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re: Teams Still Alive For Playoff (6 Remain; Colo Okla Out) (W/ Odds & Scenarios)

Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:23 pm to
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:23 pm to
Updated to included odds each team has to make playoffs if they win out (link in OP). I'm surprised at how high Wash St is, almost 50%. Also I think Auburn and LSU are too low. Both should be at least 95%. I suppose LSU should be a little lower because they could still win out but not make the SEC conference championship if Auburn wins out as well.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28875 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:25 pm to
Where is Western Michigan?

Shouldn't they have a .01% chance?
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71046 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:38 pm to
Any idea why we're higher than Auburn? If we both win out they win the West on the head to head tiebreaker and have a better record.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:42 pm to
The only reason I can think of is if Auburn wins out they may not make they conference championship game either. A&M holds the head to head tiebreaker, and if Bama Auburn and A&M all finish with 1 loss, I'm not sure who will go in that scenario
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:33 pm to
Texas A&M out after loss to Miss State. Big win for Wisconsin, should win out and face either Mich or OSU again assuming Nebraska loses one more
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
11310 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:34 pm to
Huskers lose today IMO.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35530 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:39 pm to
I think it will be closer than you think. Our offense isn't hitting on all cylinders.

To the OP. If Ohio State wins out there is a 100% chance they will be in the playoffs. A 12-1 B1G champion is in.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82024 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:41 pm to
You're arguing over 4%?
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
11310 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:44 pm to
I took Ohio State -17.5 tonight. I'm expecting a blowout.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 3:26 pm to
I agree. These percentages aren't mine, they're computer generated
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35530 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 4:01 pm to
I'm bored.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 10:31 pm to
Nebraska out after blowout, LSU out with 3rd loss
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 10:39 pm to
Florida may still have odds if they win out but it is rather obvious they aren't winning out. No way they win the SEC championship game
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/12/16 at 5:55 pm to
UNC, VT, and Auburn all eliminated
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/13/16 at 9:47 am to
Updated OP to include most likely scenarios for each team to make it
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15087 posts
Posted on 11/13/16 at 9:51 am to
you can beat every team except ones you didn't..frick you rapelor..
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:26 pm to
Updated with Louisville loss. Scenarios in OP for each team. If Clemson loses again or Michigan beats OSU that'll really shake things up
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82024 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:31 pm to
#9 Oklahoma 39%- win out, Mich wins out (eliminates PSU, OSU, Wisc), Wash or Clem loss (Bama, Mich, Clemson/Wash, Oklahoma)

No, OU needs

1.OSU to win the big 10 (meaning PSU loses, OSU beats Michigan then Wisconsin)
2.Washington to lose

The scenario you have above has osu at 10-2 and OU at 10-2. Winning the shitty big 12 won't make up for the lopsided win at home and the likely worse SOS.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1739 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:37 pm to
I honestly think in either of those scenarios Oklahoma makes it. I don't see the committee putting a 2 loss OSU who didn't win their division over a 11-2 Oklahoma undefeated Big 12 Champ with what a 10 game win streak?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82024 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:39 pm to
They'd both be 10-2 and Ohio State would have the better resume and a lopsided h2h win on the road. No chance. Maybe both get left out in that scenario, but no way OU goes over Ohio State.
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