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Post-Draft Vegas Power Rankings (ESPN Insider Article)

Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:09 pm
Posted by tdevil1
Member since Mar 2007
154 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:09 pm
quote:

NFL Vegas Rankings

1. Seattle Seahawks (Power rating: 28)

The Seahawks have kept most of their championship-caliber team intact. And they add tight end Jimmy Graham from New Orleans.
Previous rating: 28


2. Green Bay Packers (27)

The Packers' biggest free-agent signings were Bryan Bulaga and Randall Cobb, as they retained those key starters and other parts of their solid team. They lost some defensive backs but addressed that in the draft.
Previous rating: 27

3. New England Patriots (26.5)

The defense has lost Darrelle Revis, Brandon Browner and Vince Wilfork, so we have dropped the Pats a full point from their Super Sunday team, but we're sure Bill Belichick will keep his team from a Super Bowl hangover.
Previous rating: 27.5

4. Denver Broncos (25)

How many years does Peyton Manning have left? If he struggles late, will he again use the Manny "I was hurt" Pacquiao defense? Speaking of defense, Shane Ray should help on that side of the ball.
Previous rating: 25.5

5. Indianapolis Colts (24.5)

The Colts added names in Frank Gore and Andre Johnson to help Andrew Luck, but it's the less-famous additions of Todd Herremans, Kendall Langford and Trent Cole that are more helpful in making this a more complete team.
Previous rating: 23.5

6. Dallas Cowboys (24)

We had to downgrade the Cowboys at least a little for the loss of DeMarco Murray but with that O-line, if Darren McFadden or someone else fills the void, Dallas should be right in the mix.
Previous rating: 25

7 (tie). Baltimore Ravens (23)

Baltimore received praise for drafting Breshad Perriman and Maxx Williams. The Ravens were more active in free agency, though lacking in marquee acquisitions. We'll see how they all come together.
Previous rating: 23

7 (tie). Philadelphia Eagles (23)

It was a wild offseason in Philly and some rumored changes didn't happen. But when all the feathers settled, we have Sam Bradford/DeMarco Murray replacing Nick Foles/LeSean McCoy and adding Kiko Alonso on defense, making the Eagles one point better.
Previous rating: 22

7 (tie). Miami Dolphins (23)

Ndamukong Suh immediately makes the defense better, but the front office also brought in a lot more talent by trading for Kenny Stills from New Orleans, signing free agents Greg Jennings and Cameron Jordan and then drafting Jay Ajayi from Boise State. We bumped up the Dolphins three whole points.
Previous rating: 20

10 (tie). Cincinnati Bengals (22.5)

The Bengals look pretty much like the same team that keeps excelling in the regular season and then making an early playoff exit. They do get Michael Johnson back on defense after losing him to free agency last year.
Previous rating: 22.5

10 (tie). Arizona Cardinals (22.5)

The biggest improvement comes in the return of Carson Palmer. The Cardinals also have to overcome losing defensive coordinator Todd Bowles.
Previous rating: 21

12 (tie). Pittsburgh Steelers (22)

The Steelers return most of their same team, with the biggest offseason news being the contract extension given to Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers will start the season with a slightly lower power rating because Le'Veon Bell is suspended for the first three games.
Previous rating: 22

12 (tie). Kansas City Chiefs (22)

Jeremy Maclin helps the wide receiver corps, and Tyvon Branch helps the secondary, though we'll see if first-rounder Marcus Peters makes it even better. Andy Reid looks like he's putting together another solid team.
Previous rating: 21

14 (tie). Detroit Lions (21.5)

The loss of Suh is huge, and they also lost Nick Fairley. The offense, which has been inconsistent even with the spectacular play of Calvin Johnson, will have to pick up more of the slack.
Previous rating: 23

14 (tie). Buffalo Bills (21.5)

There's a lot of excitement in Buffalo with Rex Ryan taking over and also with McCoy and Matt Cassel coming to town -- well, at least they seem excited about their new quarterback.
Previous rating: 21.5

14 (tie). Houston Texans (21.5)

This is still a team searching for its identity at quarterback, and that's not a good position to be in today's NFL. Still, they add inside linebacker Benardrick McKinney to an already strong defense and look stronger overall.
Previous rating: 19.5

17 (tie). New Orleans Saints (21)

The blockbuster news this offseason was the trade of Jimmy Graham to Seattle, but at least the Saints got center Max Unger in the deal, and then they really improved the defense with Brandon Browner, Dannell Ellerbe and Anthony Spencer.
Previous rating: 19.5
Posted by tdevil1
Member since Mar 2007
154 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

17 (tie). St. Louis Rams (21)

Everyone loves the drafting of Todd Gurley to give the Rams a home run threat at running back. And they're happy to move on from the Sam Bradford era with Nick Foles. We'll see if the Rams can be more consistent overall instead of knocking off elite teams one week but then playing down to the lesser competition the next.
Previous rating: 19.5

19. San Diego Chargers (20.5)

The Philip Rivers saga has been a major distraction this offseason. The drafting of Melvin Gordon fills the hole left by Ryan Mathews' departure, but questions remain about the strength of the offensive line helping Rivers and Gordon be their best.
Previous rating: 20.5

20 (tie). Carolina Panthers (20)

