- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Official Week 5 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:08 am to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:08 am to ChemE in the OP
Schefter just said all signs were pointing to Ponder starting tonight. Putting money on that guy takes some serious balls...he is so bad.
1
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:12 am to MillerMan
I'm just playing the significant RLM.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:29 am to ChemE in the OP
Just put a Unit on Vikings +8.5
Not insanely confident but Thursday night games are weird and I think both teams will struggle to score, keeping the game close
Not insanely confident but Thursday night games are weird and I think both teams will struggle to score, keeping the game close
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:36 am to ChemE in the OP
I'm hearing that the best "sharp" play of the week is taking the points with Washington hosting Seattle, FWIW.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:40 am to Cole Beer
That's definitely one I'm looking at.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:52 am to ChemE in the OP
Yall still have confidence on the Vikings with Bridgewater out and the game at Lambeau?
Am I missing something here?
Am I missing something here?
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:55 am to LSUcdro
quote:
Yall still have confidence on the Vikings with Bridgewater out
Is he confirmed out?
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:55 am to Cole Beer
quote:
'm hearing that the best "sharp" play of the week is taking the points with Washington hosting Seattle, FWIW.
Probably my favorite play of the week.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:58 am to LSUcdro
quote:
Yall still have confidence on the Vikings with Bridgewater out and the game at Lambeau? Am I missing something here?
My betting philosophy has little to do with individual players. The differential between the Vikings QBs is small, IMO.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:58 am to Billy Mays
Still not sure if he is out, Im just saying from what Im reading in this thread, looks like people are still leaning Vikes even if Ponder starts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:59 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
My betting philosophy has little to do with individual players. The differential between the Vikings QBs is small, IMO.
Ponder is AWFUL lol
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 9:00 am
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:23 am to LSUcdro
GB beat Chicago by 21 last week, but that amount is a bit deceiving.
GB's run D is terrible, and Minny's run game could be as good or better than Chicago's.
And I think Minny's defense is somewhat underrated.
GB's run D is terrible, and Minny's run game could be as good or better than Chicago's.
And I think Minny's defense is somewhat underrated.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:49 am to LSUcdro
quote:
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
Peyton Manning is worth serious points as far as Vegas is concerned.
Going from Bridgewater to Ponder...the line shouldn't change as they are probably worth the same amount of points to Vegas.
Here is a QB Vegas point worth article from last year:
LINK
quote:
Vegas Consensus: Quarterback Per-Game Value
Peyton Manning: 7 points
Tom Brady: 6.5 points
Aaron Rodgers: 6 points
Drew Brees: 6 points
Matt Ryan: 5.5 points
Colin Kaepernick: 5 points
Ben Roethlisberger: 5 points
Eli Manning: 4.5 points
Joe Flacco: 4 points
Andy Dalton: 4 points
Philip Rivers: 4 points
Robert Griffin III: 3.5 points
Jay Cutler: 3.5 points
Matt Stafford: 3.5 points
Russell Wilson: 3 points
Andrew Luck: 3 points
Tony Romo: 3 points
Sam Bradford: 3 points
Matt Schaub: 2.5 points
Other than the top tier QB's, player injuries shouldn't have any drastic or major effects on how you bet, because they don't matter.
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 9:51 am
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:08 am to LSUcdro
quote:
Ponder is AWFUL lol
I agree with this - he is a downgrade from Bridgwater, maybe even worth a point or two.
Minnesota is an a weird spot here - they are coming off a very short week (played the late afternoon game last Sunday), against a team and QB that should be coming in with lot of confidence.
Minnesota's defense was disappointing last week vs a banged up ATL offense. I suspect Lacy has a breakout game tonight and the GB OL starts to work out it's issues.
I'll be on GB if Bridgewater is out.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:34 am to Billy Mays
The rain is enough to keep me away. GB doesn't run the ball that well and they've been run on. Could be a low scoring, 17-10 or 20-13 type of game. Over a TD is too much for me to give.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:55 am to LSUcdro
quote:
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
That's obviously what I'm saying...
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 10/2/14 at 12:17 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
That's obviously what I'm saying.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 12:19 pm to LSUcdro
Just saw on Twitter that the Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a TD or more favorite.
Rodgers typically does well vs. lesser competition.
Rodgers typically does well vs. lesser competition.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 1:04 pm to LSUcdro
More wagers piling on the Packers as the line continues to move to 7.5, I'll be extra curious to see how this one plays out.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 1:08 pm to ChemE in the OP
I might tease the packers and Oregon tonight or just not bet at all. I might take the Packers TT ov 27.5 but the weather is making me hesitant.
Page 3 of 13
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News