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re: The Unofficial 2015 Australian Open Thread

Posted on 1/28/15 at 3:39 am to
Posted by Sho Nuff
Oahu
Member since Feb 2009
11917 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 3:39 am to
Djoko about to break 2nd set, took him fairly easy in the tie break.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 9:08 am to
-275 for there to be a tiebreak in the Djokovic/Raonic match.

And dear lord I hope Raonic never wins anything of importance.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Any chance wawrinka can beat djokovic?

Wawrinka has taken Djokovic the distance/beaten him multiple times.

Definitely a chance. I'd imagine Djokovic won't be more than -250 in that match, given their recent tight battles.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53389 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 8:41 pm to
Chicks semis up now on the Deuce. I was thinking Macarena could give Sharapova trouble because lefties have a way of wrecking shop (see Kvitova), but Killer Cahill says it's not a factor. If Keys is dinged up, I can't see her beating Serena, but apparently Serena has a respiratory infection or something. No idea what happens in Berd/Murray, but I think Andy breaks him down. Tomas can beat anyone, he just can't beat two or three top guys in a row.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 8:46 pm to
Alright guys..

Djokovic is -425 tomorrow night.

Stan +2.5 sets is only -170.

Is that a joke? Have to unload on Stan, correct?

These two are 60/40 in favor of Djokovic at this point, at best.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 9:22 pm to
Maria, I love ya and I'd marry you in a second, but the screaming has to go.

Thought they were gonna start penalizing players for this shite?
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 9:26 pm to
She screams reallyyyy loud when she's in a tight spot.

And no, there was no pun interned there.
Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17107 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 9:55 pm to
It's really frickin annoying. Makes me root against her.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28340 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:06 pm to
Does wawrinka have any chance at all against Novak? I have wawrinka +1500 to win the tournament and having a hard time figuring a way to hedge.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

Does wawrinka have any chance at all against Novak?

Yes.
quote:

I have wawrinka +1500 to win the tournament and having a hard time figuring a way to hedge.


That's a tough spot to hedge. There's nothing you can bet on Novak that would give you a good payout.

I have Murray 6/1 to win the tourney, so I'm in better shape. I can hedge tonight and in the final, because he's a short favorite tonight and will be an underdog in the final.

I had Stan 20/1 to win the tournament last year from the beginning. It was amazing.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53389 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:10 pm to
I think the h2h is 16-3 or something, but Stan took him the distance in U.S. and Aussie Open matches the last few years, and beat him in the quarters last year. He definitely has a chance. I would let it ride for another round.
This post was edited on 1/28/15 at 10:14 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:10 pm to
I just think the best thing you could do is to take Stan +2.5 sets.

That way, even if he loses, you'll still have gotten some money out of it. Novak isn't beating him in straights, IMO.

And if he wins, you're set to hedge hard in the final (although I think the winner of Stan/Novak probably wins the tourney).
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28340 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:28 pm to


Can't believe I posted the same thing twice, sorry....feeling like crap this evening. Guess I'm delirious.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28340 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:37 pm to
Bb03 are you on 5 dimes? Closest I can find is djokovic not in 3 sets @ -173
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

Bb03 are you on 5 dimes? Closest I can find is djokovic not in 3 sets @ -173

5 dimes for tennis, yes.

-175 isn't bad odds for that, IMO. I think this one will be a long match.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 11:14 pm to
Keys nets two returns on Serena's serve in the tiebreak.

ugh
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 11:16 pm to
God that was hard to watch. She had to win that set. Got too overzealous on those returns.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53389 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 11:17 pm to
Dang, she hit two nice aces in a row to get it to 6-5 in the breaker, but Serena closed it out with a solid service winner.
Posted by UltimateHog
Oregon
Member since Dec 2011
65808 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 11:18 pm to
I wish Keys would take her down, not gonna happen though.

And early break GG Serena gonna cakewalk this set.
This post was edited on 1/28/15 at 11:19 pm
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53389 posts
Posted on 1/28/15 at 11:19 pm to
Jeez, she was up 30-0 in that game, and lost the next 4 points with 3 of them after great serves. Just spraying the ball now. She's done.
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