As usual, Carolina wasn't one of the most active teams in free agency, but then they didn't do too much to help themselves in the draft, so we dropped them a point and a half.
Previous rating: 21.5

20 (tie). Atlanta Falcons (20)

The Falcons aren't worried about putting up points with Matt Ryan and his receiving corps, so new head coach Dan Quinn (the former Seattle defensive coordinator) picked up pass-rusher Adrian Clayborn in free agency plus linebackers Brooks Reed and O'Brien Schofield before also looking at defense during the draft. We'll see if the stop unit can get a few stops
Previous rating: 19.5

20 (tie). New York Giants (20)

Coach Tom Coughlin has brought back defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to help with that side of the ball. The offense might just need to sit around and wait for Odell Beckham Jr. to make circus catches.
Previous rating: 19

23 (tie). San Francisco 49ers (19)

The 49ers have gone from one of the top-rated teams to below average in a short time. Frank Gore and Michael Crabtree left via free agency and Patrick Willis retired, so new coach Jim Tomsula had a lot of holes to fill in the draft -- and still has a lot of holes.
Previous rating: 20

23 (tie). New York Jets (19)

The Todd Bowles era begins with a lot of enthusiasm with the return of defensive backs Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie. Brandon Marshall also arrives as the next wide receiver savior, but the key is how Geno Smith develops.
Previous rating: 17

25. Minnesota Vikings (18.5)

Teddy Bridgewater had a promising rookie season, but Minnesota is still trying to figure out what to do with Adrian Peterson.
Previous rating: 18.5

26. Chicago Bears (18)

The Bears fired Marc Trestman and replaced him with John Fox, who should help that neglected defensive side of the ball. The Bears still have a lot of weapons with Matt Forte and Alshon Jeffery, and add first-round receiver Kevin White from West Virginia.
Previous rating: 16.5

27. Cleveland Browns (17)

Wow. And we thought it was a soap opera last year with rookie Johnny Manziel taking on Brian Hoyer for the quarterback job. Now, a year later, Hoyer is gone to Houston, Johnny Football is Johnny Rehab, and Josh McCown has arrived to start in the interim. This wouldn't be so bad if the Browns had improved the rest of the team.
Previous rating: 17

28 (tie). Oakland Raiders (16)

Derek Carr had a solid rookie year and now gets receivers Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree added to his weapons. Adding nose tackle Dan Williams helps on defense, though they could use more reinforcements. Still, the Raiders might not challenge for the No. 1 pick this year.
Previous rating: 15.5

28 (tie). Washington Redskins (16)

Brandon Scherff looks like he was made in Hog Heaven, and Alfred Morris was probably as happy as Robert Griffin III to see that pick. Still, the Redskins still have to improve their defense.
Previous rating: 15

30. Jacksonville Jaguars (15)

Blake Bortles now has a top tight end in Julius Thomas (though we'll see how Thomas' numbers compare with Bortles throwing him the ball instead of Manning) and T.J. Yeldon from Alabama could be the top running threat. Meanwhile, Gus Bradley continues to work on his defense.
Previous rating: 14

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14.5)

It's all about No. 1 overall pick Jameis Winston and how he fares, as he's expected to be thrown right into the fire. He does have some nice, big targets with Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, so that helps. New defenders Henry Melton, Bruce Carter and Sterling Moore help on the defensive side.
Previous rating: 13.5

32. Tennessee Titans (14)

After all the speculation, Tennessee kept the No. 2 pick and went with Marcus Mariota. But just like Tampa, teams that get the top picks usually have a lot of other problems to overcome in the short term.
Previous rating: 13
Posted by tdevil1
Member since Mar 2007
154 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Power ratings are used to compare the relative strength of teams to the current point spread, as if they were to meet on a neutral field before factoring in home-field advantage. The industry standard is 2.5 points for home field, but teams such as Green Bay, New England and San Francisco are typically given a full field goal, while Denver and New Orleans are closer to 3.5. Seattle is given the biggest home-field advantage in the league (about 4 points). Every week during the season, we compare that week's lines to the NFL Vegas Rankings and list the value plays for the week. However, we also suggest using our ratings as a base to create your own numbers if you think we have some teams ranked too low or too high to help in your own handicapping.


Just fyi for reference to the "power rating" number in parentheses after the team name...
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71421 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:22 pm to
I don't understand the Colts. The Patriots (not exactly a power running team) just loaded for bear and ran over them.

So they get more wrs and a pass rusher.
Posted by blizzle
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2009
927 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

tdevil1



hell of a 1 oclock hour on ST today
Posted by SnoopALoop
Nashville
Member since Apr 2014
4394 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

7 (tie). Miami Dolphins (23)


quote:

but the front office also brought in a lot more talent by trading for Kenny Stills from New Orleans, signing free agents Greg Jennings and Cameron Jordan
Previous rating: 20


Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64366 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 1:54 pm to
Jennings cost too much for us and Jordan is one concussion away from tardville.

Now Suh? There's a upgrade.
Posted by C3W
East Narnia
Member since May 2009
1513 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 3:15 pm to
I think people forget we went through almost the entire season without Byrd last season.
Posted by Sparkplug#1
Member since May 2013
7352 posts
Posted on 5/5/15 at 4:10 pm to
....and was in the stands for the first four games.
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