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re: Official Week 6 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 10/5/15 at 3:57 pm to
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Accno- whats the models % on Navy


I need to re-run it, I thought this game was being played at a neutral field so my model is reflecting that.
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5055 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 3:58 pm to
I've gone all in on LSU -12

Just don't see SC scoring
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Just don't see SC scoring


People said the same about Syracuse and Eastern Michigan and both teams scored 20+
This post was edited on 10/5/15 at 4:01 pm
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17668 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

People said the same shite about Syracuse and Eastern Michigan and both teams scored 20+

Exactly. This isn't the 2011 LSU defense.
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5055 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 4:06 pm to
No doubt but I also stayed away from those games because of the spread being over 3 TDs

Maybe I should have said scoring enough, but Nunez is terrible and should have his lunch eaten
Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
14521 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

I've gone all in on LSU -12

Just don't see SC scoring
As an LSU fan, I wouldn't advise touching this. We could easily win by 20+. We could easily wind up in OT.
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14657 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

@DrewCHallett: O/U for Michigan-Northwestern: 36


Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 5:38 pm to
Just play the ML, Bobby.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 5:44 pm to
Locking in SMU +25.5

Line is where I want it. Anything over 24.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 6:52 pm to
Significant line movement in my direction after hitting openers... preparing to lose every bet.

I'm looking to add another unit on Syracuse depending on where it reopens.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 7:14 pm to
Arkansas +17
SMU +25
Colorado +15.5
Navy +14
UGA -2.5
Rutgers +17

Still waiting on the right number for USCe, Mizzou and K-State
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 7:21 pm to
quote:


Arkansas +17
SMU +25
Colorado +15.5
Navy +14
Rutgers +17





On all of those as well

I went ahead and took Mizzou +4 last night, unfortunately its +5.5 now. But as I said earlier, its not about predicting line movement but getting your number. I liked anything over 3.5 for Mizzou and got my number. If the line continues to grow, oh well, I still got my number.

I think K-State's line is good now, personally. I understand your approach though considering the line has grown from -6.5 to -9 in a day. If you haven't played it yet it won't hurt to wait and see where it goes.

I am also waiting on South Carolina. I think with all the Fournette hype this line can get to +14.
Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 10:58 pm to
Why do you like SMU
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

I've gone all in on LSU -12


You want to go all in laying double digits on the road in the SEC? All in laying points with ultra conservative Les Miles? LSU is receiving 98% of the bets. Yikes.


I will lock in South Carolina if it gets to 14. Orth will be starting for SC. Not Nunez.

Always looking for home dogs w/ a better QB than the opposition. Tennessee qualifies. Waiting for the hook.




This post was edited on 10/5/15 at 11:54 pm
Posted by Pocket Kingz
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2013
1752 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 11:56 pm to
Its at 14 for me and Im still not sure Im gonna touch it. If LF gets it going early, I could easily see the game spiraling out of control quickly. Is SC playing the backup this weekend?
Posted by rawDAWG333
Knoxville
Member since Nov 2012
1712 posts
Posted on 10/6/15 at 2:52 am to
added SMU +25.5

Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 10/6/15 at 4:43 am to
Honestly, I'm tailing you guys on SMU lol


Any reason y'all like SMU?
This post was edited on 10/6/15 at 4:53 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17668 posts
Posted on 10/6/15 at 7:53 am to
quote:

Locking in SMU +25.5
Posted by kkhere
Member since Nov 2009
428 posts
Posted on 10/6/15 at 9:27 am to
Played the following:

Washington +17
Miami +9.5
Nebraska -1.5
Arkansas +17
Mizzou +4.5
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 10/6/15 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Always looking for home dogs w/ a better QB than the opposition. Tennessee qualifies. Waiting for the hook.


I'm looking at UGA in this one. Lambert's not near as bad as Bama made him look last weekend. Unfortunately for UGA, that was the perfect storm for Bama. UT won't be able to shut down UGA's running game, so this game will have a completely different feel and UGA's offense will look completely different than last weekend.
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