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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread
Posted on 8/14/16 at 8:43 am to LSUAlum2001
Posted on 8/14/16 at 8:43 am to LSUAlum2001
In Vegas last week i caught part of a handicapper on the radio. Re o/u season totals he mentioned cincy (over) and BYU under.
You can download his college preview if you search for sportscheetah on Twitter. Part of wagertalk.com I think.
You can download his college preview if you search for sportscheetah on Twitter. Part of wagertalk.com I think.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:38 am to saintsfan1977
quote:
Someone that has never watched a single NCAA Football game can make a really good profit if they have the right information. That information will probably cost money though and will not include a single football stat.
Cost money? Like pay for a tout?
I know Deadspin just released an article exposing RJ Bell and the frauds at PreGame.com as total liars and long term losers who lie about how well they do
Football, both NFL and CFB, is easily the hardest sport to beat because of turnovers, its why I don't bother betting it, the only reason I am betting it is because I will be in Las Vegas for Week 1 this year. Maybe I will get lucky in a one week sample size.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:47 am to KingBarkus
quote:
In Vegas last week i caught part of a handicapper on the radio. Re o/u season totals he mentioned cincy (over) and BYU under.
You can download his college preview if you search for sportscheetah on Twitter. Part of wagertalk.com I think.
Anyone you hear on the radio, especially in Las Vegas, talking about sports betting, are paid touts who are full of total bullshite. They don't know shite, they are not experts, they are losers, they just pay for their airtime, so they can lure people to their tout pick selling scam websites like sheep to the slaughter. I know, I used to work at ESPN Radio in Las Vegas. These guys are all scamming touts.
Just went to Wagertalk website you talked about, and the first name I see is Scott Spreitzer, then I see Marco D'Angelo, both are well known LOSING touts who have been scamming and freerolling people for years. Marco D'Angelo used to be at PreGame but quit because his long term record(that he lied and embellished) got exposed by the users there. He claimed he was hitting over 60% on all his picks in every sport and then someone named Comptrbob, who tracked all his picks, said no, you are a long term loser across the board. Scott Spreitzer is former PreGame trash as well.
Read this article that exposed PreGame and the tout industry:
How America’s Favorite Sports Betting Expert Turned A Sucker’s Game Into An Industry
The sad thing is that even though this article pretty much exposes PreGame, RJ Bell, and the touts, that morons like Colin Cowherd and ESPN will still use him as their "betting expert" and lend their credibility to him so he can continue to rope more idiots into wasting money on their picks.
This is a good twitter account to follow, who exposes touts as well. So if you ever wonder if a certain person you hear on the radio is a scamming tout or not(if you hear them on the radio, they are), this twitter account will be able to answer that for you:
@VegasWatch
EDIT: Just looked up @sportscheetah on Twitter.... LMAO... that account is run by Johnny Detroit who was RJ Bell's main carnival barker on PreGame for YEARS... he doesn't have a master degree in ANYTHING! HE IS A LIAR!
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 9:49 am
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:54 am to LSUAlum2001
LSU -10
Michigan 1st half vs Hawaii
Leaning USCw +10
Tejas +4.5
Michigan 1st half vs Hawaii
Leaning USCw +10
Tejas +4.5
Posted on 8/14/16 at 10:00 am to goldennugget
Good God I just checked out SportsCheetah's website... and watched a few of his Week 1 College Football videos...
This guy calls himself an expert with a master's degree who is a big volume better on college football because he is so smart?>
Watch his video about Texas A&M-UCLA: LINK
Pathetic! 3 minutes of rambling about bullshite. Basically he rambles, and says "I like UCLA because their QB is better". Hard hitting analysis there bro! That's how a 10 year old would cap a football game. And this guy has the audacity to call himself an expert and charge people for picks.
Then I watch his Iowa-Miami video. Same garbage that a beginner handicapper would exhibit. 3 minutes of bullshite rambling. "Both Iowa and Miami are the same teams as last year", no, they aren't. "28 points is a lot to cover for a team that runs the ball a lot". LOL! That's some expertise level analysis there! Not like the bookmakers already have that factored into the line or anything.
This guy calls himself an expert with a master's degree who is a big volume better on college football because he is so smart?>
Watch his video about Texas A&M-UCLA: LINK
Pathetic! 3 minutes of rambling about bullshite. Basically he rambles, and says "I like UCLA because their QB is better". Hard hitting analysis there bro! That's how a 10 year old would cap a football game. And this guy has the audacity to call himself an expert and charge people for picks.
Then I watch his Iowa-Miami video. Same garbage that a beginner handicapper would exhibit. 3 minutes of bullshite rambling. "Both Iowa and Miami are the same teams as last year", no, they aren't. "28 points is a lot to cover for a team that runs the ball a lot". LOL! That's some expertise level analysis there! Not like the bookmakers already have that factored into the line or anything.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 10:31 am to goldennugget
quote:
NFL and CFB, is easily the hardest sport to beat because of turnovers
I think nba is the hardest sport to bet because most teams don't give max effort every night. I know a lot of nba bettors bet trends (I.e. 2nd night of a b2b) rather than the teams.
