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NFL Divisional Round betting thread
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:42 pm
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:42 pm
FD no sweat parlay
+1890
Robert Woods O21.5 receiving yards
CJ Stroud O238.5 passing yards
Jayden Reed O40.5 receiving yards
Luke Musgrave O1.5 receptions
Aaron Jones 60+ rushing yards
Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards
+1890
Robert Woods O21.5 receiving yards
CJ Stroud O238.5 passing yards
Jayden Reed O40.5 receiving yards
Luke Musgrave O1.5 receptions
Aaron Jones 60+ rushing yards
Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards
7
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:12 pm to High C
Sgps are so tempting. Its hard to see how this loses, but it will almost certainly lose. I wish you luck though, mate 
If I had to pick a loser it might be Stroud, but I still like the pick.
If I had to pick a loser it might be Stroud, but I still like the pick.
This post was edited on 1/19/24 at 8:13 pm
Posted on 1/19/24 at 9:05 pm to High C
49ers will likely run all over packers. Not sure Purdy will need to attempt 30 passes.
Posted on 1/20/24 at 10:03 am to High C
I love all those except purdy
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:06 pm to High C
quote:
Bettors are all over Sunday’s divisional round game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.
The weekend finale is the most-bet game at BetMGM. The Bills are favored by 2.5 points and have gotten the most money of any team against the spread. Nearly two-thirds of the money bet against the spread is on Buffalo to win by three or more.
quote:
Every other divisional round game has a spread of at least 6.5 points, and both Saturday games have spreads of at least 9.5 points. The Texans are 9.5-point underdogs at the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday afternoon and are getting 62% of bets and just 44% of the money against the spread.
Houston is +350 to pull the upset outright, and a big-money bettor was enticed by those odds. Someone at BetMGM wagered $45,000 to win $157,500 on the Texans.
The Packers have moved to 10-point underdogs at the San Francisco 49ers on Saturday night as sharp money is favoring the 49ers. Under half the bets are on the 49ers to cover the number, but those bets equal 58% of the money wagered on the spread.
The Lions are being backed even more heavily than the other three favorites. Detroit is a 6.5-point favorite at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and is getting over 70% of the money bet on the spread. The proportion of money on the favorites this weekend has BetMGM rooting for a big underdog or two to cover.
“Chiefs-Bills will be the most-bet game, but we need one of the big underdogs to at least cover,” BetMGM’s Christian Cipollini said. “An upset by the Texans, Packers or Buccaneers would make our weekend.”
LINK
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:10 pm to Bunk Moreland
Heavy on the favorites today
Lions line smells fishy to me
Chiefs/Bills will be a classic, leaning chiefs but certainly won’t bet a lot
Lions line smells fishy to me
Chiefs/Bills will be a classic, leaning chiefs but certainly won’t bet a lot
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:30 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Wicks, Schultz, Otton anytime TD parlay. 66/1
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:32 pm to High C
Ravens are about to DELETE the Texans from the playoffs. Parlays are risky. Put your biggest units on Baltimore -9.5
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:36 pm to Gordon Hayward
I threw a free $50 bet on Texans, Pack, Bucs ML parlay to win like $3,300.Posted on 1/20/24 at 2:03 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
threw a free $50 bet on Texans, Pack, Bucs ML parlay to win like $3,300.
What a waste of a free bet
Posted on 1/20/24 at 2:13 pm to Gordon Hayward
quote:
Ravens are about to DELETE the Texans from the playoffs. Parlays are risky. Put your biggest units on Baltimore -9.5
Playoff Lamar isn’t exactly the most comforting part of this game. At home, in the cold and windy, with a top defense against a rookie qb and a team who is missing three of their top offensive players…pressure is on Lamar. If he can’t win this game with the entire deck stacked in his favor then the criticism will ramp up and be totally deserved.
Some say the bookies are begging people to take the Texans but the weather is in my opinion making this game 9.5 instead of 6.5. The total has been moving to the under most of the week as well. Double digit spread and a total moving down…I’d lean to take the points.
And opposite the cowboys, the Ravens have bullied some great teams and struggled or flat out lost against teams they should have no business doing that to. Not sure this is a foregone conclusion that they just run away with it.
This post was edited on 1/20/24 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 1/20/24 at 2:23 pm to Tigers0891
I like to be specific with my analysis rather than cast an umbrella with takes about “playoff Lamar.” Lamar is playing the best football of his career. The ravens have the best front 7 in football. They’ve been resting for 3 weeks. The Texans run the same offense as the 49ers and Dolphins. The Ravens destroyed those teams.
Posted on 1/20/24 at 2:46 pm to Gordon Hayward
Playoff Lamar isn’t casting any more of a net than “The Texans run the same offense as 49ers and Miami”.
Plenty of offenses share the exact same concepts.
I agree the Ravens are a better team and you could easily be right. It could be a smack down. So tell me why they lost to Pittsburgh in their first meeting, barely beat the Bengals when Burrow was clearly still hurt from training camp, didn’t cover this same spread against the Titans or the cardinals, lost to the Colts, and barely covered this same spread against a terrible Chargers team?
Oh and the last few years, there has been no proof that resting has helped teams when it comes to the spread. I'm pretty sure the stats show they have struggled to cover.
Plenty of offenses share the exact same concepts.
I agree the Ravens are a better team and you could easily be right. It could be a smack down. So tell me why they lost to Pittsburgh in their first meeting, barely beat the Bengals when Burrow was clearly still hurt from training camp, didn’t cover this same spread against the Titans or the cardinals, lost to the Colts, and barely covered this same spread against a terrible Chargers team?
Oh and the last few years, there has been no proof that resting has helped teams when it comes to the spread. I'm pretty sure the stats show they have struggled to cover.
This post was edited on 1/20/24 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 1/20/24 at 2:51 pm to Tigers0891
Slowik and McDaniels are running Shanahan’s offense. They both worked under him for a long time. Not the same as running similar concepts.
Posted on 1/20/24 at 3:20 pm to Gordon Hayward
$5 to win $170
I kinda like it though.
Posted on 1/20/24 at 3:21 pm to BigBro
Posted on 1/20/24 at 3:23 pm to BigBro
Yes, I like burning money
Posted on 1/20/24 at 6:38 pm to High C
Tough one. Texans looked like shite.
Posted on 1/20/24 at 6:40 pm to High C
quote:
CJ Stroud O238.5 passing yards
Ouch. Did Texans gain 238 yds total as a team?
Posted on 1/20/24 at 6:45 pm to kciDAtaE
Take the 10 points and GB and go get your money back.
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