re: Predict the 12/31/2013 prices. The winners for 2013 are listed on page 9.

say the rate goes from 1.7% to 3%. Well that about an ~80% change in the rate. I'm sure people chose everything in between and maybe a bit more so it's going to be a big difference, but the actual difference that change makes isn't that big. The rate difference actually only mean 1.017 vs 1.03 which is just ~1.3% change. But maybe this is too small... i probably have better things to be doing right now... never mind...

80% you mean

New minus old divided by old

Eta: make that 70

Thanks a lot Russian.

Here are the beginning of year (1/1/13) and end of year (12/31/13) indices and prices as of 3:30 PM as shown on CNBC U.S. Markets Page. Some of the commodity prices will continue to change slightly for a while this afternoon, but I had to cut it off somewhere so I chose 3:30 PM.

Everyone please check my numbers to make sure I've input the prices and indices correctly.


............ DJ30...... S&P.... NASD..... EUR/$....10yr..... 30yr..... Gold...... Silver.... Oil..... Nat Gas. Wholesale Gas
1/1/13 13,104.14 1,426.19 3,019.51 $1.3197 1.761% 2.953% $1,675.80 $30.227 $92.41 $3.351... $2.7617

.............. DJ30...... S&P.... NASD..... EUR/$....10yr.... 30yr.... Gold...... Silver.... Oil...... Nat Gas.. Wholesale Gas
12/31/13 16,576.66 1848.36 4176.59 $1.3756 3.036% 3.976% $1,205.20 $19.520 $98.62 $4.248... $2.7896


......................... DJ30... S&P... NASD.. EUR/$...10yr... 30yr..... Gold....... Silver.... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Wholesale Gas
2013 % Change 26.50% 29.60% 38.32% 4.24% 72.40% 34.64% -28.08% -35.42% 6.72% 26.77%.... 1.01%

I'll be posting the prediction results shortly.

good to see NG heading up.

EUR/$ Exchange Rate
Predictions ranged from $1.168 to $1.905.
Best: Lookin4Par = 0.68%
Worst: LSU0358 = 38.49%

10 YR Bond Yield
Predictions ranged from 1.238% to 2.300%.
Best: LSUtoOmaha = 24.24%
Worst: CompanyMan = 59.22%

30 YR Bond Yield
Predictions ranged from 2.388% to 4.155%.
Best: LSUtoOmaha = 1.91%
Worst: CompanyMan = 39.94%

Gold
Predictions ranged from $1,415.85 to $4,000.00.
Best: BigBoyTiger = 17.48%
Worst: LSU0358 = 231.90%

Silver
The predictions ranged from $27.50 to $65.00.
Best: buddhavista = 40.88%
Worst: LSU0358 = 232.99%

Crude Oil
The predictions ranged from $81.22 to $135.00.
Best: acgeaux129 = 0.81%
Worst: LSU0358 = 36.89%.

Natural Gas
The predictions ranged from $2.800 to $5.719.
Best: rmc = 0.047% ( He predicted $4.25 and the actual Y/E price was $4.248!)
Worst: CompanyMan = 34.626%

Wholesale Gasoline
The predictions ranged from $2.55/gal to $4.00/gal.
Best: LSUtoOmaha = 1.42%
Worst: LSU0358 = 43.39%

Of course I had no way of knowing the exact NG price, but I knew it was going up and still pulled out of my NG plays like CHK in the 1st quarter of the year.

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