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re: Stock market tomorrow after the Greece news

Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:00 am to
Posted by Sum3rian
Metry
Member since Mar 2012
395 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:00 am to
Why does Greece, with so little impact on the worlds GDP, have such a big effect on world markets?
Posted by goodbuds
Augusta, Georgia
Member since May 2015
306 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:03 am to
The market always overreacts.

It causes instability in European financial markets.

Investors prefer stability.

I wouldn't buy or sell based on what happens in Greece.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:05 am to
It's not about GDP as much as it's about Greek debt that will become "bad" if they leave the eurozone, which seems quite possible at this point. That would have a very negative effect on European (mainly DAX) markets, and that would trickle over to the US.

That's oversimplified, but I think that's the central issue.

Others can add where needed.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80781 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:20 am to
KO under $40 is intriguing

GSK and JNJ also have caught my eye

Obviously Xom and CVX too
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:31 am to
quote:

KO under $40 is intriguing

Coke and Unilever have fluctuated between $38-45 for 18 months. It's almost been a guarantee.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4590 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 9:53 am to
In the grand scheme of things, it hasn't had that big of an effect.
Posted by BenFranklin
Member since Jun 2015
170 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:18 am to
quote:

almost certain
quote:

at least that's what has happened for the past 18 months.
Posted by Northwestern tiger
Long Island NY
Member since Oct 2005
23485 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Obviously Xom and CVX too


Wouldn't touch any oil stock right now.

Wait after the Iran deal, which will send oil prices to the abyss
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 11:37 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:44 am to
Laugh all you want, but I know a guy who has made a lot more than he's lost with this thought process lately.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Wait after the Iran deal, which will send oil prices to the abyss

When is this supposed to happen?
Posted by Northwestern tiger
Long Island NY
Member since Oct 2005
23485 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:49 am to
could be as early as this week but no later than next month

Iran is a done deal IMO
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:03 pm to
Are you saying Iran incentivizing companies to produce oil will cause the price to drop?

It seems like that would already be taken into account in the price
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:09 pm to
VDE creeping back down to 52week low
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

VDE creeping back down to 52week low



I'm going to wait for this:
quote:

Wouldn't touch any oil stock right now.

Wait after the Iran deal, which will send oil prices to the abyss
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:16 pm to
Is there a good chance of it going through?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Is there a good chance of it going through?


quote:

could be as early as this week but no later than next month

Iran is a done deal IMO


I hope my source is accurate
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38741 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Wouldn't touch any oil stock right now.

Wait after the Iran deal, which will send oil prices to the abyss


I would argue it will help oil prices in the long run, if you turn a country like Iran loose in the middle east with nuclear capabilities.
Posted by Omada
Member since Jun 2015
695 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Are you saying Iran incentivizing companies to produce oil will cause the price to drop? It seems like that would already be taken into account in the price

No, Iran itself would introduce 500k-1.5mm barrels of oil every day into the global oil market. Many OPEC countries actually maintained or ramped up production to take Iran's previous customers and to meet as much demand as they could before Iran re-enters the market. The world has done fine without Iranian oil, but now Iran is coming back to lower prices from a supply glut.

What a perfect time it is for them to develop nuclear weapons.
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 1:38 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18946 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 8:21 pm to
Asian and Australian markets are rebounding already for what it's worth, which might not be much at all...
Posted by Omada
Member since Jun 2015
695 posts
Posted on 6/29/15 at 8:49 pm to
I haven't been closely following them, I only knew that the Shanghai market took a beating. China lowered the interest rate 0.5% in response, so it might be recovering due to that, or it could be a dead cat bounce. Time will tell.
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