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re: OFFICIAL Week 13 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:38 pm to
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

I hope you do well, but if your bets are based on tracking line movements and money flow, I'll be surprised.


36 wins and 17 losses through 12 weeks...

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:42 pm to
I do realize that evidence of success in terms of winning percentage is a foreign notion to you though... Best I can do.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:43 pm to
Kent +7.5 for me tonight
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:44 pm to
Like it... May join you.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:48 pm to
Yea, let's go with it...

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[105] KENT STATE +7½ (-110)

Can Kent St make it 2 in a row for us?


Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Can Kent St make it 2 in a row for us?

If they do, I'm sure it will be of the hideous, backdoor variety




Only really like Iowa and Notre Dame this weekend. I'm not one for huge spreads but with how light this weekend is, Oklahoma State and Mississippi State look like my next favorite plays after that.
Posted by 23
Luling, LA
Member since Apr 2013
199 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 1:11 pm to
I've been teasing these MAC games due to the lack of info available on the teams. The O/U on the Kent St Buffalo game has dropped from 49.5 to 42.5. I'm not expecting a lot of points with the weather so I went with Kent St teased to +14.5.
In the other game BGSU has wrapped up their division and doesn't have much to play for besides the rivalry. Toledo has to win to stay in a 3-way tie atop their division. Toledo hasn't announced if their 2nd string QB will start with his ankle injury or if they'll go with the 4th string WR Macon as QB. He played most of their last game against NIU. He was apparently an all state QB in high school. (Take that for what it's worth.) Both teams have terrible defenses and give up over 30 a game. I put the over and BGSU plus the points in the same teaser. I think it stays close because of the rivalry.

BGSU +14.5
Over 46 BGSU/Tol
Kent St +14.5
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66380 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 1:29 pm to
Give me kent st all day
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

I am of the belief that Ole Miss-3 provides a great deal of value for a potential investor. I set this line at -8.


That Treadwell injury really hurts their offense which has never been great to begin with. Line seems fair to me. Arky has their confidence now and are more than capable of beating the Rebs. If the line were 8, I would be all over Arky
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:06 pm to
i went ahead and locked in notre dame -3

other leans are
okie state+28
vandy +30 (hard for me to bet against an sec line like that, even if vandy)
iowa +10
and if i can get ole miss and tennessee at 3 i may grab those

just going to watch the lines the next 2 days. Chem what are your thoughts on these games?
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17766 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

on't have strong opinions on either game, and may take the unprecedented step of not betting on a weeknight game.

If I change my mind, it would prolly be on Toledo-6.*





Doesnt Toledo have QB problems? Line opened up at -6.5 now -6
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 2:24 pm
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17666 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:26 pm to
I like Vandy in this spot too. Not sure about Notre Dame, though. And I added Kent St. to at least give me more of a reason to watch a Wednesday night game in a snowstorm.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16837 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:47 pm to
anybody on the under kenst st/buf with me?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 2:55 pm to
Does lville have a solid running game?

ND lost their best d lineman last week. After already losing their top tackler the week before. They are also on their 2nd string cb rotation. And Golson is still not 100%.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:13 pm to
louisville lost their starting qb though didnt they
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16837 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:19 pm to
they lost Gardener. But Bonnafon is not a big drop off. He played some this season and is more Mobile that Gardner. I just like LOU D and getting points vs a dejected ND team.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:21 pm to
kent state just went to +8 in my book. i went ahead and jumped on them
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 3:23 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77353 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:25 pm to
Locked in:
Vandy +29 (miss st with a nice sandwich game)
Uab +20 fishy line and following betting trends :/
Grabbing a piece of kent +8, looks tasty
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 3:26 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:26 pm to
Is the snow cleared? Kent State is awful running the ball and seems like these conditions would favor the better running team
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25274 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:43 pm to
Buffalo/Kent game postponed per Twitter
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