Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message
locked post

Separating emotions from equity trading

Posted on 12/4/12 at 11:49 am
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 11:49 am
So as much as I try, I can't pull myself away from following certain stocks that I've owned in the past. It's like I'm stalking an ex-girlfriend on facebook. Even ones that have done horribly and have no redeeming value, I still track as if there is some hope I can "get back in bed with" said stock even though I know it would end badly and ruin my current position.

The emotional tie is even worse for stocks that are currently owned. My example: First Solar. I bought this stock 1Q of this year, thinking it would rebound. Nope it plummeted to less than half what I purchased it for. I've held on for the ride and it's almost made it back to even. A part of me says "dump this bitch and be done. There is nothing but heartache to follow." But another part of me says "I got in this because it's the strongest player in a market that will continue to get invested in by govts. Why bail when this thing is gaining steam?"

So how do others pull themselves away from following past holdings? Or allow themselves to look past previous downturns?
This post was edited on 12/4/12 at 11:50 am
Posted by PhillyTide
The One Who Knocks
Member since Oct 2011
228 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 1:44 pm to
Get an investing plan dude. Follow it.

If you cannot do this, have someone else manage your money.
Posted by Hand
far side of the moon
Member since Dec 2007
2064 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 4:19 pm to
This is what interests me in behavioral finance.

Write down your thesis, set your target price, set your appropriate stops, and re-evaluate every couple of quarters. It's good look back and see why you made the decisions that you made and learn from the successes and failures.
Posted by Tmacelroy12
Houston
Member since Aug 2012
5489 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 4:37 pm to
Agreed with the last two posts.

Also, if you have information and truly believe your research stating it's one of the strongest players, keep with the long
Posted by Tenforty1728
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2012
64 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 4:46 pm to
The exact name escapes me, but behavioral finance talks about false positives and false negatives. For example, if a stock does well and you bought it, you're a genius. If you're a genius then you have to be able to pick any stock. We also tend to look at the winners we've picked harder than the losers. If we purchase a stock that goes down, it's not because we made a poor decision, but because some external factor was unavoidable.

Very interesting stuff that you should always be aware of and fighting when trading.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 4:51 pm to
Buy an index fund and forget about it. You are gambling.
Posted by Blakely Bimbo
Member since Dec 2010
1183 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 6:38 pm to
I used to buy and hold and then sell OXY several times until I just realized I needed to move on.
Posted by el duderino III
People's Republic of Austin
Member since Jul 2011
2383 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 6:49 pm to
you would make a terrible professional poker player fwiw
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

you would make a terrible professional poker player fwiw


Haha thanks for the heads up.
Posted by OFWHAP
Member since Sep 2007
5416 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 7:47 pm to
quote:

The exact name escapes me, but behavioral finance talks about false positives and false negatives. For example, if a stock does well and you bought it, you're a genius. If you're a genius then you have to be able to pick any stock. We also tend to look at the winners we've picked harder than the losers. If we purchase a stock that goes down, it's not because we made a poor decision, but because some external factor was unavoidable.


Overconfidence bias.
Posted by saving$
Member since Nov 2012
34 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

Buy an index fund and forget about it. You are gambling.



+1
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 7:53 pm to
Yeah I read that in the black swan.
This post was edited on 12/4/12 at 7:53 pm
Posted by OFWHAP
Member since Sep 2007
5416 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

The emotional tie is even worse for stocks that are currently owned. My example: First Solar. I bought this stock 1Q of this year, thinking it would rebound. Nope it plummeted to less than half what I purchased it for. I've held on for the ride and it's almost made it back to even. A part of me says "dump this bitch and be done. There is nothing but heartache to follow." But another part of me says "I got in this because it's the strongest player in a market that will continue to get invested in by govts. Why bail when this thing is gaining steam?"


You need to realize that you are not in control of a stock price's movements. A stock's price will not rebound just because you own it or because it's due for a series of up days after a series of down days. You can buy a good stock and have it go down, or you can buy a bad stock and have it go up. Here's a good mindset to take: Why tie up limited capital in losers that are going down when you could free up that money to invest in winners? In addition, you can sell those stocks at a loss to offset capital gains.

As for bailing when stocks are gaining steam, the way to look at it is to pretend that you currently do not own the stock but are considering whether or not you should buy it. If you would buy that stock at the current market price, you should hold on to it. However if you'd be unwilling to buy at the current price, you should go ahead and sell. Look up endowment effect to learn more about this bias. People tend to place a premium on assets they own/possess versus assets they don't own/possess.
Posted by Zilla
Member since Jul 2005
10599 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 11:17 pm to
Should I chime in on this thread ?
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram