A scientific analysis of GRRM's progress on The Winds of Winter (Super Spoilery)

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If you cornered me, put a gun to my head and told me to tell you how many completed manuscript pages are done for The Winds of Winter, I'd probably say that George is just north of 1000 manuscript pages with an expected completion date of late 2016 to early 2017. I think the average pace of 287 manuscript pages/year that George wrote between 2008 and 2010 is likely a good data point. If George had 1350 pages to write from the end of A Dance with Dragons, 287 average manuscript pages per year would have George finishing The Winds of Winter in early 2017.

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