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re: Official Week 7 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:05 am to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:05 am to ChemE in the OP
Who is the most likely straight up win?
This is for a survivor pool
Ole Miss @ Memphis
Mississippi St vs La Tech
Florida St vs Louisville
Georgia vs Missouri
This is for a survivor pool
Ole Miss @ Memphis
Mississippi St vs La Tech
Florida St vs Louisville
Georgia vs Missouri
3
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:06 am to PokerChamp21
quote:
Ole Miss @ Memphis
Mississippi St vs La Tech
Florida St vs Louisville
Georgia vs Missouri
UGA is the biggest fave, so I'd go with that.
MSU is a close second.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:07 am to Billy Mays
Yeah, but to me that spread for the Georgia game felt weird, based on what I've seen I can't see them deserving to be that high of a favorite vs Missouri.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:08 am to PokerChamp21
And no Nick Chubb and they are coming off an excruciating loss to Tennessee after getting crushed by Bama. Wouldn't trust them at all right now.
Id say Ole Miss off those four games. Although they are in a potential look ahead spot with A&M coming to town next week.
Id say Ole Miss off those four games. Although they are in a potential look ahead spot with A&M coming to town next week.
This post was edited on 10/13/15 at 11:10 am
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:09 am to PokerChamp21
ole miss
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:10 am to FulshearTiger
quote:
If the best things you have to go on are that they "could" overlook Tulane (even though this makes no sense given that this game is sandwiched between two awful teams in SMU and UCF AND Houston just jumped into the top 25) and your model, then I am feeling pretty good about it
Line hasn't moved from its opener of 17. If Houston was such a no brainer play we would see the line have moved by now. Instead its stayed put at 17 despite Houston getting 83% of the bets. Something is not right here
I have no play on the game. My model even says Houston, but I have a good track record this year of picking out the traps. I still think this is one
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:12 am to accnodefense
Sportsbook has moved this line from -17 to -18.5.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 11:15 am to Carson123987
The difference to me is that MSU historically is an automatic win at home game under Mullen against a non-con. The games are typically blowouts as well.
Ole Miss still may not have their full swagger to beat a good Memphis team on the road. Laremy Tunsil isn't back yet either.
Sonny Michel is beyond good enough as a Chubb replacement to beat a punchless Mizzou team with no QB or OL.
Ole Miss still may not have their full swagger to beat a good Memphis team on the road. Laremy Tunsil isn't back yet either.
Sonny Michel is beyond good enough as a Chubb replacement to beat a punchless Mizzou team with no QB or OL.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 12:06 pm to ChemE in the OP
Nice, we are gonna be on alot of the same plays this week. I love bc, utah st, and usc with very little research done so far
Posted on 10/13/15 at 12:11 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
Sportsbook has moved this line from -17 to -18.5.
That's probably due to Tulane's starting QB being ruled out
Posted on 10/13/15 at 3:31 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
West Virginia +21.5
Nice. Was a strong lean for me. Made it a play now. I feel like they have a chance to win this game as well if they don't keep shooting themselves in the foot with turnovers like they have been doing.
So far:
aTm +4
USC +7
WVU +21.5
USU +10 (-125)
Also probably looking at a Michigan/LSU teaser
This post was edited on 10/13/15 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 10/13/15 at 5:42 pm to Carson123987
quote:
and WVU. they may win ouright. last team with the ball will win
I don't see them stopping us in Waco. Different story if this game was at WVU.
Baylor at home is a different animal compared to Baylor on the road - part of the reason why we have the longest home win streak in the nation. WVU could cover but I don't see them outright winning or it coming down to the final possession.
This post was edited on 10/13/15 at 5:48 pm
Posted on 10/13/15 at 6:35 pm to engvol
Despite being significantly better at betting on NFL I've taken a buck it attitude this week and bet my entire balance
Alabama -6.5 +120
UCLA ML +210
7.5U double
Bama -4
7U
UCLA +6.5
Houston -19
Clemson/BC 36.5O
Oregon/UW 58.5O
1U 4fold
Clemson/BC 36.5O
OSU/Penn State 48O
6U Double
Potential to be 100U up by the end of Saturday
Alabama -6.5 +120
UCLA ML +210
7.5U double
Bama -4
7U
UCLA +6.5
Houston -19
Clemson/BC 36.5O
Oregon/UW 58.5O
1U 4fold
Clemson/BC 36.5O
OSU/Penn State 48O
6U Double
Potential to be 100U up by the end of Saturday
Posted on 10/13/15 at 6:47 pm to engvol
I've missed all the #s I wanted. Looking for CSU +10, Syracuse +7.5, ECU -10, ASU +7, & USC +7.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 7:01 pm to Louie T
ASU/USA over 58.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 8:39 pm to jlu03
this is gonna be off-topic bc there was no college football in this parlay, but i'll go anyway.
this is how hard it is to hit a 7 team parlay.
I put this in yesterday, just to get some action going on the current ATP Masters tournament in Shanghai. I have decent knowledge of tennis, so I know who 'should' win these matches.
Anyway, I hit 6/7, with the only loss being the highest favored play of the parlay. fricking Roger Federer, the most confident pick of all. btw, the 2 pending plays did end up winning, making it 6/7.
*i did, however, put something small on each one, so not all was lost. but still...
this is how hard it is to hit a 7 team parlay.
I put this in yesterday, just to get some action going on the current ATP Masters tournament in Shanghai. I have decent knowledge of tennis, so I know who 'should' win these matches.
Anyway, I hit 6/7, with the only loss being the highest favored play of the parlay. fricking Roger Federer, the most confident pick of all.
btw, the 2 pending plays did end up winning, making it 6/7. *i did, however, put something small on each one, so not all was lost. but still...
Posted on 10/13/15 at 9:05 pm to The Egg
quote:
this is how hard it is to hit a 7 team parlay.
I did it back in '12 I think.
Here:
This post was edited on 10/13/15 at 9:12 pm
Posted on 10/13/15 at 9:12 pm to Carson123987
Nice. Laying that many points in a rivalry game takes balls.
Posted on 10/13/15 at 9:13 pm to Carson123987
damn son, that was a great day I bet
Posted on 10/13/15 at 10:23 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
At first look, I like a lot of favorites this week. Makes me nervous to feel very confident about any of them.
It happens. I liked way more dogs last week than I normally do...worked out fine.
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