 11:23 pm to runningTiger

quote:
Meteorology is a pseudo science for those not smart enough for the real sciences
Hobbists and "pros" alike are clueless and just talk rumble jumble technical terms to cover the fact
THEY HAVE NO CLUE

Seem to have done a pretty good job on this one in the last 48 hours. Black is the actual track and you can see the models and NHC forecast as well.

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Posted by moffettduck

Mobile, Alabama

Member since Feb 2016

857 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 11:25 pm to runningTiger

lol.. that storm is probably at 60mph now you nut!

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Posted by Loungefly85

Lafayette

Member since Jul 2016

7930 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 11:44 pm to slackster

Dollars to donuts this hits Florida panhandle as a strong cat 1 with cat 2 level surge.

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Posted by runningTiger

Member since Apr 2014

3029 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 11:50 pm to slackster

Computer models!
Designed by computer scientists
Not meteorologists!
Anyone can read a computer model graphic
Not a true science

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Posted by moffettduck

Mobile, Alabama

Member since Feb 2016

857 posts

Posted on 8/30/16 at 11:57 pm to Loungefly85

Im guessing 125 mph around Destin. Will it be Dennis or Ivan sized by then? Then again.. same time period of the year as Katrina and that loop current is over a very large area and its blowing up fast.

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Posted by runningTiger

Member since Apr 2014

3029 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:09 am to moffettduck

Get at me when there's a clear eye
Moron saying 125 mph
You should be banned for your drama

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Posted by TigerFred

Feeding hamsters

Member since Aug 2003

27175 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:12 am to runningTiger

Reading the posts by you two is like watching two kindergarteners argue over which is better, eating paste or eating crayons.

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Posted by runningTiger

Member since Apr 2014

3029 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:14 am to TigerFred

I don't know which is worse
The pro meteorologists who think their fancy lingo adds anything
Or the amateurs who have mastered 10 computer model words and think they know anything
Like watching two mutes participating in a Tennessee Williams Stella screaming contest

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Posted by moffettduck

Mobile, Alabama

Member since Feb 2016

857 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:15 am to TigerFred

nahh...I'm just observing a rapidly developing storm based on not fantasy but actual satellite imagery which shows what I am calling. Its also over very warm waters and as history shows, when the conditions are all there, these things pop. The fact that he is "offended" is quite hilarious, but hey.. someone's gotta be that person.

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Posted by TigerFred

Feeding hamsters

Member since Aug 2003

27175 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:16 am to runningTiger

Bless your heart. You up vote your own posts.

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Posted by razorbackfan4life

Northwest Arkansas

Member since Apr 2011

8496 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:17 am to moffettduck

quote:
runningTiger

TROLLOLOLOL

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Posted by runningTiger

Member since Apr 2014

3029 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:21 am to moffettduck

I'm not even going to start with the meteorology lingo that would show this is just a late night flare
By morning you'll be telling people
But late last night it was booming
55mph tops
I'll up vote those posts that are correct

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Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

84933 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:23 am to TigerFred

CMC track has shifted east. 12z run was near Destin. 0z run is now suggesting Panama City around 2PM Thursday.

0z GFS run is essentially unchanged. Landfall expected near Perry, FL late Thursday night or early Friday morning.

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Posted by GEAUXmedic

Premium Member

Member since Nov 2011

41598 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:56 am to slackster

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
100 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

...DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 88.1W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

still waiting on recon to take off.

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Posted by Jim Rockford

Member since May 2011

98190 posts

Posted on 8/31/16 at 1:30 am to slackster

quote:
I think it was John Hope who said when you get the massive cloud deck to the east of a tropical system, as indicated in that pic, you can expect a very rapidly strengthening storm that will get very large as long as it doesn't have any westerly wind shear.

The thing I remember most about John Hope is how he could never keep his eyes off Jill Brown's chest