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Started By
Message
Guess the Receptions Distribution
Posted on 5/22/16 at 9:52 am
Posted on 5/22/16 at 9:52 am
saw it double posted, deleted one, then looked at the other and it had no post within. Gimme a minute and I'll redo
This post was edited on 5/22/16 at 10:24 am
Posted on 5/22/16 at 10:00 am to blueslover
WR's 1
TE's 2
And RB's 3
TE's 2
And RB's 3
Posted on 5/22/16 at 10:33 am to goatmilker
Brees has completed between 422 to 468 passes in each of the past 6 seasons. Try a distribution guess for this year using 445. Remember to leave 20-30 for OTHERS at the bottom of the roster.
Last year for reference
84 Cooks
74 Watson
69 Snead
50 Ingram
45 Colston
34 Spiller
30 Coleman
17 Robinson
16 Hill
12 Hightower
11 Hooman
09 Cadet
05 Johnson
04 Graham
My guess
Cooks 90
Fleener 75
Thomas 71
Snead 64
Ingram 55
Siller 40
Hill 20
OTHERS 20
Coleman 10
Last year for reference
84 Cooks
74 Watson
69 Snead
50 Ingram
45 Colston
34 Spiller
30 Coleman
17 Robinson
16 Hill
12 Hightower
11 Hooman
09 Cadet
05 Johnson
04 Graham
My guess
Cooks 90
Fleener 75
Thomas 71
Snead 64
Ingram 55
Siller 40
Hill 20
OTHERS 20
Coleman 10
Posted on 5/22/16 at 10:34 am to blueslover
I like how you re-did the OP content as a reply, instead of just editing the OP.
Posted on 5/22/16 at 10:37 am to Hoodoo Man
double posts always throw me off, always "HTF did that happen?"
Posted on 5/22/16 at 10:45 am to blueslover
Snead
Thomas
Cooks
Fleener
Bunch of other guys
I think Cooks and Fleener for the lead in TD's.
Cooks the big strike guy.
Thomas like Snead will be Drew's go to guy.
Thomas, Cooks and Fleener will begin to be targeted by the def more as the season goes on and Snead will be the guy underneath racking up catches.
Tired now.
Thomas
Cooks
Fleener
Bunch of other guys
I think Cooks and Fleener for the lead in TD's.
Cooks the big strike guy.
Thomas like Snead will be Drew's go to guy.
Thomas, Cooks and Fleener will begin to be targeted by the def more as the season goes on and Snead will be the guy underneath racking up catches.
Tired now.
This post was edited on 5/22/16 at 10:50 am
Posted on 5/22/16 at 11:09 am to goatmilker
barring injuries, I think we could see the most concentration of receptions at the top by the starters in a few years. My take is Cooks continues natural progression, Fleener does Jimmy Graham numbers or better, and Thomas surpasses the rookie numbers of Colston. Snead improves but there are only so many targets to go around. Guessing Coleman gone in 2017. My biggest question is does Spiller bounce back or is he just used up? Ingram had 3 less receptions in 12 games than he had in his first 4 seasons combined. Continued blossoming as a receiving threat could see his overall numbers go up as the bell cow.
Posted on 5/22/16 at 11:46 am to goatmilker
Willie Snead and Michael Thomas will not have more catches than Cooks assuming they all play 16. You must have been one of those idiots that said Cooks will be third in receptions last season
Posted on 5/22/16 at 11:47 am to mmonro3
I could see snead getting more receptions than Cooks, but fewer yards.
Not an insane prediction.
Not an insane prediction.
Posted on 5/22/16 at 11:50 am to blueslover
quote:Not sure I see these happening.
Fleener does Jimmy Graham numbers or better, and Thomas surpasses the rookie numbers of Colston
Posted on 5/22/16 at 12:22 pm to blueslover
Last year's top 7:
Cooks: 84/129, 1138 yards, 13.5 AVG, 9 TDs
Snead: 69/102, 984 yards, 14.3 AVG, 3 TDs
Watson: 74/109, 825 yards, 11.1 AVG, 6 TDs
Colston: 45/67, 520 yards, 11.6 AVG, 4 TDs
Coleman: 30/49, 454 yards, 15.1 AVG, 2 TDs
Ingram: 50/60, 405 yards, 8.1 AVG, 0 TDs
Spiller: 34/44, 239 yards, 7.0 AVG, 2 TDs
Top 7: 386/560, 4565 yards, 11.83 AVG, 26 TDs
This year:
Cooks: 92/140, 1270 yards, 13.8 AVG, 11 TDs
Fleener: 69/110, 856 yards, 12.4 AVG, 7 TDs
Snead: 62/88, 818 yards, 13.2 AVG, 2 TDs
Thomas: 44/66, 642 yards, 14.6 AVG, 5 TDs
Spiller: 71/89, 575 yards, 8.1 AVG, 3 TDs
Ingram: 55/62, 490 yards, 8.9 AVG, 1 TDs
Coleman: 30/44, 363 yards, 12.1 AVG, 2 TD
Top 7: 423/599, 5014 yards, 11.85 AVG, 31 TDs
Cooks: 84/129, 1138 yards, 13.5 AVG, 9 TDs
Snead: 69/102, 984 yards, 14.3 AVG, 3 TDs
Watson: 74/109, 825 yards, 11.1 AVG, 6 TDs
Colston: 45/67, 520 yards, 11.6 AVG, 4 TDs
Coleman: 30/49, 454 yards, 15.1 AVG, 2 TDs
Ingram: 50/60, 405 yards, 8.1 AVG, 0 TDs
Spiller: 34/44, 239 yards, 7.0 AVG, 2 TDs
Top 7: 386/560, 4565 yards, 11.83 AVG, 26 TDs
This year:
Cooks: 92/140, 1270 yards, 13.8 AVG, 11 TDs
Fleener: 69/110, 856 yards, 12.4 AVG, 7 TDs
Snead: 62/88, 818 yards, 13.2 AVG, 2 TDs
Thomas: 44/66, 642 yards, 14.6 AVG, 5 TDs
Spiller: 71/89, 575 yards, 8.1 AVG, 3 TDs
Ingram: 55/62, 490 yards, 8.9 AVG, 1 TDs
Coleman: 30/44, 363 yards, 12.1 AVG, 2 TD
Top 7: 423/599, 5014 yards, 11.85 AVG, 31 TDs
Posted on 5/22/16 at 4:55 pm to mmonro3
quote:
You must have been one of those idiots that said Cooks will be third in receptions last season
I said what I did not because what someone said what you said they said last year.
Cooks looks like a great deep threat next year. Thomas looks to be line for the big target guy. Fleener a big strike guy down the middle as well. So I think Snead can and will be a dependable target as he as already proven in just one season.
Its all guesses you know. Right?
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