- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
0
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:44 pm to WarhawkRebel
Yes.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:44 pm to SabiDojo
quote:
Hmmmm, not necessarily. Mississippi is under investigation by the DOJ for not reporting sexual assaults. Their defense has literally been "Oh, you were asking for it and probably liked it." And I believe sexual assault in prisons are on the rise.
It still doesn't happen to everyone that goes to jail. Thats my point.
Going to prison doesn't mean you're going to be arse raped. Literally millions of people go to jail without getting arse raped
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:45 pm to SabiDojo
Mississippi prisons are a joke. The Commissioner for the prison just got convicted on federal bribery charges and I always see a new face because the guards ate constantly getting arrested for either banging the prisoners or sneaking contraband in to them. The thugs run these prisons and if one wants to put his weewee in your stomach, I don't see who is going to protect you.
Federal guards here are legit, though. They are actually qualified.
Federal guards here are legit, though. They are actually qualified.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:46 pm to TheCaterpillar
Back to the question.
Yes I would definitely risk it. Half court shots with no one guarding you aren't that hard. Very confident, WITH A LOT OF PRACTICE IN AN ARENA, I could make at least one.
Yes I would definitely risk it. Half court shots with no one guarding you aren't that hard. Very confident, WITH A LOT OF PRACTICE IN AN ARENA, I could make at least one.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:47 pm to SabiDojo
quote:
The thugs run these prisons and if one wants to put his weewee in your stomach, I don't see who is going to protect you.
You pay those same people to not do that.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:53 pm to WarhawkRebel
I would not do it. I might hit one half court shot under normal circumstances out of 20 but not under pressure like that
Posted on 3/5/15 at 3:55 pm to WarhawkRebel
I would do it....I know I can make 1 of 20.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:03 pm to WarhawkRebel
the expected value works out so yes, you should do it
$1,000,000 per shot vs 36.5 days in jail per shot
ETA: I believe that's how it's done
$1,000,000 per shot vs 36.5 days in jail per shot
ETA: I believe that's how it's done
This post was edited on 3/5/15 at 4:04 pm
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:05 pm to wizziko
It's not
Eta: although now I'm questioning how I'd find the expected value myself. So frick if i know
Eta: although now I'm questioning how I'd find the expected value myself. So frick if i know
This post was edited on 3/5/15 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:07 pm to rockchlkjayhku11
What would suck about this is if you miss your first 10 or so you'll start feeling the pressure of prison. Better make an early shot.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:09 pm to wizziko
With no time restraint, yes. If the first one or two of that day went terrible, back to the drawing board, come back, try again.
I'm assuming after 2 years you just have a felony "Lost a Bet" on your record that wouldn't impede your ability to live life after prison? If going to prison affects my ability to work an actual job, that changes things.
ETA: This would actually be a fun little Made-For-TV series if they put a time restraint on it assuming the dude didn't nail it early.
I'm assuming after 2 years you just have a felony "Lost a Bet" on your record that wouldn't impede your ability to live life after prison? If going to prison affects my ability to work an actual job, that changes things.
ETA: This would actually be a fun little Made-For-TV series if they put a time restraint on it assuming the dude didn't nail it early.
This post was edited on 3/5/15 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:23 pm to rockchlkjayhku11
quote:I could be wrong, but this is how I found the expected value based on a 5% chance of a making a single shot.
Eta: although now I'm questioning how I'd find the expected value myself. So frick if i know
Probability of making at least 1 shot is easier to calculate as 1 - (the probability of not making one shot): 1 - (.95^20) = 0.64151.
Then the expected value should be the probability of making a shot multiplied by the reward: 0.64151*$20,000,000 = $12,830,282.
Now this would be incomplete because you would have to figure the costs of not making a shot 36% of the time (e.g., lost income, loss of future income, debt increasing etc.).
I also think that the probability of making a single shot will change with each successive miss because the psychological pressures will change, but I think this is roughly a good way to figure it out.
This post was edited on 3/5/15 at 4:27 pm
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:27 pm to buckeye_vol
If I did this, I would take out an insurance policy and hire a good lawyer. Have to keep something in your back pocket.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:29 pm to emoney
quote:Great point. You could not only offset the costs of two years in prison, but given the expected value of winning, actually make more money than normal.
If I did this, I would take out an insurance policy and hire a good lawyer. Have to keep something in your back pocket
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:32 pm to WarhawkRebel
I have always been really good at half court shots. I don't think I've ever missed ten in a row in my life. Seems like a no brainer, but the pressure could get tough. Miss the first 10, and I'm suddenly wishing I didn't take the deal.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:32 pm to WarhawkRebel
If I could have a week or more to practice I think would consider it. If the offer was presented to me on the spot and it was a take it or leave it right now option I would pass.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:35 pm to SwaggerCopter
quote:This is really a great scenario for a psychology/economics study. We do typically have loss aversion so even though the expected value is so large, the prospect of prison may be too much.
I have always been really good at half court shots. I don't think I've ever missed ten in a row in my life. Seems like a no brainer, but the pressure could get tough. Miss the first 10, and I'm suddenly wishing I didn't take the deal.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 4:36 pm to Jamohn
quote:
Based on that competition with the current player/old guy/WNBA player, I think Chris Bosh could somewhere b/w 4-7 out of 20
Bosh is money. 10/20 is possible from him.
Posted on 3/5/15 at 5:02 pm to WarhawkRebel
I would definitely take the chance. I'm 100% confident in my ability to hit one.
Page 4 of 8
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News