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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 7

Posted on 10/10/13 at 12:53 pm to
Posted by dante
Kingwood, TX
Member since Mar 2006
10669 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I like UT +14 versus OU...thoughts?
I think UT has the athletes to cover, but I question their intestinal fortitude. Stoops will run up the score if given a chance.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:05 pm to
Should I do Rutgers +19 or the TT O18.5?

There may be some value on the Rutgers O getting some points. I know Ville is #1 in the country points allowed but Rutgers will be the best offense they have faced. I remember their QB Nova being decent.

I am worried about taking them for the game in case they can't stop Bridgewater, but the TT has a chance at a backdoor cover if things get out of hand.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:21 pm to
Rutgers starting RB is out
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
538 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:31 pm to
Plays for tonight and tomorrow :

SDSU/AF O55
TEM/CINCY U51.5

Weekend :
Mizz/Uga O63.5
OK -14
BUFFALO -10

Leans:
Neb -14
Bama/ky u52
Posted by tugreenwave3
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Jun 2012
269 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:37 pm to
4 team parlay: San Diego St, San Diego St/Air Force OVER, USC/Arizona OVER, and Giants/Bears OVER
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:53 pm to
What do you think will happen first

Baylor gets everyone buried with a lousy performance,

Or the books start to heavily juice the Baylor lines
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Or the books start to heavily juice the Baylor lines

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:54 pm to
Thats already happening if I had to guess
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7265 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 1:57 pm to
I like that parlay...only thing I'm skeptical of is the USC Arizona play.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42465 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

I like UT +14 versus OU...thoughts?


I'll give you my opinion only under the condition that you give us what we want.
Posted by MSU4ever
Member since Aug 2011
1895 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:02 pm to
I have rutgers +19 and arizona +7 and now by book has them at +19.5 and arizona +5.5.

I guess beating one is better than none

what do y'all think? 0-2, 1-1, 2-0
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42465 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:03 pm to
Have a unit on 'Ville and USC.

You fricked
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:05 pm to
1-1 at worst. IMO
Posted by MSU4ever
Member since Aug 2011
1895 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

1-1 at worst. IMO


Thats what I'm thinking.

Ive watched villa play a lot this year and they're good but I don't think they're going to cover this. Also USC may come out and blow zona out but I would rather have +7 any day against a team playing terrible with a new coach than hoping they can cover a TD

BOL to everyone tonight
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:26 pm to
You boys just need to ride the lightning tonight!




Air Force 34 - San Diego State 27

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 3:57 pm to
I agree with you on the Falcons also. Thinking its probably a better play than Arizona. Ive been flip flopping all day with picks and think im going to go withRutgers and Ville over and the falcons
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 4:05 pm to
Think I'm just going to kick back and look for some live lines tonight fellas. Too many other plays this weekend.
Posted by Memphis
Fenway Park
Member since Jun 2013
6302 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 4:10 pm to
DG, you say 34-27 Air Force, but said your numbers have them winning by 3?


Posted by Memphis
Fenway Park
Member since Jun 2013
6302 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

I like UT +14 versus OU...thoughts?

quote:

Chicken

OU -14 it is
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/10/13 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

DG, you say 34-27 Air Force, but said your numbers have them winning by 3?


I added in a few more factors to my already exhaustive formula than I thought would give me a more accurate score prediction then I was getting in the past. I save all of my templates on a week by week basis so I can always go back and retroactively add things and rerun numbers to see how well they would perform. The results were better than expected.

And I am feeling pretty damn strong going into this weekend.

Tonight goes like I think it will and it's gonna be on Saturday.
This post was edited on 10/10/13 at 4:34 pm
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