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Started By
Message
re: Real estate groups urged the Fed to stop rate hikes.
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:23 pm to billjamin
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:23 pm to billjamin
quote:
I like the idea but unfortunately in reality that fricks people way harder without massive spending cuts. Which we know isn’t going to happen with our spend happy politicians.
Very few people would vote for a sales tax increase if they also had to pay it. Property taxes are the worst of the 3 imo, but touted as some sort of benefit by some states.
The government controls half of the equation and your neighbors can also easily vote for you to fund their new dog park or whatever. My income will be way lower in retirement but my home value probably won't be. No thanks.
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:32 pm to stormyhog
quote:Down 29% this September vs last in our market.
It’s slowed down probably about 20% here but still humming surprisingly. 2019-2022 was insane.
I’m still doing fine, but I outwork most of the realtors in my market.
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:41 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
This purge is harsh, but was absolutely needed.
Also this was coming. They should have been stocking the cupboards over the past few years
Also this was coming. They should have been stocking the cupboards over the past few years
Posted on 10/14/23 at 12:03 am to greygoose
What are black rocks subsidiary companies buying? That’s what I’d be looking at.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 12:05 am to stout
Kinda shitty. Really. They have us by the balls, and there’s no way to stop them from squeezing.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 12:13 am to shutterspeed
House prices aren’t going down, inventory is short by a lot, interest rates aren’t going down anytime soon, they are only going up. If you HAVE to buy, then do it before interest rates go up, so you can lock in, then if interest rates go down later, you can refinance. If you don’t Have to buy and are happy where you are at, like I am, then sit back and watch. I’ve just remodeled the interior. Good luck if you are looking, sincerely.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 1:01 am to TxWadingFool
quote:
I'm still on the sideline waiting,
Good luck brother… all those people with sub 3 mortgages will be listing in no time, just wait!
Posted on 10/14/23 at 1:50 am to stout
How in the world can it be 3000 days to foreclose? 10 years?
Am I reading something wrong?
Are there NO foreclosures in Louisiana?
Posted on 10/14/23 at 7:10 am to ugasickem
My wife and I are so happy we skipped the starter home and stretched a bit to get into a house we could stay in with kids.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 7:12 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
Jerome Powell is committed to rate hikes because he has been so successful combatting inflation. He’ll keep raising the rate until it works.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 7:15 am to lowspark12
quote:
Good luck brother… all those people with sub 3 mortgages will be listing in no time, just wait!
2.5 years into a refinanced 15 at 2.35%.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 7:50 am to lowspark12
Have never heard so many people “on the sidelines”. When rates drop it’s going to be insane. These values now may look like steals. Maybe housing was just undervalued for years?
Posted on 10/14/23 at 8:20 am to Lsupimp
quote:
The amount of closings this week in south Louisiana was by far the lowest in the 20 years I’ve monitored such things. This week is literally a 21st century low. And it’s been bad for a year.
And it's still not yet enough to begin dragging prices down.
It's likely going to take a lot longer to drain the excess liquidity from the market and build up the necessary suprluses of materials to drive prices down than anyone thought.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 8:31 am to JiminyCricket
quote:
Let’s be honest, we’re all fricked anyway. Rates stay outrageous and people won’t be able to afford houses. Rates drop a bit and so many people jump into a low inventory market that the price increases will make your eyes cross. We’re fricked.
Until you pry the "for rent" houses back into the market for people to buy and live in, we will be.
Multiple houses in my established, middle class neighborhood for lease, much fewer for sale right now.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 8:40 am to ugasickem
Yep, we are getting the Cali / NYC zone where rent control, property tax increases limits, etc, have made it to where people will tend to hold onto their current property until they absolutely have to sell.
Anyone selling right now may get a premium over what they paid for the current property but the chances of finding something new are low and it will cost you a ton.
Selling my current house for $500K does me no good if the next best house I can find is one that won’t serve my needs while costing $450K with a high interest rate.
Anyone selling right now may get a premium over what they paid for the current property but the chances of finding something new are low and it will cost you a ton.
Selling my current house for $500K does me no good if the next best house I can find is one that won’t serve my needs while costing $450K with a high interest rate.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 9:31 am to Sheep
quote:
Until you pry the "for rent" houses back into the market for people to buy and live in, we will be.
That's not likely to happen without a scenario where high unemployment empties rentals. With rates staying so high (and likely to go at least a little higher), demand for rentals will increase as long as people have paychecks coming in. What's likely to drop is the amount of AirBNB/VRBOs in non-touristy areas (places like LA, DC, NYC, coastal areas with nice beaches, etc will likely not see a change unless we hit a bad recession).
Posted on 10/14/23 at 10:34 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
Realtors are the used car salesmen of the 21st century.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 11:52 am to greygoose
quote:
The indicator I would follow is if Blackrock is still buying.
NOI on investment properties getting squeezed with increased regulations, taxes and operating costs. When travel slows down because the consumer is getting tapped out by inflation, watch out. Institutional owners will dump inventory for better yields.
Posted on 10/14/23 at 11:54 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
You mean those agents that have been absolutely stacking cash for the past couple of years with insane housing prices?
Nah, they can adjust like the rest of us.
Nah, they can adjust like the rest of us.
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