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Vegas has Saints Season Total Wins @ 7

Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:25 pm
Posted by TigerSaints318
Shreveport
Member since Dec 2009
1794 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:25 pm

I went ahead and threw some down for over 7. It's hard for me to believe they won't at least push.

How confident are y'all in at least 7 wins?

I also threw a little down on the Saints winning the South at +660.
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
25787 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:34 pm to
7 wins is realistic. I can hope for 9-7 though.


That stretch of games with Carolina twice, Seattle, Denver, and KC has me a little worried.
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:37 pm to
They'll win 7-11 games probably. I feel good about that.
Posted by partywiththelombardi
Member since May 2012
11584 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:37 pm to
I would say if I had to put it in percentages for me personally I would say...

I think there is a 90% chance the Saints hit 7 wins.

8 wins more around 80%

9 wins at 60% and 10 wins at 35%

So if 7 wins is a push then I would say minus Drew Brees being lost to injury you are a near lock to have your money returned with a solid shot at making some money.

The division crown I feel may be lost money...I would have bet on us taking a playoff spot but not taking the division.
This post was edited on 7/23/16 at 1:45 pm
Posted by TigerSaints318
Shreveport
Member since Dec 2009
1794 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:48 pm to
Yea I know the division is a big stretch. I just bet $12 to win $80 just for fun.
Posted by partywiththelombardi
Member since May 2012
11584 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 1:58 pm to
No worries then. Just tell your wife to pluck her own eyebrows next time she goes to get her hair done and you already come out even.
Posted by YellaPurp
Member since May 2016
1828 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 2:32 pm to
i'll take the over
Posted by Drillingman
Member since Feb 2015
1051 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 2:48 pm to
Thats a good bet
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
8495 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 2:49 pm to
The Saints are probably the hardest team in the NFL to gauge. We are historically bad on Defense, but the Offense is able to keep us in most games. I mean last year the point differential was -68 and they were a field goal away from beating Tampa Bay and they very well could have won both Carolina games. I would say that it is not a bad bet ,because this team can go 8-8, 9-7, or even steal a win or two they shouldn't and go 10-6. To me it is going to be how the season starts if they string a few wins and not put themselves in a hole than it is possible.
Posted by Cow Drogo
Member since Jul 2016
7392 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

They'll win 7-11 games probably. I feel good about that.

Way to go out on a limb

Almost every team every season is in that range.
Posted by Let Me Take A Selfie
Member since Aug 2014
2622 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

That stretch of games with Carolina twice, Seattle, Denver, and KC has me a little worried.



frick Carolina

We get Seattle at home and they plan on giving Browner significant playing time... Brees to Cooks all day

Denver doesn't have a QB and we get them at home

KC might be tough
Posted by BayouFann
CenLa
Member since Jun 2012
6868 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 3:48 pm to
quote:


8 wins+Saints winning the South at +660.

What are the winnings if I put $200 on this? Thanks
Posted by VetteGuy
Member since Feb 2008
28088 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 3:50 pm to
I'm thinking more like 6, but 7 is obviously doable.

I'll make my real prediction after preseason.

If the first team defense can hold the opponents' first team offense to less than 3.6 YPC and it get some decent QB pressures, a winning season is not out of the question.

Whole game stats are completely meaningless in preseason, you really have to break it down to tell WTH is going on.
Posted by JustinT37
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2014
1808 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 4:23 pm to
$1,320 I believe
Posted by BigDawg0420
Hamsterdam
Member since Apr 2010
7396 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 4:25 pm to
It's hard for me to believe we will be worse than last year. You gotta think our defensive upgrades, getting rid of Browner, and bringing in more offensive weapons will provide an improvement over last year's 7-9. I'm taking the over
Posted by metryboy
Member since Oct 2008
654 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 4:26 pm to
Line started at 6. When I was there two weeks ago it was 6.5. Meant to put a hundy on it but got overserved and forgot. Anyway it is definitely trending up.
Posted by VetteGuy
Member since Feb 2008
28088 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

last year's 7-9


The only reason we were 7-9 is b/c the offense played, for the most part, lights out.

If the offense regresses any at at all, it could be a long year.

quote:

It's hard for me to believe we will be worse than last year


Tend to agree with that...

The secondary should be better and holding the running game to anything under 4 YPC would be a huge improvement.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28364 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 4:45 pm to
They're a 5-11 team this season.

They won 7 games last season with one of the easiest NFL schedules now they have a much harder schedule and still didn't improve the defense enough. With no depth on the roster, they're a few injuries away from 5 wins or less.
This post was edited on 7/23/16 at 4:47 pm
Posted by saintsfan1977
West Monroe, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
7612 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 5:05 pm to
the Saints are only favored in 5 games (If Oakland is a PK then its only 4) this year and not by more than 3 points. We are however underdogs of 8, 9 and 10 points vs KC, Arizona, and Carolina. I know this defense sucks and has nowhere to go but up, But this isnt a good sign. I like the underdog role but if this team plays like last year, I see no more than 6 wins. If the defense improves and the line in front of Brees holds up we could get 9 easily. Both big IFs.

We already lost Kikaha and I dont see Cam Jordan getting another 10 sacks. It would be nice but in reality it will be around 7.5 unless the Dline plays outstanding. What goes up must come down. 12.5 is his best and this is his second best sack year. 7.5 is reasonable.

Im hopeful but something tells me this will be a long season. Injuries along with Dennis Allen who I am not sold on has me worried already.
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 7/23/16 at 6:15 pm to
Oh yea?


SF? Cleveland? Tampa? Tennessee? San Diego? Detroit? Los Angeles? Miami?

Then middle of the pack teams.

Then a few we feel good about placing in the playoffs.
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