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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:12 pm to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:12 pm to
and operational Euro is smack in the middle of ensembles.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Insurance requires us to move it north in the event of major storm


hope you don't already have plans this weekend
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15673 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

You know what you will never see? You'll never see someone on a weather forum post that they think the ridge will be weaker than the models suggest and the storm will move northward much earlier in the forecast period, causing absolutely no concerns in the recently flooded area of LA. That kind of prediction doesn't get the juices flowing, but it is just as likely as his hunch.
very well said and I agree. You are the voice of reason.
Posted by Theboot32
Member since Jan 2016
2435 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

GEAUXmedic


when do we expect this to become TS Hermine?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85175 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

I'm just here for the pictures and not the words and bull shite back and forth non sense in this thread



Fair enough. Here you go...



Maybe I'm crazy but I don't see any sort of movement other than west in that loop.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:19 pm to
you're not crazy. there's no rotation yet. Recon confirmed and got out of there a couple hours ago.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166675 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:19 pm to
hope people strap down this time.

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Massive increase in support from the Euro ensembles. Counting 38/51 members, ~25 in the Gulf.


quote:

@RyanMaue Considerable ECMWF ensemble support for Invest 99L --> Hermine threat into FL Sunday. I am a bit surprised tbh
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:21 pm
Posted by CajunCommander
FloodZone
Member since Jan 2015
1844 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:21 pm to
Haha I remember that "Never Forget Hurricane Issac" meme with one stick on the ground
Posted by MightyYat
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2009
24520 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:23 pm to
My wife is leaving for a work conference in Disney World next Tuesday. What's the timeline for all of this shite?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85175 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

And the NAVGEM.. so we have a consensus of three major models.




Look at the size of Gaston on that model. Yeesh.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166675 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:23 pm to
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:26 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:23 pm to
So basically, the Euro ensembles strongly support the Florida hit, but once it gets in the gulf, they widely differ.
Posted by Wimp Lo
My nipples look like Milk Duds
Member since Aug 2016
4548 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

You know what you will never see? You'll never see someone on a weather forum post that they think the ridge will be weaker than the models suggest and the storm will move northward much earlier in the forecast period, causing absolutely no concerns in the recently flooded area of LA. That kind of prediction doesn't get the juices flowing, but it is just as likely as


I find Storm2k much more reasonable than GulfcoastWX. Over there they damn near jizz their pants at even the hint of a system coming near them. It's not every poster, but several of them they're overly excited about a system heading into the gulf of mexico.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
90685 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

My question was why are people afraid to say Katrina?


wut
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Look at the size of Gaston on that model. Yeesh.



Oh yeah, Gaston was always gonna be a beast. That'll be a fun one to watch from afar.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

My wife is leaving for a work conference in Disney World next Tuesday. What's the timeline for all of this shite?


Sometime around when she moves onto her fourth strange cock.

Had to be done.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 3:25 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

I find Storm2k much more reasonable than GulfcoastWX. Over there they damn near jizz their pants at even the hint of a system coming near them. It's not every poster, but several of them they're overly excited about a system heading into the gulf of mexico.



Ok.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96049 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:25 pm to
someone said "that storm that hasnt been named" as a joke and the guy thinks people really are afraid to say katrina.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166675 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:27 pm to
can ya'll shutup about the k word.
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