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NFL Bets Thread Week 10

Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:14 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:14 am
Start it off with...

Jags +3.5
Bears -1

Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:38 am to
I'm on the other side of the Jaguars.

Colts - 3
Broncos - 4 (-3.5 now on 5dimes).
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:42 am to
Colts are getting 74% public money so it's mostly a fade play on that one for me. Situational play on Bears.
Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:55 am to
Yeah my plays are pretty square.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 12:02 pm to
The "square" plays were cashing left and right this past weekend so no worries there. I just have settled into a mode where I tend to go the other way.
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

@AdamSchefter: Bears CB Charles Tillman told WSCR-AM he won't play in Sunday night's game against Texans if his wife goes into labor. She's due any day.


If he doesn't play I think that's a huge plus for houston
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:37 pm to
Are you tailing SMS on the Jags pick or were you going to make it regardless?

I heard Colin Cowherd say to take the Jags at +3 ASAP. Normally I wouldn't care, but he's 71% on the year in NFL.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:38 pm to
Y'all have balls if you take the Jags.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:45 pm to
Indy is 1-2 on the road this year and the only win was against an iffy Titans team after a trick play in OT.

Indy on a short week, on the road, rookie QB, looking ahead to the road game against new england after this week.
Posted by TotallyTigers
Champagnionship
Member since Nov 2004
2882 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:46 pm to
San Diego @ Tampa Bay (-3)
Dallas (pk) @ Philadelphia
KC @ Pittsburgh (-13)

ML Parlay - New England, Baltimore, San Francisco, Pittsburgh

I'm fading the Chiefs and Eagles for the rest of the 2012 season regardless of the opponent or spread
This post was edited on 11/7/12 at 8:48 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:46 pm to
Yea, but Luck>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Gabbert. Fact!
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 8:49 pm to
Gabbert playing safety for the Jags this thursday?
Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

Indy on a short week, on the road, rookie QB, looking ahead to the road game against new england after this week.


vs.

Jacksonville on a short week, terrible QB, looking around lost

It's just too hard for me to take the Jags and I needed some week night action. Hoping the Colts play inspired as they are staring the playoffs in the face if they just win the games they are supposed to - Jacksonville, Buffalo, Tennessee, and Kansas City gets them to 9 wins which just may be good enough to sneak into the playoffs. They'll likely get the Texans second string in week 17 if things are locked up for the Texans by then.

No sure thing with a rookie QB or road games in the NFL though.
This post was edited on 11/7/12 at 9:10 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

Are you tailing SMS on the Jags pick or were you going to make it regardless?


Look at the times. I posted it first.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 9:49 pm to
I believe you, was just curious about your reasoning
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 9:57 pm to
Mostly just a heavy public fade with a good number.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30189 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 10:01 pm to
Gotcha, thoughts on the total (42)?
This post was edited on 11/7/12 at 10:02 pm
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33742 posts
Posted on 11/7/12 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

Y'all have balls if you take the Jags.


Jacksonville has scored 34 points at home this year. Sure they've played some of the toughest defenses, but that is pathetic. They couldn't even muster a few more garbage time TD's? Give me a break.

I guess one thing to consider in the Jags favor is that both of the Colts starting CB's are out for this game. But the Jags are also dead last in passing offense in the NFL.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 8:03 am to
The perfect cure for the Jags offense is a Colts D that can't stop the run and is missing its secondary. Public betting now at 79% on Colts.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 8:52 am to
Under tonight is a
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