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re: OFFICIAL Week 13 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 11/18/14 at 5:31 pm to
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 5:31 pm to
It's at pick em for me too.

Is someone major for NI not playing or something?
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36317 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 5:44 pm to
Adding: 1u Northern Illinois/Ohio O52 -105

YTD: 22-25 -3.66u

3u Louisiana Tech -11.5 -110
1u Boston College +20 -110
1u Northern Illinois/Ohio O52 -105
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17819 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 5:51 pm to
Akron O/U now 47
Posted by K9
wayx....BOBO IN '19
Member since Sep 2012
24034 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

Is someone major for NI not playing or something?




didnt see anything when I googled

just laid a bet with NIU though
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16875 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 6:01 pm to
1-2

lou+3.5
under 23.1h akron/mass
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

lou+3.5


You seen Bonnafon play this year?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 6:40 pm to
really confused on how anyone would play the ND-Lville game with a solid read but whatever.

Also, it should be noted that ND fumbled twice inside the 5 yard line vs NW and missed two chip FGS. That game could have easily been a ~17 point swing.
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 10:07 pm to
NI didn't make it easy for us, but they got us the win
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83474 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 10:17 pm to
Took the under in the first half. That was some brutal football to watch.
Posted by championship101
home of the lumberjacks
Member since Aug 2007
165 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 12:46 am to
When some of you fella's are saying your doing research, what is it that you are researching?? New to sports betting and just looking for all the help I can get
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:05 am to
quote:

RLM is in favor of Ohio. The line has dropped from 4 to 2.5 with 75% of bets on NI.


Thank god I'm a sensible human being who doesn't base bets on RLM.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:19 am to
quote:

When some of you fella's are saying your doing research, what is it that you are researching?? New to sports betting and just looking for all the help I can get


Spend hours speculating, via limited and necessarily ambiguous and inconclusive data, about which team "all the smart people" are betting on and which team "all the people who split 5s in blackjack" are betting on so that you can bet on the "all the smart people" team and then snicker at anybody who took the other team because you just know that's the same a-hole who splits 5s while on 3rd base at the blackjack table.

Or you can research the two teams in question -- specifically focusing on metrics relevant to, and perhaps predictive of, the ability to win football games -- and make an educated decision based thereon about which one of the two is better at the game of football.

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:05 am to
Can you post your full card this week with analysis so we can all learn from you?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:47 am to
YEAR TO DATE RECAP FOR MY TD.COM POSTED PLAYS!!!

Week 1 - 4-1
Week 2 - 1-1
Week 3 - 3-1
Week 4 - 3-2
Week 5 - 2-3
Week 6 - 2-2
Week 7 - 5-1
Week 8 - 3-1
Week 9 - 4-0
Week 10 - 2-3
Week 11 - 3-1
Week 12 - 4-1

Total Recap - 36-17 at a ridiculous 67.9% on all posted plays...

This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 7:48 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:48 am to
RAS who?
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Can you post your full card this week with analysis so we can all learn from you?


No, I'm just gonna use this thread to post about games like I've been doing. Maybe next year we can change the title to "ATS picking competition thread" or something. Or they can coexist symbiotically. Or if you wanted you could go bak and look at who I've backed in this thread, and compile it all up.

And sorry to hear you respond to my above post directly and in a defensive posture to boot. Surely you didn't think I was referencing you specifically in my allusion to the (a) mindless tripe that this thread devolves into when it turns into a "sharps" v. "squares" cliche tossing competition, and (b) the idea conceptually that it's a better to spend time inaccurately speculating about who smart people are betting on -- as a form of pseudo-tailing, essentially -- rather than handicapping the games. Surely.

Posted by BullredsRus
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
754 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 8:31 am to
Hey Chem E, on that website you linked here a few times, are the blue part of those graphs always the favorite?
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77420 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 8:36 am to
Isnt it weird that the pissing matches almost always involve you?

You have the audacity to sit there and criticize of peoples bets and way of thinking without even posting your own plays here.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 8:43 am to
quote:

Isnt it weird that the pissing matches almost always involve you?

You have the audacity to sit there and criticize of peoples bets and way of thinking without even posting your own plays here.


Pissing matches about what?

I was on NIU. And I posted about it. Read all of what I wrote above. Then read it again. And if you don't want to get into a pissing match, don't post shite like the above. I don't get involved pissing matches. I do write that "meta-analysis" of what others thing is going to happen in a game is a waste of time and energy when the alternative is actual analysis of what's going to happen in the game. Pissing matches may result if some take offense to stance, and that is weird, and unfortunate.

And I have way more audacity than that, holmes.
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 8:44 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 8:57 am to
My record speaks for itself. I just prefer this thread without you in it, so I'm glad to call you out when it's appropriate.

And yes, one of my highly successful data points is tracking money flow...


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