College football and basketball have been by far my most successful sports, in part because my general betting strategy. My strategy unfortunately doesn't apply to any pro sports.
I've done ok betting nfl, I'd rather bet an nfl game than nba.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 10:58 am to rawDAWG333
So far I've locked in:
A&M -2
Auburn +7.5
FIU +8
Futures are Florida Under 8 and Bammer Over 10.
A&M -2
Auburn +7.5
FIU +8
Futures are Florida Under 8 and Bammer Over 10.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:47 am to DallasTiger45
Honestly think LSU rolls Wisconsin pretty bad. I'll probably bet an adjusted line.
I need to go back and look at my stuff. I had a few lines I really liked
I need to go back and look at my stuff. I had a few lines I really liked
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:00 pm to DallasTiger45
Dont like auburn + 7.5. Clemsons explosive O + auburns lack of threats at qb/rb + kevin steele = clemson BIG
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:13 pm to goldennugget
I can see how having past spreads and performance at your fingertips can be helpful.
It certainly helps get a bead on what the oddsmakers are favoring and that can be a nice edge.
It certainly helps get a bead on what the oddsmakers are favoring and that can be a nice edge.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 1:14 pm to CtotheVrzrbck
quote:
I can see how having past spreads and performance at your fingertips can be helpful.
It certainly helps get a bead on what the oddsmakers are favoring and that can be a nice edge.
It certainly helps but you can't rely on it, its simply a tool
Football is so hard. Any sport is hard. Lost my arse in 2012 and 2013, I did well in 2014, and then last year I tried the same approach I did in 2014 and it didn't work. Books are always a step ahead.
Experience is the #1 way to get better at betting, simply because you become wiser. The first year I bet on college football I was an idiot, using elementary capping techniques "That teams sucks! They will get killed! Cover!" or "That team has a shitty QB, they won't win" or "Both teams have shitty offenses, under!".
I'd say the biggest difference from beginner to non-begginer is you begin to bet numbers and line moves, not teams. The only way you get better by betting numbers is having experience having seen that number or line move or RLM in the past.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 8/14/16 at 1:32 pm to Katdances
I think Clemson probably beats up on auburn.
LSU Clemson teaser. Yes please
LSU Clemson teaser. Yes please
Posted on 8/14/16 at 1:39 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
LSU Clemson teaser. Yes please
I have capped the Clemson-Auburn game and they are the play in that game, but I have gotten to the LSU game yet. But just at first glance before diving into any of the numbers it reminds me a lot of that Syracuse game last year. I'd be careful.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 2:21 pm to goldennugget
The Syracuse game wasn't the opening game of the year. It's a lot easier to get up for a game at Lambeau Field when you've been waiting to play football for 8 months than a mid season trip up to Syracuse.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 2:23 pm to goldennugget
I've currently got
Tennessee -22.5
LSU -10
Ohio State -27.5
Georgia -3
As a fourfold
Once the 1H lines come out I'll be more active, had a great year last year so hoping for more of the same
Tennessee -22.5
LSU -10
Ohio State -27.5
Georgia -3
As a fourfold
Once the 1H lines come out I'll be more active, had a great year last year so hoping for more of the same
Posted on 8/14/16 at 3:23 pm to engvol
Tennessee -22.5
LSU -10
Ohio State -27.5
Georgia -3
You know, last year I would have criticized all these plays for being square. That was my main strategy in 2014 that I did so well with, I basically faded "square" plays and heavy public favorites. I rode that strategy again in 2015 and got my arse handed to me. Square plays did pretty decent last year(although not as well toward the end of the year).
My excel sheets like Bowling Green and Appalachian State though so based on that I will disagree with 2 of the 4. We are in agreement on Georgia, haven't gotten to LSU yet.
LSU -10
Ohio State -27.5
Georgia -3
You know, last year I would have criticized all these plays for being square. That was my main strategy in 2014 that I did so well with, I basically faded "square" plays and heavy public favorites. I rode that strategy again in 2015 and got my arse handed to me. Square plays did pretty decent last year(although not as well toward the end of the year).
My excel sheets like Bowling Green and Appalachian State though so based on that I will disagree with 2 of the 4. We are in agreement on Georgia, haven't gotten to LSU yet.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 3:30 pm to goldennugget
quote:
goldennugget
I will put you down as a slight skeptic.
I didn't ask you to pay for picks, only pointing out 2 futures picks. I think Cincy with an experienced QB is a good over pick and BYU breaking in a new regime with a tough schedule will struggle to win 8. So, I put a couple of c-notes on the parlay.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 4:35 pm to engvol
quote:
come out I'll be more active, had a great year last year so hoping for more of the same
First half lines and team totals are my bread and butter. I rarely play a full game spread.
Posted on 8/14/16 at 4:38 pm to KingBarkus
quote:
I didn't ask you to pay for picks, only pointing out 2 futures picks. I think Cincy with an experienced QB is a good over pick and BYU breaking in a new regime with a tough schedule will struggle to win 8. So, I put a couple of c-notes on the parlay.
Ehh, I wasn't implying you were trying to get me to buy picks, I was just pointing out how trusting a tout on the radio is not wise because they are salesmen, not handicapping experts.
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