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re: Official Week 7 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 10/12/15 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 1:15 pm to
indeed
Posted by FulshearTiger
Member since Jul 2015
5276 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 1:44 pm to
Liking La Tech getting 14 at miss State.

Like Bama, Penn State (Ohio state should be on auto fade), Houston and maybe Michigan State.
Posted by Daddy'sHERE
NEW ORLEANS
Member since Jan 2013
104 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 3:19 pm to
Locked in western kentucky at 31. Line opened at 24 and now it's 33.5
Posted by Daddy'sHERE
NEW ORLEANS
Member since Jan 2013
104 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 3:22 pm to
When 1st quarter lines and first half lines come out, I'm taking wku again.
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Locked in western kentucky at 31. Line opened at 24 and now it's 33.5


It opened at 29.5 on CRIS. Covers lists the opening at 30.5 Why do you think it opened at 24? I've been seeing this a lot lately, people claiming a game opened at a line that no one on planet earth has the ability to bet. If you could not have bet it did the line really open at the price? Do you really think a book would list a line the differs from other books by 5.5 points?

Put it this way. If you sat at your computer and pressed F5 over and over again and the lines were listed the second they were available to you on Sunday night/Monday morning, that number would not have been 24.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36317 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:01 pm to


Open an account at BetOnline, idiot. CRIS isn't an "opener".
Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:08 pm to
Should I bet everything I own on Houston lol. By everything I mean only like 200$ bucks haha
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

Should I bet everything I own on Houston lol. By everything I mean only like 200$ bucks haha


No

Houston is this week's trap like Oklahoma was last week
Posted by LSUShock
Kansas
Member since Jun 2014
4915 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

the_watcher


Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42482 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:21 pm to
So far:

LSU -6.5
ND -5.5
FSU -6.5
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:22 pm to
CRIS listing an opening line isn't an opening line? Show me one person that was able to bet that line at 24. I'll wait
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14657 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:34 pm to
What does the model say for the Houston game? I'm definitely falling for this "trap" at the moment


ETA: Or can you post all of the models?
This post was edited on 10/12/15 at 4:49 pm
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36317 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:56 pm to


Keeping in mind it takes them a minute to actually get their own bets in & then have to type + submit it to Twitter, I'd say these two accounts I follow managed to get it at these numbers when comparing them to line move timestamps. I bet 3 BOL openers immediately upon release last week that all moved multiple points within a couple minutes (OSU -28.5, Tulsa -7, & Syracuse +5).

Every sportsbook has an "opener", but I'm referring to an industry opener. Bovada won't release their openers for another couple days. Get more books and be more diligent if you want to get these "unattainable openers"; I assure you it's possible.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

CRIS listing an opening line isn't an opening line? Show me one person that was able to bet that line at 24. I'll wait


CRIS is what I call the "official" opener

BetOnline will technically post a the first line, but there are really low limits and no serious big money player will play that line. Then once the CRIS line comes out, BetOnline will basically change their line to match theirs.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

What does the model say for the Houston game? I'm definitely falling for this "trap" at the moment


Haven't run it yet. But my experience tells me its a trap. I have done a good job at identifying the traps this year. I was telling people last week not to go all in on Oklahoma.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 5:08 pm to
Utah St +9 is one of the best bets this week. Terrible spot for Boise here. Utah st is not an easy place to play and Kent Myers is an underrated dual threat that is tearing it up right now. I'll wait for a 10, but I'll definitely be on this game.
Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 5:11 pm to
Never really seen Tulane play but Houston can run up the score. I just put my normal amount on them

Does Tulane run a no huddle offense as well?
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 6:50 pm to
Still undefeated betting on/against Bama this season, and I've had the A&M game circled as the scariest game on our schedule since the preseason. Of course, I was assuming the line was going to be 8 or 9. Proceed with caution...59-0, bye week, hurry-up spread offense, lack of confidence in Kiffin to ground'n'pound, etc.
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 6:56 pm to
Two random Twitter accounts doesn't prove anything. Just because it aligns with what you believe to be right doesn't make it true. Arguing on the Internet is stupid and it's my fault for even trying to say anything of remote value while you just keep spewing unintelligent nonsense. Have a great day. Cheers
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36317 posts
Posted on 10/12/15 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

Arguing on the Internet is stupid and it's my fault for even trying to say anything of remote value while you just keep spewing unintelligent nonsense.


I'm not sure what your problem is. You come in hot trying to smack others around for #s you can't get because you choose not to get them.

I've followed them for a while. Thumb over their timeline when BOL #s are released. They do it every weekend. You have to be lined up waiting for the #s to hit the board and move quickly, but it's certainly possible.
This post was edited on 10/12/15 at 7:14 pm
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