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Started By
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Week 1 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:02 pm
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:02 pm
Lets goooooo
Liking Chicago, Wash, Jax, SD, and Denver so far. A square Zona play might be in order as well
quote:
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
9/8 8:30 ET Carolina -3 At Denver
9/11 1:00 ET At Atlanta -3 Tampa Bay
9/11 1:00 ET Minnesota -2 At Tennessee
9/11 1:00 ET At Philadelphia -4 Cleveland
9/11 1:00 ET Cincinnati -2.5 At NY Jets
9/11 1:00 ET At New Orleans -1 Oakland
9/11 1:00 ET At Kansas City -7 San Diego
9/11 1:00 ET At Baltimore -3 Buffalo
9/11 1:00 ET At Houston -6.5 Chicago
9/11 1:00 ET Green Bay -4.5 At Jacksonville
9/11 4:05 ET At Seattle -10.5 Miami
9/11 4:25 ET At Dallas PK NY Giants
9/11 4:25 ET At Indianapolis -4 Detroit
9/11 8:30 ET At Arizona -6 New England
Monday Night Football Point Spread
9/12 7:10 ET Pittsburgh -3 At Washington
9/12 10:20 ET Los Angeles -2.5 At San Francisco
Liking Chicago, Wash, Jax, SD, and Denver so far. A square Zona play might be in order as well
This post was edited on 9/5/16 at 9:12 pm
19
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:11 pm to Carson123987
Jacksonville +4.5 and ML will probably be my play
That line screams public burial on Green Bay
That line screams public burial on Green Bay
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:12 pm to Carson123987
Still trying to figure out how Carolina is still only giving 3.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:12 pm to Carson123987
The Saints -1 at home against Oakland.....times have changed 
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:15 pm to BayouBengals03
yeah, that one is one of those "too good to be true plays." I'd imagine that's a pretty high volume game and the line still hasn't moved. Smart money on Denver.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:15 pm to BayouBengals03
Why would Cam be able to move the ball on that defense when he couldn't previously?
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:16 pm to ChemE in the OP
It's not like Peyton played that well.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:16 pm to Carson123987
I'd have to look at some sort of chart that shows it over time.
First week is always tough to judge the movement just based on the % of the bets and the opening and current line. That's like 3 months of movement.
First week is always tough to judge the movement just based on the % of the bets and the opening and current line. That's like 3 months of movement.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:17 pm to Carson123987
quote:
yeah, that one is one of those "too good to be true plays." I'd imagine that's a pretty high volume game and the line still hasn't moved. Smart money on Denver.
Right now its 67% on Carolina. I still imagine the bookmakers moving the line to 3.5 eventually knowing the public will still bet in droves on Carolina and hope to bury them all. So if you like Denver I'd wait. The -3 line is being dealt at higher juice anyway, I am seeing as high as -130.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:17 pm to ChemE in the OP
In one game, that happened to be the Super Bowl?
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:18 pm to castorinho
quote:
he Saints -1 at home against Oakland.....times have changed
Surprised we're even favored
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:19 pm to ChemE in the OP
Cam will have Benjamin back, and Denver has a brand new QB. Both defenses should be stout.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:21 pm to TT9
I'm seeing the total at 41.5
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:21 pm to TT9
quote:and that's actually a good thing
and Denver has a brand new QB
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:21 pm to BayouBengals03
So your lack of a data point is better than my one data point?
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:22 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
So your lack of a data point is better than my one data point?
Get over yourself.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:23 pm to BayouBengals03
I'm just teasing you, brother. Cam could light them up!
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:28 pm to Carson123987
Plays i took two weeks ago:
Saints -1.5
Cards -6
Falcons -3
Giants +3.5
Dolphins +10
Saints -1.5
Cards -6
Falcons -3
Giants +3.5
Dolphins +10
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:34 pm to Carson123987
I'd like Chicago more if they weren't so thin at corner. Just a matter of Brock being able to take advantage.
I mean like the Houston WR's but Brock has only 7 starts under his belt and this is his 5th year as a pro.
Rams-49ers seems like a true crap fest. I'd take a good look at the under in that one.
I mean like the Houston WR's but Brock has only 7 starts under his belt and this is his 5th year as a pro.
Rams-49ers seems like a true crap fest. I'd take a good look at the under in that one.
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:37 pm to TT9
quote:
Cam will have Benjamin back, and Denver has a brand new QB. Both defenses should be stout.
Carolina was much more efficient when KB went out. Hopefully they can plug him back in without force-feeding him. That was the issue the first time around.
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