Worst Case Hypothetical Draft Scenario

Personally at that spot, I would take a flyer on Harry Giles- huge risk/reward or the France point guard Frank Ntilikina.

These would be worst case scenarios IMO. I can't see it getting any worse unless we do make a playoff run. I'm really hoping for pick 6 again but would settle with pick 8.

I want nothing to do with any foreign player in the top 10, especially one that isn't a big.

I want Josh Jackson.
Since in this scenario I can't have him, then i'd be fine with Giles or Bam if they want a big, and I wouldn't mind a reach for Dwayne Bacon from FSU.

Giles would never work out with our medical staff. He's worst case scenario.

They won't be picking for themselves, so it will all depend on who the team they are picking for wants

I would expect us to be picking in the 9-12 range.
2015
Kaminsky
Winslow
Myles Turner
Trey Lyles

2014
Vonley
Elfrid Peyton
McDermott
Saric

2013
Trey Burke
McCollum
MCW
Steven Adams

2012
Drummond
Rivers
Myers Leonard
Jeremy Lamb

2011
Kemba
Jimmer
Klay Thompson
Alex Burks

2010
Paul George
Gordon Hayward
Aldrich
the great Xavier Henry

the last three 13th picks have been
Devin Booker
Zach Levine
Kelly Olynyk
The 3 before them weren't anything

that's 30 players drafted in that range in the last 6 years.

4 of them are great (PG/Hayward/Klay/Drummond)
4 of them are pretty good starters (Lavine/Booker/McCollum/Kemba)
3 of them are really good role player bigs (Turner/Olynyk/Adams)

The rest aren't really game changers at all.
So with that pick, based on history of the last 6 years, you've got around a 35% chance at getting a good starter, with around the same decent chance that guy ends up being a perennial all star.

I think i'd rather the chance than trade it away.

And of all those players during those years we got Rivers lol

We also had the pick for Alrdrich, which came right after George and Hayward, but we traded it away for two later picks, which turned out to be Brackins and QPon.
They guys that have gone right before we picked, back a few years ago when we were picking in this range have been perennial all stars, like PG/Hayward and Drummond. now we would have never taken AD and Drummond in the same draft, but in hindsight, that would have been nice, and then we would have never traded for Asik, giving up a first round pick too.

The bad luck of ours is that the top 10 picks in the 2 years after AD, when we were still picking in the top 10, were really shitty classes as far as top 10's go, really pretty much every top 10 class since AD/Beal/Lillard/Drummond/Barnes in 2012 has been pretty shitty.

Best player in 2013 top 10 is McCollum, at 10, then Otto Porter, who took 3 years to be good.
Best player in 2014 top 10 is Wiggins, the #1 pick, then I guess Marcus Smart since the rest of them either suck or are always hurt like Parker and Embiid. A lot of mediocrity in those two drafts in the top 10.

Seems like the better players have been going in the teens and the few gems in the early 2nd round lately.

quote:

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Kristaps is 7'3" and starts PF, while they start a 6'11" center

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That proves my point. Giles can't play center because he will not be strong enough to go head to head with NBA centers day in and day out.

Giles, as a freshman in college, is 6'11" 240

Davis, as a draftee in the NBA, was 6'10" 222

What makes you think Giles won't be able to battle with centers? AD has gained 23 pounds since being drafted, why can't Giles do the same?

if the pick isnt top 6 its not worth keeping. need whichever SF falls (probably Isaac, maybe Tatum)