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Started By
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re: Fourth Pregnant Zika in the US confirmed: New York City
Posted on 1/29/16 at 11:30 am to lsunurse
Posted on 1/29/16 at 11:30 am to lsunurse
quote:
I'll be curious to see how it affects the 2016 Olympics in Brazil. I read an article that some countries are urging their female athletes to not attend.
I've read that some feel that this is being purposefully overblown as a way to torpedo the Olympics.
1
Posted on 1/29/16 at 11:30 am to lsupride87
quote:
You really cant figure this out? Pregnant women are waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay more likely to go get tested for it. The normal person really has no reason to go get tested
great, so non-pregnants won't get tested and will be the sources of the spread of the apocalypse
This post was edited on 1/29/16 at 11:31 am
Posted on 1/29/16 at 11:53 am to Kujo
So should I not have a third child?
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:17 pm to Kujo
quote:Not yet.
it's not mosquito season here.....yet
And the SE is far more vulnerable, as we have the most mosquitoes that can serve as carriers.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:19 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
gestured at three tyres dumped on the weed-ravaged, litter-strewn roadside
We really should have more tires recapped.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:36 pm to lsupride87
quote:
The US has 25,000 cases of microcephaly a year. Yet Brazil, which has 67% if the US population, only has 150? Not a freaking chance
Did you miss the numbers for last year (2015)? Something like 4000 have been born with the condition since October.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:44 pm to BigEdLSU
quote:more like steaming mad with anger
God isn't very happy with the direction of the world.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:47 pm to Pettifogger
quote:That is the current belief. The virus is carried by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. This species prefers tropical and subtropical environments. There is concern, however, that the virus could spread to the southern part of the US, as the southeast does have a climate conducive to A. aegypti.
It's only from travel right? As in, pregnant women spending the entirety of their pregnancy in Ohio aren't going to have issues, yes?
There is also concern that the virus could jump to the Culex genera of mosquito, which is the type that carries West Nile. If the virus makes this jump, there is a potential for it to spread across the US, as Culex species are found across the country.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:52 pm to Sasquatch Smash
quote:And that number appear to be inflated.
Did you miss the numbers for last year (2015)? Something like 4000 have been born with the condition since October.
LINK
quote:It seems that there is cause for concern, but the extent of it is extreme.
On 27 January, it said that of 4,180 suspected cases of microcephaly recorded since October, it has so far confirmed 270 and rejected 462 as false diagnoses.
This post was edited on 1/29/16 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:55 pm to PJinAtl
quote:
There is concern, however, that the virus could spread to the southern part of the US, as the southeast does have a climate conducive to A. aegypti. There is also concern that the virus could jump to the Culex genera of mosquito, which is the type that carries West Nile. If the virus makes this jump, there is a potential for it to spread across the US, as Culex species are found across the country.
That is the kinda stuff that is terrifying to pregnant women and those trying to get pregnant.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:56 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
soon as it gets to the mosquitos, it's a different ballgame.
I remember people thinking the same thing about HIV
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:58 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
It seems that there is cause for concern, but the extent of it is extreme.
So if the trend continues, they'll end up with around 1541 cases of small head.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:59 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
It seems that there is cause for concern, but the extent of it is extreme.
If you and your wife were trying to conceive and yall were given a free trip to Brazil for the Olympics....would you go if 2 months prior to the trip you find out she is pregnant?
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:59 pm to Kujo
quote:
it's not mosquito season here.....yet
I enjoy the cold in the south. We don't endure horrors of massive snow pile and keeps the insects away. Can put on a simple jacket to stay warm..Pity it's only like 2-3 months out of 12.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:00 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:Which is still low for their population...... The US has 25,000 a year
So if the trend continues, they'll end up with around 1541 cases of small head.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:08 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Which is still low for their population...... The US has 25,000 a year
Do you have a link for that? Best info I can get says incidence is between 2-12 cases/10,000 births for the US, which would give me a different number than you. Rather than extrapolating a figure I would like to find actual 2014/2015 statistics.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:12 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
Microcephaly affects 2 - 2 1/2% of the entire
population. Microcephaly is COMMON - it is far more
common than other well known disorders (i.e.
Autism). Microcephaly affects more than 25,000
infants in the United States each year.
quote:
Microcephaly is common, affecting more than 25,000 infants in the United States each year. If it is not present at birth, it usually has developed by the time a child is two years old. While microcephaly is not a disease, it is an important sign that may point to other conditions.
quote:
Annually, approximately 25,000 infants in the United States will be diagnosed with microcephaly
quote:
In a broad sense, projected life expectancy for patients affected with microcephaly is lessened, and the prediction of regular brain development is far less. The condition is comparatively uncommon, affecting about 25,000 kids in the United States every year.
This post was edited on 1/29/16 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:15 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:Which would probably be more than expected on average, but exponentially more like the fear-mongering would lead us to believe. If we use US and it's vastly superior medicine and diagnostic tools as a baseline, there are 12 per 10,000 born with microcephaly.
So if the trend continues, they'll end up with around 1541 cases of small head.
Using that rate rate and Brazil's birth rate, we would expect about 3600 born with Microcephaly per year or 1200 in 4 months. So 1500 isn't that far outside the expectation.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:15 pm to lsupride87
Posted on 1/29/16 at 1:16 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:12/10,000 is what is diagnosed AT BIRTH. 25,000 are diagnosed a year in the US because at birth the doctor might not notice
Which would probably be more than expected on average, but exponentially more like the fear-mongering would lead us to believe. If we use US and it's vastly superior medicine and diagnostic tools as a baseline, there are 12 per 10,000 born with microcephaly.
Using that rate rate and Brazil's birth rate, we would expect about 3600 born with Microcephaly per year or 1200 in 4 months. So 1500 isn't that far outside the expectation.
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