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re: What do we see next, S&P 500 at 6000 or 4000?
Posted on 2/9/24 at 7:49 pm to wutangfinancial
Posted on 2/9/24 at 7:49 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:What does this mean, exactly over that time period? Earnings have been good and rates were ultra low.
Try the last 15 years. The equities market is driven by buyers who are not considering economic factors when transacting.
Posted on 2/9/24 at 8:37 pm to Big Scrub TX
Earnings and low rates for whom?
Go look at the Q4 earnings scorecard for the Russell 2000 and explain the price action on the index in that same time period. Indexing has caused a massive amount of price distortion. The equities market has been contracting since the mid 80s. People can’t make sense of it because they think market participants are updating their DCF models daily. That’s not how Wall Street works anymore.
Go look at the Q4 earnings scorecard for the Russell 2000 and explain the price action on the index in that same time period. Indexing has caused a massive amount of price distortion. The equities market has been contracting since the mid 80s. People can’t make sense of it because they think market participants are updating their DCF models daily. That’s not how Wall Street works anymore.
Posted on 2/9/24 at 10:53 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:Just generically talking about the S&P 500. Having P/Es in the low-mid 20s when rates are 3% doesn't seem that crazy to me. It's not like the earnings were fake.
Earnings and low rates for whom?
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