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Pelicans' strength of schedule so far and going forward
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:20 pm
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:20 pm
At .527 to this point, the Pelicans have played the 2nd toughest schedule in the league behind Memphis and tied with Washington (SOS here).
Take into account injuries to start the season (98 games missed due to injury and counting, which is second behind the 76ers), and it shows the hill this team had to climb to get to this point. This website shows it a bit: LINK
That is no excuse for Gentry or anyone on the team. There have been at least 3-4 games so far that were winnable and the team just let slip away.
If you look here, you'll see the SOS remaining. The Pelicans have opponents coming up with a combined .472 winning %, which is the easiest in the conference and 2nd easiest in the NBA behind Boston.
The team is currently at 8-19, which is 4 games behind the 8 seed jazz, who are at 11-14. The 7 seed is at .500 right now.
The Pels have 55 games remaining, of which 30 are at home and 25 on the road (the most remaining home games of any team except the Lakers).
So the schedule is favorable going forward. The team is nearly fully healthy. Assuming .500 will get the playoffs, the Pelicans have to go 33-22 the rest of the way. This team has been ridiculously inconsistent, so what percentage chance do you give them to make the playoffs?
Take into account injuries to start the season (98 games missed due to injury and counting, which is second behind the 76ers), and it shows the hill this team had to climb to get to this point. This website shows it a bit: LINK
That is no excuse for Gentry or anyone on the team. There have been at least 3-4 games so far that were winnable and the team just let slip away.
If you look here, you'll see the SOS remaining. The Pelicans have opponents coming up with a combined .472 winning %, which is the easiest in the conference and 2nd easiest in the NBA behind Boston.
The team is currently at 8-19, which is 4 games behind the 8 seed jazz, who are at 11-14. The 7 seed is at .500 right now.
The Pels have 55 games remaining, of which 30 are at home and 25 on the road (the most remaining home games of any team except the Lakers).
So the schedule is favorable going forward. The team is nearly fully healthy. Assuming .500 will get the playoffs, the Pelicans have to go 33-22 the rest of the way. This team has been ridiculously inconsistent, so what percentage chance do you give them to make the playoffs?
8
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:24 pm to quail man
0%
This post was edited on 12/21/15 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:30 pm to quail man
The Pels have tons of margin for error this season, the problem is they aren't playing like a team that's going to get out of their own way any time soon. I really don't care what happens as long as we don't take on long term salary that will be hard to move or give up a pick unless it's for a legit 2 way starter on a recently signed deal.
This post was edited on 12/21/15 at 12:31 pm
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:38 pm to TigerinATL
Between 17-38%...
This post was edited on 12/21/15 at 12:39 pm
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:40 pm to chesty
Posted on 12/21/15 at 12:51 pm to quail man
NBA Efficiency Differential:
26. Pelicans: -6.1
27. Bucks: -6.4 28.
Nets: -7.2 29.
Lakers: -11.0 30.
76ers: -13.6
not good, bob
26. Pelicans: -6.1
27. Bucks: -6.4 28.
Nets: -7.2 29.
Lakers: -11.0 30.
76ers: -13.6
not good, bob
Posted on 12/21/15 at 1:10 pm to quail man
Depends on when coupon comes back.
This post was edited on 12/21/15 at 1:11 pm
Posted on 12/21/15 at 1:10 pm to cgrand
on the road trip they were -2.4, so things are looking up 
Posted on 12/21/15 at 1:53 pm to quail man
we going to da ship
Posted on 12/21/15 at 2:01 pm to quail man
quote:
Assuming .500 will get the playoffs, the Pelicans have to go 33-22 the rest of the way. This team has been ridiculously inconsistent, so what percentage chance do you give them to make the playoffs?
I'd say at least 30%.
West is so down this year, and if we can somehow come together as a team and just focus on not getting out hustled then I think we can win 33 out of the next 55.
shite we're probably relatively close to .500 now if we had just given full effort every night. That's the biggest disappointment so far this season. When we give a shite, we look decent/good enough. Problem is we don't give a shite in at least half of our games. That's on everybody. Players, coaches, ball boys, Wesley, Jen, etc.
Posted on 12/21/15 at 2:06 pm to quail man
Who cares? Yes the team is better than the record. However we are nowhere near being a contender and were blessed with a horrible start allowing for some retooling and a shot at a difference maker in the draft.
Posted on 12/21/15 at 2:07 pm to JohnnyKilroy
I need to see the Pels rip off a 4 or 5 game win streak before I can begin to entertain a possible playoff birth.
Posted on 12/21/15 at 2:12 pm to JohnnyKilroy
I still like our roster as much as I did before the season. I think the more chemistry our roster builds, the better we will become. These past couple years have been so injury plagued that we couldn't have our roster play together as one. I think that IF the Pelicans stay mostly healthy, the sky is the limit for this team. I'm just unsure if buying in to Alvin Gentry is good for the team. I want to believe, but I'm not sure if our defense will be able to improve. I think the more they play together, the less turnovers. I'm just worried about the defense.
Optimistically: 65% chance
Pessimistic: 15%
Optimistically: 65% chance
Pessimistic: 15%
Posted on 12/22/15 at 4:10 pm to quail man
quote:
Assuming .500 will get the playoffs, the Pelicans have to go 33-22 the rest of the way. This team has been ridiculously inconsistent, so what percentage chance do you give them to make the playoffs?
I'd say it is A LOT more likely that this team plays below .500 the rest of the way than it climbs back to .500.
Posted on 12/22/15 at 5:29 pm to moneyg
3%
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