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Clay Travis: Only 12 teams can win a national championship in 2017
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:40 pm
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:40 pm
This is based on data going all the way back to 1996. With the exception of 2000 Oklahoma, every team that has won a national championship since 1996 has had at least two Top 10 recruiting classes in the four years prior to the championship season.
Four of those teams have had Top 10 recruiting classes in each of the last four years:
Alabama
Ohio State
Florida State
LSU
On paper, the above are the four most talented teams in all of college football. The next tier features four schools that have had Top 10 recruiting classes in three of the last four years:
Auburn
Georgia
USC
Texas A&M
And four schools have had Top 10 recruiting classes in two of the last four years (the minimum criteria):
Tennessee
Michigan
Clemson
Florida
Going by history and the data we have on hand, your 2017 national champion will be one of these twelve schools.
Four of those teams have had Top 10 recruiting classes in each of the last four years:
Alabama
Ohio State
Florida State
LSU
On paper, the above are the four most talented teams in all of college football. The next tier features four schools that have had Top 10 recruiting classes in three of the last four years:
Auburn
Georgia
USC
Texas A&M
And four schools have had Top 10 recruiting classes in two of the last four years (the minimum criteria):
Tennessee
Michigan
Clemson
Florida
Going by history and the data we have on hand, your 2017 national champion will be one of these twelve schools.
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 7:45 pm
6
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:44 pm to RollTide1987
You make a thread citing the troll on the MSB?
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:46 pm to RollTide1987
Is there a way to bet on these 12 teams to win it all in Vegas and make money?
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:47 pm to KosmoCramer
Just bet on 10
Throw out A&M and tennessee, that aint happening
Throw out A&M and tennessee, that aint happening
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:51 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Throw out A&M and tennessee, that aint happening
As much as this website will hate it, neither will LSU.
Or Auburn.
That leaves 8.
Michigan is replacing pretty much their entire defense.
Plus Florida on the list?
I'd say there's only 6 teams that can win it.
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:52 pm to Cosmo
Exceptions need to be made for elite qbs and offenses like a Washington or Penn St -- certainly those 2 teams have a much better chance than Georgia, Tennessee, Texas A&M, etc
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:58 pm to gobuxgo5
quote:
Exceptions need to be made for elite qbs and offenses like a Washington or Penn St
Elite QBs can only get you so far if there isn't any talent around them. We saw what Alabama's defense did to Browning in the Peach Bowl. He literally was the only player worth a damn on offense.
Compare that to Clemson who had Deshaun Watson and other 4-star and 5-star talent scattered about the offense and defense. It makes it easier for elite QBs to win the big game when they have some elite talent to throw to.
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 8:00 pm
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:01 pm to RollTide1987
Sorry Clay..it ain't gonna happen.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:06 pm to RollTide1987
Ok. Not comparing penn st and Washington to bama. I'm comparing them against UGA, Auburn, Texas AM, Tennessee and Florida -- all of which have a much less chance to be in playoff than penn st or Washington
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:08 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
Going by history and the data we have on hand, your 2017 national champion will be one of these twelve schools.
so Southern CAL since they are the only good one from their conference.
Half the SEC is on your set of lists. Pretty hard to win the SEC west.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:10 pm to CelticDog
USC isn't the only one that can win the PAC 12
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:19 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:
As much as this website will hate it, neither will LSU.
Just cause you say so, huh?
Posted on 2/1/17 at 9:53 pm to DEG
More so because you lack the necessary QB
Posted on 2/1/17 at 10:20 pm to Patton
I don't think Etling wins the job
Now that doesn't make your statement any less true, but we know Etling isn't beating AL or FL
Another QB may fare better
Now that doesn't make your statement any less true, but we know Etling isn't beating AL or FL
Another QB may fare better
Posted on 2/1/17 at 11:40 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
Elite QBs can only get you so far
LSU vs Lamar Jackson
Posted on 2/1/17 at 11:48 pm to RollTide1987
interesting
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 11:49 pm
Posted on 2/1/17 at 11:49 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:Other than Ole Miss in the first half and Clemson, the only team that could even hang with Bama last year was LSU... They'll be dangerous next year. They have the defense, and the horses at the skill positions on offense. They're a wild card right now, but they're a competitor if O-line and QB play are there, and the new OC is the real deal.
As much as this website will hate it, neither will LSU.
Posted on 2/2/17 at 2:29 am to RollTide1987
Auburn has had 5 straight top 10 recruiting classes so the "data" in your OP is already shite
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