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Started By
Message
North Korean crisis
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:50 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:50 pm
Although as a whole the economy will suffer in the event of a war or military action, any idea of markets or industries that would capitalize other then the defense industry? Would oil stocks increase?
2
Posted on 9/5/17 at 6:01 pm to SaintNation
What specifically are you referring to?
Invading NK?
Nuclear strike?
The general fear?
Invading NK?
Nuclear strike?
The general fear?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:02 pm to GenesChin
I guess I mean if we went to war, they send a missile to Guam like they are threatening and we have to bomb them. Obviously the defense sector in the market would take off but how would it effect oil markets?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 9:03 pm
Posted on 9/6/17 at 12:38 am to SaintNation
Id assume oil prices go up due to the fact that the US military is the largest consumer of petroleum in the US if not the world. Then other countries militaries increase their consumption. Then this supply glut becomes a shortage. Prices go up. At least that's how I see it
Posted on 9/6/17 at 7:21 am to SaintNation
quote:
Obviously the defense sector in the market would take off
Not sure that's really the case. Such a war is likely to be short. Weapons and ammo would have to be replaced and all but that's about it.
Which sectors would do well depends a bunch on how everything settles out. If China takes over NK then Chinese companies should do well in the subsequent development of the NK economy. If South Korea does then it's their companies that would do well. Everyone would look to the development of East Germany as a model.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 10:13 am to SaintNation
I'll just assume you're asking in the hypothetical because a real war would mean a whole lot of dead South Koreans and innocent North Koreans - asking which stocks to buy when Seoul gets bombarded with howitzer shells seems rather glib.
But to answer: No one significant is going offline and no one is going to be using a whole lot more than usual. You might see a panic bump to $55 for a few weeks.
But to answer: No one significant is going offline and no one is going to be using a whole lot more than usual. You might see a panic bump to $55 for a few weeks.
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