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2
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:42 am to slackster
you can see the popcorn showers developing near the center and not getting blown off right away also, dry air still looks to be there just not as bad as earlier
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:44 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:48 am to lsuman25
And then the CMC throws this out...
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:49 am to Roll Tide Ravens
yea still everyone along the gulf coast needs to closely watch 99l
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:52 am to Roll Tide Ravens
What's the CMC?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:53 am to tiger91
It's the Canadian Model, usually people right it off because it just loves to form tropical cyclones but every now and then it gets it right.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:54 am to lsuman25
HWRF is slightly stronger and farther from Cuba this run so far.
ETA: At 48 hours, it's only 1008 mb and is now not stronger than previous run. Still over FL Keys but weaker.
ETA: At 48 hours, it's only 1008 mb and is now not stronger than previous run. Still over FL Keys but weaker.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 12:04 pm
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:54 am to rds dc
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:55 am to lsuman25
For those of you interested in what shear can do, look at Gaston. It was a hurricane yesterday, but now it looks like this...
The shear is supposed to die down tomorrow and the NHC forecasts it will be back with 100 MPH winds within 48 hours and 110 within 72 hours.
The shear is supposed to die down tomorrow and the NHC forecasts it will be back with 100 MPH winds within 48 hours and 110 within 72 hours.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:58 am to slackster
What is 6z and 12z?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:01 pm to lsuman25
quote:
yea still everyone along the gulf coast needs to closely watch 99l
Yeah. Not sure if this was posted, but this is from the NHC tropical discussion this morning @ 7AM:
quote:
A strong tropical wave and associated 1009 mb low will move into the Straits of Florida through late in the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are also possible over portions of the Bahamas during the next few days.
quote:
A strong tropical wave will move into the east Gulf late in the weekend.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:02 pm to NorthEndZone
i'm sure once it gets it in the gulf it will bomb it out again
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:04 pm to G Vice
quote:
What is 6z and 12z?
Universal coordinated time. 5 hours ahead of central daylight time at this moment. It is how the model runs are initiated and distinguished in this thread. It is useful to know when you see a model image as they'll usually show when the run was initiated and what day/time the associated image is supposed to depict.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:05 pm to G Vice
Z is for Zulu or time measured at Greenwich England also known as GMT. For central time zone the difference is 5 hours behind the z time.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 12:07 pm
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:06 pm to lsuman25
From another site:
How do you professionals feel about this statement and the chances that the GFS and Euro are actually getting this right?
quote:
The difference between the GFS / Euro track up coast of Florida and the Canadian / UKMET track is an upper level low that's supposed to move in near the Carolinas. The GFS / Euro have 99L being dragged northward by this ULL, the UKMET and CMC do not interact with it at all. Considering the consistency of the GFS on this track and intensity (and the Euro's general agreement on track) it makes sense to bet on a more eastward track.
How do you professionals feel about this statement and the chances that the GFS and Euro are actually getting this right?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:09 pm to choppadocta
quote:
Z is for Zulu or time measured at Greenwich England also known as GMT. For central time zone the difference is 5 hours behind the z time.
I tried explaining it this way yesterday and someone accurately pointed out that the actual local time in Greenwich, England is 6 hours ahead of CDT, but that is because Greenwich now uses a different timezone. Up until 1972 it used GMT (or UTC or Z).
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:10 pm to medtiger
Right now i am sure that is the preferred track as of now but still there are alot of variables at play here. The high could be stronger or the ULL can be weaker or it can be the opposite time will tell.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:13 pm to lsuman25
Sucks that the recon mission was cancelled this morning.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:15 pm to slackster
Thanks guys. So it's a 6 hr and 12 hr forecast relative to GMT. 
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:16 pm to slackster
quote:
I tried explaining it this way yesterday and someone accurately pointed out that the actual local time in Greenwich, England is 6 hours ahead of CDT, but that is because Greenwich now uses a different timezone. Up until 1972 it used GMT (or UTC or Z).
Yeah I was confused for a second, as I calculate 5 hours for Premier League watching for Eastern
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